A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Ride the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 11:51 AM, snowstormcanuck said: At 48 hrs.... 6z RGEM = 1008mb over CVG 6z NAM = 1012mb over SDF 6z GFS = 1012mb between Nashville and Knoxville in TN 6z rgem went nw.... 6z nam ticked nw... not good for us in the se flanks... hopefully we can seal this deal either way with the 12z runs.... wishful thinking though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 6z NAM COBB spits out 0.31" of QPF at YYZ with 5.8" of snow on an average ratio of 19:1. Something to watch out for as we ride the northern fringe of this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 8:31 AM, Thundersnow12 said: Could tell early on across the central plains with slightly more ridging too. 4-5" around here toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 00Z GFS was pretty nice for YYZ, dropped 4-5", but cut back to 3-4" on the 06Z run. I think that is a bit more realistic. If this thing trends north then we could be looking at 5-6" at most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 3-5" is probably a good range for Metro Detroit right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 12z RAP initialized the s/w a it stronger/phased than the 6z GFS was showing at 12z but nothing crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:42 PM, A-L-E-K said: 12z RAP initialized the s/w a it stronger/phased than the 6z GFS was showing at 12z but nothing crazy. On the flip side, 12z NAM initialized a bit too weak with the shortwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:52 PM, Powerball said: On the flip side, 12z NAM initialized a bit too weak with the shortwave. Looks like it will still end up on the far NW side of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 you can already tell this will be one of those storms where I'm pulling for 18hr RAP solutions that are way too far north and trend south each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Man another 10" would bring us just 9" away from the '78 all time record. If I'm going to be hunkered in all winter I might as well see that come down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 SREF plumes on the decrease at ORD, down to just over 5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 NAM also much drier on the northern fringe like the globals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Gonna be a weenie and hold out hope up here for a stronger low for the fact that the low wont be fully sampled until tomorrow as it comes out of mexico.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Nice weenie band over LAF on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Another 3" to 6" event for the Detroit area. How many is that this winter? 13-14 ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 1-3" in my grid currently. Seems like the reasonable way to go. 12z NAM. LAF, TOL, ftw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 LAF=buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 2:40 PM, Powerball said: FailWhere's that NW jog when it actually won't suck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 looking more and more like a DAB for LOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 4km NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Dropping my call to 1"-2" at the absolute most, unless something drastic happens between now and tomorrow. TV mets still talking about 4" to as much as 6" in some parts of the area, at this moment, doesn't look like it will verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 First call of 2-5" looking good. LAF is going to take this one straight to the bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 2:51 PM, cyclone77 said: 4km NAM. NAM certainly showing the banding potential. Most likely too aggressive with those numbers. But, not much wiggle room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Looks like a solid hit for North Central Indiana. (Click on image to see it all.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 2:27 PM, blue60007 said: Nice weenie band over LAF on the NAM. Nice run to run consistency on showing an enhanced band and a majority of SREF members continue to support it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 2:50 PM, A-L-E-K said: looking more and more like a DAB for LOT over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 3:22 PM, Hoosier said: overYes, lol at a DAB call for Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 12z GFS looking like it wants to be an outlier in terms of track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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