stormtrackertf Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Wow, wagons north for Detroit. Josh gets a foot now? I'm hoping for 6 now. That NAM...oh my damn... Wagons of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Everyone has an hour until GFS rolls in....radar sig. Looks positive at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I only see it through 12 hours so far, but the 12z RGEM is coming a bit NW. And juicier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z NAM Yes please what a run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 SREF plumes still getting juicier for dtw, up to 7.5" average Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Really making it hard to work today.. Wish everything stay status-quo so I don't feel the need to watch the models.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EvansvilleAce Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 snow or rain please...no ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Really making it hard to work today.. Wish everything stay status-quo so I don't feel the need to watch the models.. Same here. Completely useless the past week. Not with you on status quo tho :0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 actually looks like a winter storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 RGEM looks good for many... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxhstn74 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 http://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2014/02/snow-system-overnight-into-wednesday.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Surprised nobody has mentioned the DVN raob from last night and this morning. The 0z sounding last night had nearly a -60 dew point at 650mb which made me cautious on how big a role dry air would play this afternoon but the 12z this morning is better than I expected it to be, saturated nicely above 800mb with still pretty dry low levels but hopefully we can overcome that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Will have dry air issues in N IL late into the late afternoon at least, according to the RAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 LMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ilstormchaser Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 It hurts watching the snow on the radar getting eating alive by the dry air. It's trying to make its way up here, but I think its going to be a while before it snows just east of Peoria. Hopefully by the early afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I know Im into snowcover more than the average weenie...its not about having white ground. I do NOT expect NAM to verify...but do you realize how much snow we have ON THE GROUND right now? There was NO snow on the ground before Apr 1886, Jan 1967, Dec 1974, an inch before Jan 1999....there was some snow before Jan 1978 and Feb 2011 but not half of what there is now. If we even get 6" (which is less than half what NAM is forecasting) it will be epic... You're experiencing the same excitement I had in Ottawa in March 2008. The snowpack was up to my shoulders that year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 It hurts watching the snow on the radar getting eating alive by the dry air. It's trying to make its way up here, but I think its going to be a while before it snows just east of Peoria. Hopefully by the early afternoon i'm not expecting flakes to fly up here until 7-9 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I know Im into snowcover more than the average weenie...its not about having white ground. I do NOT expect NAM to verify...but do you realize how much snow we have ON THE GROUND right now? There was NO snow on the ground before Apr 1886, Jan 1967, Dec 1974, an inch before Jan 1999....there was some snow before Jan 1978 and Feb 2011 but not half of what there is now. If we even get 6" (which is less than half what NAM is forecasting) it will be epic... Haha awesome! Im hoping we can all win out of this system. Would be the first widespread snowstorm in a long time. Whats your snow depth? Mines exactly 12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Easily the best RGEM run yet for areas on the northern edge of the storm from Cedar Rapids to Chicago. 12z NAM and RGEM have both bumped me up over 0.30". I'd be very happy with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z RGEM snowfall map. 0.80-1.00" LE around IND and then on east-northeast. Finger of 0.40-0.60" LE for NE IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Easily the best RGEM run yet for areas on the northern edge of the storm from Cedar Rapids to Chicago. Nice little band over Tuanis and central Lake County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 nice weenie finger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'd love to see the NAM verify verbatim, hell I'd burn 2" of that due to dry air and still be happy with the output. The moisture transport that alek posted though is pretty damn good, it should overcome the dry air pretty quickly once the storm lifts northeast into the region. Edit: I see the RGEM coming in a bit better than 06z run too. I wonder if this isn't done shifting north and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'd love to see the NAM verify verbatim, hell I'd burn 2" of that due to dry air and still be happy with the output. The moisture transport that alek posted though is pretty damn good, it should overcome the dry air pretty quickly once the storm lifts northeast into the region. would be great to see that 850 wrap up a little quicker but either way moisture transport at the upper levels is excellent so maybe top down saturation will be a bit quicker than one might expect given the dry easterly flow. wishful thinking but Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z GFS ticks northwest. Better storm "presentation" as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z GFS ticks northwest. Better storm "presentation" as well. yep, 850 was stronger over the plains compared to 6z right from the get go. 6z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Stronger, wetter and NW. Let this continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z GFS ticks northwest. Better storm "presentation" as well. Good to see the GFS waking up at the right time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Finally, 12z GFS comes off the wave at 15hr over northeast KS like the NAM/RAP/NMM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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