Allsnow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 this will be wetter then 18z…but not nam like…it ttys to hang back a semblance of ccb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 GFS north and west by a good bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 .50 line gets to hpn = .75 to new brunswick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Definitely N and W again in line w/ short range guidance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 GFS still catching up lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 gfs sv maps 4-6 for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 GFS is north of 18z...heavy snow makes it north of Trenton.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 2z RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 GFS looks like it has some convective feed back issues. Just look the crazy amount of opt in the 15Z panel over Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Gfs made a huge jump NW compared to earlier runs. I like a general 4-8" for the area with isolated 10" amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Definitely N and W again in line w/ short range guidance... Better run for NW zones. Looks like 4 to 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 GFS looks like it has some convective feed back issues. Just look the crazy amount of opt in the 15Z panel over Virginia. The NAM has it too, the main difference being that the NAM then tracks that northeast over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 QPF for select cities: Allentown: 0.60" Belmar: 0.81" Bridgeport: 0.49" Danbury: 0.44" Hartford: 0.29" Islip: 0.62" New York City: ...JFK: 0.69" ...LGA: 0.64" ...NYC: 0.62" Newark: 0.65" Philadelphia: 0.80" Poughkeepsie: 0.32" Trenton: 0.66" White Plains: 0.50" NOTE: Not all qpf for all cities is all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 GFS is in line with the RGEM for here on LI. Both of them have between 0.6" and 0.8" LE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The 38 seconds I stared at this were more enjoyable than the entire Super Bowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 SLEET FOR EVERYONE! I knew it! The models turned heel!!!!!!!! What a swerve! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 SLEET FOR EVERYONE! I knew it! The models turned heel!!!!!!!! What a swerve! Now that is funny! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CSheridan12 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 QPF for select cities: Allentown: 0.60" Belmar: 0.81" Bridgeport: 0.49" Danbury: 0.44" Hartford: 0.29" Islip: 0.62" New York City: ...JFK: 0.69" ...LGA: 0.64" ...NYC: 0.62" Newark: 0.65" Philadelphia: 0.80" Poughkeepsie: 0.32" Trenton: 0.66" White Plains: 0.50" NOTE: Not all qpf for all cities is all snow. The "note" in this makes me think I shouldn't go to work tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 HRRR continues to hit the heavy banding along the area of strongest frontogenesis with the best lift from Central NJ into parts of Northeast NJ and NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 It still snowing on the last frame of the HRRR for a good portion of the area so totals may even be higher than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Latest RAP shows the 1" qpf now into NYC and NENJ....best run yet. 1.25" into PHL and trenton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Just wish it was 10f cooler.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yep it's strange to be in the low 40s prior to a big snow event, but it's happened before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Not going to be a fun cleanup with heavy wet snow compared to the powder of the last two storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 2z HRRR suggest 2"-5" per snowfall rates by 15z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 HRRR continues to hit the heavy banding along the area of strongest frontogenesis with the best lift from Central NJ into parts of Northeast NJ and NYC. acsnw_t3sfc_f15.png Wow, that is just through noon. Many people are going to be seriously caught off guard tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Wow, that is just through noon. Many people are going to be seriously caught off guard tomorrow. Seriously-no one's even thinking about it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Latest RAP shows the 1" qpf now into NYC and NENJ....best run yet. 1.25" into PHL and trenton 3z or 4z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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