Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Euro and ens, cmc all bring up to an inch to the pike, a bit more south. Not sure what the fighting is about. Srefs trending that way as well. If you are tossing everything but the nam give us a tippified reason. Discussing, clarification, no fighting, just making sure Jay knows most modeling is 1-3 right now. Pre event for the big dogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Discussing, clarification, no fighting, just making sure Jay knows most modeling is 1-3 right now. Pre event for the big dogs Yeah I agree me and you are just discussing. I am very pessimistic on this one. Who knows. We'll have a better idea soon. I don't buy the north trend yet. Maybe it will verify or maybe it is a tease. Just leaning on the tease side. I'm fairly certain he didn't look at it. he's tried to get this one to miss us and on the Wed threat he's posted the pike south gets screwed. Wonder where he lives? I don't see any reason why one wouldn't forecast 1-3 from the pike south based upon the good model agreement. Your reasoning couldn't be more azz backwards? If I'm in Andover why would I be rooting the 3rd south? The 5th is a SWFE and those usually tend to be better north of the pike. Do you disagree or agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 it sounds like you have the weenie goggles on kev thats all. GFS is cape islands maybe extreme south coast. GGEM is .1-.2. Your going to tell me the Euro has been good this year? So realistically there is hardly a consensus at this stage for 1-3" ANYWHERE NEAR the pike. I'd say there is an outside chance with the current consensus that you see an inch and an even more extreme chance you see two inches. You're tossing the euro into the cmc nogaps pile...lol. It's had some burps but on most events close in it won. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 You're tossing the euro into the cmc nogaps pile...lol. It's had some burps but on most events close in it won. I just want to see a little consistency. I have horrible run to run memory. Didn't it have the 3rd but take it back a couple runs ago, and now its showing a hit again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 Yeah I agree me and you are just discussing. I am very pessimistic on this one. Who knows. We'll have a better idea soon. I don't buy the north trend yet. Maybe it will verify or maybe it is a tease. Just leaning on the tease side. Your reasoning couldn't be more azz backwards? If I'm in Andover why would I be rooting the 3rd south? The 5th is a SWFE and those usually tend to be better north of the pike. Do you disagree or agree? What i am saying is there's been 2 very obvious trends the last 24 hours. 1) To get the Feb 3rd event with at least 1-2 inches up to the Mass pike. Every piece of guidance continues to come north 2)To trend the Feb 5th event colder,less amped and snowier..with less in the way of ice. Now maybe it trneds back north or maybe it doesn't..but across the board it is now a colder solution for everyone. 24 hours ago it was a rain event for the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 What i am saying is there's been 2 very obvious trends the last 24 hours. 1) To get the Feb 3rd event with at least 1-2 inches up to the Mass pike. Every piece of guidance continues to come north 2)To trend the Feb 5th event colder,less amped and snowier..with less in the way of ice. Now maybe it trneds back north or maybe it doesn't..but across the board it is now a colder solution for everyone. 24 hours ago it was a rain event for the cape I agree with both 1 and 2. Do not buy either yet. Would I like to? Absolutely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Can you feel the love tonight? The new Kevin is the much older Kevin, I like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I agree with both 1 and 2. Do not buy either yet. Would I like to? Absolutely. Crushed on the Ens, you are just crushed, no more swfe , its miller time, shot hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 Can you feel the love tonight? The new Kevin is the much older Kevin, I like It's hard to bite my tongue and not have fun or make jokes..even when I see all the other posters joining in on the charades..but I said i will abide by the new rules and I will. This event reminds me of that early/mid Dec event. I don't remember the exact date..but there was a nice stripe of 2-4 inch snows from ENY over to about NW Ri. There was a decent fronto band in that one..and this looks like it has the same basic premise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Crushed on the Ens, you are just crushed, no more swfe , its miller time, shot hour My god, I love that. Do you see the precip it throws back and lingers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 My god, I love that. Do you see the precip it throws back and lingers? Yea man good times good times, pics of half naked coeds prancing in feet of snow next Sunday??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 It's hard to bite my tongue and not have fun or make jokes..even when I see all the other posters joining in on the charades..but I said i will abide by the new rules and I will. This event reminds me of that early/mid Dec event. I don't remember the exact date..but there was a nice stripe of 2-4 inch snows from ENY over to about NW Ri. There was a decent fronto band in that one..and this looks like it has the same basic premise 12/10, yea be cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 Hi res NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 My god, I love that. Do you see the precip it throws back and lingers? It's big. The peak time thump is amazing and cold. That's for 2/5. Re 2/3: Euro was overdone in the d5 range but kind of signaled the idea that the north trend was happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 OT but the ocean has me colder than the inland folks by a good margin. Nice now but misery in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Hi res NAM Was waiting for it. Looks nice. Onto the GFS and then a huge 0z runs tonight. Lock it up depending on tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Gfs brings light accumulating snows to the nh border practically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Man I haven't done well betting against the north trend lol. Just when it looks like it should not happen...it does. May have to start going against your forecast like I do with JB. Looks like another nice general snowfall. Cutoff won't be as sharp with this one. 1-3/2-4 seems pretty safe...actually very "safe" conservative for now with 2 days to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Yeah a tickle north on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like another system where it starts snowing right at rushhour.. How many of these have we had where it starts right at 7:00-8:00 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like another system where it starts snowing right at rushhour.. How many of these have we had where it starts right at 7:00-8:00 am Gonna be tough on schools with Wednesday staring them in the face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I'll take 1"-3" Monday but would have gladly traded it to NYC metro for Sunday evening. That would have been terrific television for the Super Bowl. Brought in a double load of wood for the weekend but it looks as if I will be sneaking out early tomorrow to re-load for this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 It almost seems like we're back to the days where the Euro would lead the way and the GFS would catch on last minute..Almost Wonder if it's due to the pattern becoming less progressive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I can think of 3 storms this year where in Ct anyway..it started as the kids were getting on the bus..or like 30 minutes after that.. I'd guess they send home early..and then called off Wed. Love this pattern.. Less cold and more snow During the 2-7" event on cape cod the other day there wasn't a delay aside of the vineyard. Roads were a mess. They'll be more cautious this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 If people hold back on cancellations could be a pretty bad scenario. I think Monday will not be a worry, if it starts after they get there, leave them there it will be over before they get out, salt and sander Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Boundary will be sagging S over the day tomorrow so initial precip may be rain for some before we cool. Think most S of the Pike see at least a little snow out of this. 1", perhaps 2" right now. This has some similarities to the other day minus the antecedent airmass. Modeled QPF looks similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 oT but did you see that 6 alarmer in bos? Don't see any sticks up in that pic, but looks like a Jake on the roof on B side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Boundary will be sagging S over the day tomorrow so initial precip may be rain for some before we cool. Think most S of the Pike see at least a little snow out of this. 1", perhaps 2" right now. This has some similarities to the other day minus the antecedent airmass. Modeled QPF looks similar. I'll take a nice coating to prep for the Tues/Wed event; was not expecting anything up this way, so I'll take what I can get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 Burbank has 1-3 to CT/Mass border over to Scooter and 3+ along the entire SNE coast. And also has 50 in BOS tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Burbank has 1-3 to CT/Mass border over to Scooter and 3+ along the entire SNE coast. And also has 50 in BOS tomorrow We all will be mild tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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