hawkeye_wx Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 The 12z GFS continues to go with the big omega block scenario. The Iowa nws offices are currently leaning toward the more progressive and wet Euro/GEM. Unfortunately, all of them are cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 CFSv2 is now going with below normal for May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 CFSv2 is now going with below normal for May. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 lol I'm not sure if I totally buy it though. It might depend on how blocky the pattern actually gets. I assume that you already punted May? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 To close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 I'm not sure if I totally buy it though. It might depend on how blocky the pattern actually gets. I assume that you already punted May? I punted through summer back in february Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 Lol I'm so sick of below normal weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 Interestingly the 6z CFS shows the entire region above normal until Mid-May, then cooler than normal for about 10 days then back above normal. May 1st-11th being the warmest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 Geos- Get ready for some lake wind: NAEFS back to a cold look into May... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 Geos- Get ready for some lake wind: ~ NAEFS back to a cold look into May... EURO has had its issues in the last several months, I would actually put stock in the GFS. These big wet systems in the medium range tend to tone down as we approch the actual event. Still betting on 2-3 days in the 40s before bouncing back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 You know its been a long time since weve been in a warmer than normal pattern when geos is pulling out the 6z cfs . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 CFSv2 is now going with below normal for May. Toss? Complete flip-flop. Was steadily trending towards a warmer and warmer May up until yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 You know its been a long time since weve been in a warmer than normal pattern when geos is pulling out the 6z cfs . It's flip flopping like it normal does. The last run yesterday was warm than normal across the board except around Lake Superior. Tomorrow it could be back to above normal. The only CFS runs that I put much stock in is the last few runs at the end of the month -for the next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 Toss? Complete flip-flop. Was steadily trending towards a warmer and warmer May up until yesterday.Actually the past few days it has been trending cooler, with today's being the most widespread/sig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 I punted through summer back in february Which will likely be bump trolled at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Can add the euro weeklies to the colder then normal camp especially week 2. Most of the above normal temps is wiped out from the lower 48 from week 2 through week 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 One thing that's beginning to bother me is that Detroit has yet to see its first t'storm of the season (not including the TSSN back in February). While we still have a little ways to go until Severe Weather season, I typically would have seen my first garden-variety t'storm by now. I'm not sure what the exact averages are, but I'm willing to bet it's not common to go into May without at least one t'storm being observed. I suppose the persistent -NAO block can be blamed for this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 A map that few want to see, though respectable for the sake of rarity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Tonight's op GFS/Euro runs are unreal. To have 0C 850 mb temps flirting with the GOM around the turn of the month would be a feat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 insert post about saw it coming a mile away here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Actually the past few days it has been trending cooler, with today's being the most widespread/sig. Well its back to warm today so I'd still say toss. Summer punters will still hold on to yesterday's run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 6z GFS now looks totally different from the last run. Mild southerly flow throughout much of the subforum as the storm cuts way west & north early next week. Cold shot mid week, then back to zonal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Euro is cold... I may not hit 60F for another 7 to 10 days... ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Euro is cold... I may not hit 60F for another 7 to 10 days... ugh EURO caving towards a drier solution for this area and your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Euro is cold... I may not hit 60F for another 7 to 10 days... ugh oh man punt till 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 No worries Alek, if trends hold June through August will be 60s and 70s galore, what's not to like about that unless you're Tropical, Powerball or Chicago Storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 No worries Alek, if trends hold June through August will be 60s and 70s galore, what's not to like about that unless you're Tropical, Powerball or Chicago Storm. 60's in July is cold. There is plenty to not like about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 60's in July is cold. There is plenty to not like about that. Extremely difficult to get 60's in July without lots of rain and north flow.... Usually the type of day that destroys a vacation. If I have a clean house, no outdoor work to do.... I don't mind these days at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 60's in July is cold. There is plenty to not like about that. +1 Upper 70s is much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Mid 60's and rain in July gives a major green boost to the lawn, these days pay dividends for several weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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