Chicago Storm Posted February 4, 2014 Author Share Posted February 4, 2014 ORD looks good for 4.0" for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Lol of course it does. Should of went with my gut. GFS still isn't done correcting itself either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 The northern fringe are going to need more advisories and at this point I would probably put the southeast 3 counties in DTX's CWA in a warning. There is enough evidence to say there will be 6-8" for those 3 counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Edit: I see the RGEM coming in a bit better than 06z run too. I wonder if this isn't done shifting north and west +NAO and -PNA say continued NW shift is possible but we'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Lol of course it does. Should of went with my gut. GFS still isn't done correcting itself either you can still share Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I think we''re going to be flirting (or getting into) the dry slot here, but man it's going to be rip city this evening. Fully expect 1-2" rates for central IN for a period of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 The northern fringe are going to need more advisories and at this point I would probably put the southeast 3 counties in DTX's CWA in a warning. There is enough evidence to say there will be 6-8" for those 3 counties. I agree. At least add another row or two of counties in advisories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z 4km NAM loses its mind for IND. 0.74" in a three hour period. :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I agree. At least add another row or two of counties in advisories. I think it would be safest to do this after all the 12z models come in (not that I disagree) But yeah, things are looking good. *picks up towel* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z 4km NAM loses its mind for IND. 0.74" in a three hour period. :weenie: 2:4 12z 4km nam IND.png Saw this on the HRRR.. Nice little strip across just N of Indy.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 ORD looks good for 4.0" for now. GFS looks like 4-5 which joins the solid SREF consensus for approx 5" at ORD....even the low balls are around 3.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Saw this on the HRRR.. Nice little strip across just N of Indy.. Now that's a weenie map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Now that's a weenie map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 you can still share Just thought all along that it would shift NW in the later rounds given the -PNA/+NAO. The GFS still is struggling with its sfc low placement even on this run. If dry air isn't a big problem then 5-6" area wide maybe isolated lolli's closer to the lake is def in okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 The northern fringe are going to need more advisories and at this point I would probably put the southeast 3 counties in DTX's CWA in a warning. There is enough evidence to say there will be 6-8" for those 3 counties. Monroe, Lenewee, Wayne, Washtenaw = Warning Macomb, St Clair, Oakland, Livingston = High end advisory with last minute adjustments. Probably Advisory for all other counties besides Saginaw, Huron and Bay. Edit: I would give St Clair a warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Man a little OT but wow Jen Carfagno on TWC is looking good today Low pressure is looking to be a little more north and west than originally thought by the HPC, still thinking 6-10" for NW Ohio a solid bet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I-72 in IL looks good SREF has between 8-9" NAM 8-12" which is on the high end GFS 8-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z GFS, next 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z 4km NAM loses its mind for IND. 0.74" in a three hour period. :weenie: Nice ... bet thunder would be a good possibility Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Monroe, Lenewee, Wayne, Washtenaw = Warning Macomb, St Clair, Oakland, Livingston = High end advisory with last minute adjustments. Probably Advisory for all other counties besides Saginaw, Huron and Bay. Edit: I would give St Clair a warning A warning for Wayne and St. Clair but not Macomb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 A warning for Wayne and St. Clair but not Macomb? Yea, I got lazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordoFabulous Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Now that's a weenie map. That's a Ron Jeremy map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sidewinder Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Nice ... bet thunder would be a good possibility noticed that was mentioned in the a.m. discussion too Some schools just announced early dismissal here. Learning some lessons from what happened down south, perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Still a ton of dry air in central IL, as expected...but Quincy IL (north of STL) reporting moderate snow. METAR KUIN 041554Z AUTO 07010KT 1/2SM SN FZFG VV016 M08/M10 A3029 RMK AO2 SLP271 P0000 T10781100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Yea, I got lazy. You have to add warning/watch South of 59 as well in Oakland to big of a population not too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Still a ton of dry air in central IL, as expected...but Quincy IL (north of STL) reporting moderate snow. METAR KUIN 041554Z AUTO 07010KT 1/2SM SN FZFG VV016 M08/M10 A3029 RMK AO2 SLP271 P0000 T10781100 A bit ahead of schedule I do believe, if that is the case then that is good news Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Can anyone shed some light on what DVN may be talking about? AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL919 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014.UPDATE...ISSUED AT 915 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014AT THE MOMENT THE FCST LOOKS ON TRACK. SOME INTERESTING FEATURESIN THE 12Z UA THAT MAY AFFECT THE FCST THAT REQUIRE SOME LOOKINGIN TO AND HOW THE NEW MODEL RUNS INCORPORATE THEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Nice little band over Tuanis and central Lake County. Bring it. I have thought this would be a 3"-6" event in the Chicago metro all along (once it was clear that the big dog wasn't coming together). This is a different storm that the disorganized mess we were dealing with last weekend. I'd be hesitant to go above those amounts, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 As usual Quad Cities with hope for the snow lover,: AT THE MOMENT THE FCST LOOKS ON TRACK. SOME INTERESTING FEATURES IN THE 12Z UA THAT MAY AFFECT THE FCST THAT REQUIRE SOME LOOKING IN TO AND HOW THE NEW MODEL RUNS INCORPORATE THEM. 9:15 AM update..? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 RGEM crushes N OH, but brings mixing line up pretty far north. Indy even flirts with it for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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