Rainman Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Judging from the soundings, there is a lot of dry air in the upper levels and a really deep layer below the DGZ for riming. Maybe bad snow ratios further south are why DTX is staying conservative there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z ECMWF once again among the driest of all, with <0.40" for the Chicago area. Gonna stick with 4.0" for ORD. Good call, it did so well with the last event and we're seeing the RAP/RUC pull back on amounts/strength as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 everything is right in line with consensus guidance Northern plume looks to be a tick north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Schweeeet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EvansvilleAce Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 local met said he just got a report of over 4 inches southwest of Paducah...lol the report was from 2 days ago...they corrected themselves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Schweeeet Feb4.JPG Chicago peeps should be upping their totals right now. I'd go with 5-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Been getting moderate-heavy snow for almost an hour now, take those STL obs with a grain of salt, they're very localized at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Hey guys, how has the hrrr and rap been doing this winter? We're looking for some hope in our central Ohio thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Chicago peeps should be upping their totals right now. I'd go with 5-6" 2-4 remains the way to go and I doubt LOT changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Hey guys, how has the hrrr and rap been doing this winter? We're looking for some hope in our central Ohio thread. RAP has been way NW and adjusts SE as it gets into better range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Can't even be aure any one area gets widespread foot plus totals (see many non nam models lol) but trends looking excellent for here! Yeah I'm real excited about this, the representation on radar looks awesome now. Just gotta scour away that dry air and we should be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Sticking with 4.2,...skilling going 3-7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 DTX I hate to question the professionals but I doubt monroe only gets .4 more than we do up here along M59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 18z comparisons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 2-4 remains the way to go and I doubt LOT changes. ^agree. Sticking with that call from ~3 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbotc Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Snowing here at UIllinois. CMI should be reporting it as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 18z comparisons GFS looks to be a bit closer than the NAM, GFS may be a tick too south though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 local met said he just got a report of over 4 inches southwest of Paducah...lol the report was from 2 days ago...they corrected themselves Fail! Looks like snow south of I-74 currently, dry north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Latest WSW for my area. NYZ001-002-010-011-050215-/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0004.140205T0300Z-140206T0300Z/NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...BATAVIA115 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENINGTO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NIAGARA FRONTIER INCLUDING THE BUFFALO METRO AREA.* TIMING...LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING.* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OVERNIGHT...4 TO 7 INCHES WEDNESDAY...AND AROUND AN INCH WEDNESDAY EVENING...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 7 TO 13 INCHES. HIGHEST TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE THRUWAY.* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.* IMPACTS...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY. THE GREATEST SNOWFALL RATES AND WORST TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 5 sites across central Illinois all went to 1/4 mi at 19Z. Saturating nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 5 sites across central Illinois all went to 1/4 mi at 19Z. Saturating nicely I'm just SE of Decatur and its coming down pretty good streets/grass almost completely covered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 17Z RUC has INDY as ground zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Can see the donut hole gradually shrinking on KLOT radar as top down moistening gets underway. Going to be a slow process though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Just started to get a few flurries here in Carmel.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Can see the donut hole gradually shrinking on KLOT radar as top down moistening gets underway. Going to be a slow process though. ~6 more hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 4, 2014 Author Share Posted February 4, 2014 Just checking over things quickly...The GFS seems to be doing better in regards to precip/saturation compared to the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Just checking over things quickly...The GFS seems to be doing better in regards to precip/saturation compared to the NAM. yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EvansvilleAce Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 snowing...just started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 ~6 more hours Under. I'll say by 5:30pm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Can see the donut hole gradually shrinking on KLOT radar as top down moistening gets underway. Going to be a slow process though. I guess I am used to the dry air donut hole issue. Happens a lot up around here especially with these well developed storms coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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