Thundersnow12 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 9:56 PM, Angrysummons said: looks like convective feedback issues is causing the problems with wave handlement. You can see this by the models putting the low around the convection to its southeast causing distortions. Thus everything needs to be tighter and further northwest to match the flow. GFS seems to struggle with that quite a bit in these situations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 9:56 PM, Angrysummons said: looks like convective feedback issues is causing the problems with wave handlement. You can see this by the models putting the low around the convection to its southeast causing distortions. Thus everything needs to be tighter and further northwest to match the flow. Good points. The fly in the ointment is that system moving across the south and Mid Atlantic. Then ofcourse it still has not been fully sampled yet. Thus we need to get that system in the south/mid Atlantic outta here ( the weaker/quicker the better ) and sampling done with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 10:02 PM, Thundersnow12 said: GFS seems to struggle with that quite a bit in these situations Especially when we have a -pna.. Now watch this time it ( Typical -PNA model biases ) fail. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Hopefully everyone can see this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 10:20 PM, Geos said: Hopefully everyone can see this. I cannot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Me either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 10:20 PM, Geos said: Hopefully everyone can see this. you're being paywalled dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 10:20 PM, Geos said: Hopefully everyone can see this. Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 10:21 PM, snowstormcanuck said: I cannot. On 2/2/2014 at 10:21 PM, Thundersnow12 said: Me either Fixed. Ridiculous they would block the GFS images... Actually this map would make more sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 if you pay for a service, they aren't going to let you distribute it for free...even if the model is public access the graphics aren't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 regarding the images....tweet from maue... Quote Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 6h @rms5539 "expressed written consent" sounds like an endorsement. Folks can post everything except (most) ECMWF products Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Whatever the case is... Their maps load faster than anyone else's - usually. Anyway, it looks like suppressed and along I-70 is the way to go with this one. Updated map above^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 2.1" call looking money. I'm on a real hot streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 10:31 PM, Gilbertfly said: regarding the images....tweet from maue... Yep.. Most don't allow hot linking because it can drive up their server costs. Even though the image may show here because it comes from them directly it is their server getting the hit. On websites like this ( bigger audience ) it can add up quick. Doesn't mean you cannot save it and then upload it here as you would a pic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 10:35 PM, Geos said: Whatever the case is... Their maps load faster than anyone else's - usually. Anyway, it looks like suppressed and along I-70 is the way to go with this one. Not SV. I am certain of that. I do think they are about the same now. Why SV is now 20 bucks vs 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 10:36 PM, A-L-E-K said: 2.1" call looking money. I'm on a real hot streak. Nah. Still plenty of time to drive the low through Chicago. At which point, you bust too high. EDIT: better put this in there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 10:42 PM, Chicago WX said: Nah. Still plenty of time to drive the low through Chicago. At which point, you bust too high. EDIT: better put this in there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 FWIW, many more of the SREF members are wet on the 15z run (.75-1"+ qpf in the heavy snow band) but the mean is held in check due to a couple of exceptionally dry members. Still a bit outside of the comfortable range to say that it will be right but at least some reason for optimism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 10:42 PM, Chicago WX said: Nah. Still plenty of time to drive the low through Chicago. At which point, you bust too high. EDIT: better put this in there... [Dt] and monkeys will be fyling out of my @ss[/Dt] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 10:36 PM, A-L-E-K said: 2.1" call looking money. I'm on a real hot streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Local Toronto weather report calling for only 1-2" Tuesday into Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 18z GEFS= zzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Local met still putting the best totals north of here. Thinks LAF will have dryslot issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Local station going with 5-8"+ here. I'm definitely good with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:23 AM, Hoosier said: Local met still putting the best totals north of here. Thinks LAF will have dryslot issues. Again, more good news for us. I looked on his blog, for the lolz, and he has the surface low cutting west of Dayton. Uhh huh. Oh, and congrats Chicago. http://blogs.wlfi.com/2014/02/02/93169/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:46 AM, Chicago WX said: Again, more good news for us. I looked on his blog, for the lolz, and he has the surface low cutting west of Dayton. Uhh huh. Oh, and congrats Chicago. http://blogs.wlfi.com/2014/02/02/93169/ Lol is that guy on drugs? I know you guys follow him a lot so I don't know his track record at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:46 AM, Chicago WX said: Again, more good news for us. I looked on his blog, for the lolz, and he has the surface low cutting west of Dayton. Uhh huh. Oh, and congrats Chicago. http://blogs.wlfi.com/2014/02/02/93169/ Honestly I don't think the dryslot concern is totally unfounded, especially if there's a trend to the northwest. Not something to panic about yet but something to keep in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:56 AM, Thundersnow12 said: Lol is that guy on drugs? I know you guys follow him a lot so I don't know his track record at all Hoosier thinks he's the best. j/k Hoosier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:56 AM, Thundersnow12 said: Lol is that guy on drugs? I know you guys follow him a lot so I don't know his track record at all Hits and misses like anyone else. Tim got me started on him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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