Geos Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Bring it. I have thought this would be a 3"-6" event in the Chicago metro all along (once it was clear that the big dog wasn't coming together). This is a different storm that the disorganized mess we were dealing with last weekend. I'd be hesitant to go above those amounts, though. Yeah I would to. Not expecting anymore than 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 RGEM crushes N OH, but brings mixing line up pretty far north. Indy even flirts with it for a bit. For IND, have to smell the taint to go big big...a la Jan 5. I think they have a legit shot at a foot, if all goes to plan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*IndyMeso* Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Now that's a weenie map. Shhhh... Im in the strip lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 IND has added lollis to 12" in the new warning text. At least I think that's a new addition... ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM ESTWEDNESDAY...A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM ESTWEDNESDAY.* ACCUMULATIONS: 7 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO12 INCHES ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70.* TIMING: THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. HEAVIEST SNOWEXPECTED FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH APPROXIMATELY 2 AMWEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AREANTICIPATED THIS EVENING.* OTHER IMPACTS: BLOWING SNOW COULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES ANDCAUSE SIGNIFICANT DRIFTS...CONTRIBUTING TO AN EVEN GREATERTRAVEL HAZARD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 IND has added lollis to 12" in the new warning text. At least I think that's a new addition... ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS: 7 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 12 INCHES ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. * TIMING: THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH APPROXIMATELY 2 AM WEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING. * OTHER IMPACTS: BLOWING SNOW COULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES AND CAUSE SIGNIFICANT DRIFTS...CONTRIBUTING TO AN EVEN GREATER TRAVEL HAZARD. Yeah, that is new with the 12" spots.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 What a year. Last month we exceeded the yearly average and here we might blow through the February average with just this one little storm. Will it ever end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Yeah, that is new with the 12" spots.. Thanks. What a year. Last month we exceeded the yearly average and here we might blow through the February average with just this one little storm. Will it ever end? Yeah, you're right. 6.5" is the February normal snowfall for Indianapolis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 For IND, have to smell the taint to go big big...a la Jan 5. I think they have a legit shot at a foot, if all goes to plan. Agreed. Just north to Fort Wayne on over to Toledo look the best ATM. Didn't realize you guys did so well with Jan 5. Got a lil more than we did up here. 15 inch band was just to our west and just now seeing it extended all the way down to north of indy. Was too caught up with my area that I didn't notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Alright I am hopping on the weenie train with ya'll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 What a year. Last month we exceeded the yearly average and here we might blow through the February average with just this one little storm. Will it ever end? Wondering when you were going to show up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Haven't been able to pay much attention to this storm but MKX snow amounts seem alright but looks like they may be leaning more towards the Hi-res models. Lake enhancement should really pick up after midnight once delta t's reach 13C, fetch across the lake also looks really good so we will see how much this will add. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Agreed. Just north to Fort Wayne on over to Toledo look the best ATM. Didn't realize you guys did so well with Jan 5. Got a lil more than we did up here. 15 inch band was just to our west and just now seeing it extended all the way down to north of indy. Was too caught up with my area that I didn't notice. Jan 5 was one of the biggest storms for Indiana in a long time. When talking double digit amounts over a fairly decent area of the state. I've got a nice listing of all the amounts from CO-OP and CoCoRaHS observers...and am going to do a little write up about that storm for here, sometime in the Spring hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z may have been the first cycle where everything was fully sampled. If so it would explain the adjustments we are seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Jan 5 was one of the biggest storms for Indiana in a long time. When talking double digit amounts over a fairly decent area of the state. I've got a nice listing of all the amounts from CO-OP and CoCoRaHS observers...and am going to do a little write up about that storm for here, sometime in the Spring hopefully. Very Cool. I'd be interested in reading it. Was a rare storm with how far south the PV was and the interaction the the low. Hope the NW trends continue with this as you will still look good and possibly do better in the def band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 If I hadn't been following this thing and took a look at the current national radar loop, I'd be preparing for a real walloping up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z may have been the first cycle where everything was fully sampled. If so it would explain the adjustments we are seeing. It is pretty darn impressive on satellite compared to most of the other systems we have seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I think any northward adjustments are pretty much done. We might see the slp adjust NW on some of the furthest SE guidance but i'm not seeing anything on the mesoanalysis page, radar, or wv to suggest there are appreciable shifts coming. FWIW screw hole in MO was showing up nicely on boundary-layer RH...the map also hints at a long road to saturation ahead for a large chunk of IL. On the plus side, it looks like we'll take a nice hit from a pocket of deeper moisture later in the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kristymac03 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 New to the page here. I'm from Florida so I'm used to following hurricane models. Been reading and trying to get with all the lingo here with the stuff I'm not so used to called snow haha. I'm confused as to why I have a WSW for 6-10 inch here in Dayton, but the weather channel is saying Wintery mix? Just wondering what y'all think is expected here in the Dayton area. Thanks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 dtx pulls the trigger on WWA for the bottom 2/3 of its' forecast area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Dewpoint sitting at 13.3 here. I think the dry air problem will be tough to overcome and should keep amounts down to about 2-4 across much of northern Illinois. But, as Alek has mentioned already, we should get much of that in a pretty short period of time once the dry air is overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 dtx pulls the trigger on WWA for the bottom 2/3 of its' forecast area A bit surprised they didn't go warning for Wayne, Lenawee and Monroe. To be honest they didn't even up the totals for the original WWA either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanthunder Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Hello folks, lovely day for a snowstorm. Here in Macomb, the snow is about to begin according to the radar. It's having a little trouble starting, but when it does, this should be fun to watch. Of course, we still have about 5 or 6 inches of snowpack on the ground here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 There really isn't anything as annoying as watching dry air eat away at the returns. Close, yet oh so far to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 There really isn't anything as annoying as watching dry air eat away at the returns. Close, yet oh so far to go. won't start snowing in Aurora for another 6+ hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Environment Canada hoisted snowfall warnings for areas south west of Toronto proper. Calling for 6-8" in those warned areas. Downtown likely to get into the 4" range. Some pleasant trends this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 A bit surprised they didn't go warning for Wayne, Lenawee and Monroe. To be honest they didn't even up the totals for the original WWA either. Plumes have a mean of 7-13" depending on where you are over much of the DTX CWA. GRR isn't even doing an update. Not a "notable event" and should remain south of the CWA. Lol Someone's going to be eating those words by tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 DTX extended the WWA further north but didnt up snow totals yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 won't start snowing in Aurora for another 6+ hours Yes I'm aware. Will be interesting to get updates from sites downstate during the afternoon. Here's to hoping top down saturation occurs sooner than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Looks pretty good right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Looks pretty good right now. wv1.jpg Lots of solid gulf moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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