Chicago WX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Certainly lol-worthy. You got room for Hoosier and I? I'll bring the booze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Haha, congrats northern Indiana. Wow. I just need to drive 60 miles north to get into double digits. Classic nuclear NAM run. or wait till 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 You got room for Hoosier and I? I'll bring the booze. I told you, this one is yours! Maybe I'm the one that needs to come to Lafayette. There are plenty of bars that would appreciate my return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Based on w/v imagery and model plots, the upper wave may not get fully raob sampled til tomorrow's 12z or even 00z, maybe partially for the 00z runs this evening. I don't think it's time to throw in the towel yet for significant snows up this way, though the heaviest axis may very well end up a bit farther southeast like on January 5th. Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I told you, this one is yours! Maybe I'm the one that needs to come to Lafayette. There are plenty of bars that would appreciate my return. I think I'd stay put, if I were you. Good probability we're gonna mix pretty hard here. But I'm sure the bars miss your contributions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I think I'd stay put, if I were you. Good probability we're gonna mix pretty hard here. But I'm sure the bars miss your contributions. You just never quit do you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I think I'd stay put, if I were you. Good probability we're gonna mix pretty hard here. But I'm sure the bars miss your contributions. oh come on now edit: ninja'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I think I'd stay put, if I were you. Good probability we're gonna mix pretty hard here. But I'm sure the bars miss your contributions. Yeah, their profits are probably sinking with me being graduated. Haha. I noticed they are finishing a Meijer on the far NW side. Would have been nice to have while I was there. It always took me forever to get all the way to the one by I-65. Anyway, IWX WRF is on the side with reality and says nu-uh-uh to those outrageous NAM totals... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 You just never quit do you? I don't think it's a totally unreasonable call. I'm not talking rain nonsense. But even the other models have been close, to getting a sneaky warm layer in here at times...thus some mixing possible. To what degree is very much TBD. I think Hoosier shares these concerns as well. No harm in pointing out some possible wrenches, but obviously I'm pulling for the all snow scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 DeadAtBirth.. On to the next DAB storm thread. Have a great SB Sunday, y'all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 gfs should be marginally stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Id pay for the 12z NAM, which wont happen of course lol. But Id settle nicely for last nights euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 12z GFS a little more "spread the wealth" on the northern/northwestern side, but no major changes from the 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 gfs should be marginally stronger http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014020212&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=084 little stronger and little wetter around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 This last system at this range had a southeast run that everyone immediately bought into, I had rain with my snow today so lets all get off the ledge for a moment... The run SE with yesterday's system track/placement was accurate (look no further than the QPF numbers for example). It was the WAA that was underdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Lock in the GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 12z GFS a little more "spread the wealth" on the northern/northwestern side, but no major changes from the 0z run. Well, I take that back. Much better for locales out west in Iowa. Pretty good swath of 6"+ out there. And it really shorts us here, with just 3-5". But does better to the east in OH as well. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Considering how potent the s/w is to begin with you gotta think that even if it gets put through the grinder it's got a fighting chance to make it north of the OH river before being forced to the right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 The run SE with yesterday's system track/placement was accurate (look no further than the QPF numbers for example). It was the WAA that was underdone. Didn't the low track about over top of you or just north of you? That is definitely NW of where the models were going with it a few days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Can't wait for it to work itself back to the 1/27/14 12Z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Didn't the low track about over top of you or just north of you? That is definitely NW of where the models were going with it a few days out. Well first, I'm pretty sure stebo was referring to the SE trend with the models prior to the onset of the system (when they corrected from the NW solutions). Second, yes the low tracked overhead, just like the 00z NAM progged on 2/1/14. 00z NAM also showed all snow for DET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Well first, I'm pretty sure stebo was referring to the SE trend with the models prior to the onset of the system (when they corrected from the NW solutions). Second, yes the low tracked overhead, just like the 00z NAM progged on 2/1/14. 00z NAM also showed all snow for DET. No I am talking about when it jumped way South at this range only to immediately correct back NW, not the day of stuff, I am talking 3-4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 12z GGEM more organized, versus its relatively dis-organized 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 No I am talking about when it jumped way South at this range only to immediately correct back NW, not the day of stuff, I am talking 3-4 days out. Except for the fact that models corrected the track back SE anyway (which verified in the end as shown above). Anyways, whatever point you're trying to make is convoluted at best, probably on purpose just to simply be difficult. So whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 No I am talking about when it jumped way South at this range only to immediately correct back NW, not the day of stuff, I am talking 3-4 days out. That's what I was talking about too. That seems to be a common occurrence with these types of systems year after year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Looking like a classic IL-IN-OH snow event...nothing incredible but solid 6-10 inch swath in the works. Edit...and southern MI of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 No I am talking about when it jumped way South at this range only to immediately correct back NW, not the day of stuff, I am talking 3-4 days out. Yeah I was getting 6" on the NAM/GFS somewhere around that point with yesterdays storm. I would expect at least a correction north or west. Probably close to the ECM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Looking like a classic IL-IN-OH snow event...nothing incredible but solid 6-10 inch swath in the works. agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Except for the fact that models corrected the track back SE anyway (which verified in the end as shown above). Anyways, whatever point you're trying to make is convoluted at best, probably on purpose just to simply be difficult. So whatever. No I am talking about the run that took it across southern Ohio that everyone immediately believed when it came out. Others understood the point I was making, nothing convoluted at all or trying to be difficult... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Think Laffy Taffy ends up with 4-8" on this one. Here, probably around 2-5". Will go with 3.1" as a first call. My little forecasts have been abysmal, though, so I would assume we either end up with rain or 6+. I guess it's a good thing I went to school for finance/econ rather than meteorology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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