ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 00z Euro gets about 0.35-0.4" up to BOS-ORH line. South coast gets around 0.5-0.6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfastx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm hoping for an inch or so here, temps might be an issue for accumulation though. Will be nice to see some snow in the air! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 00z Euro gets about 0.35-0.4" up to BOS-ORH line. South coast gets around 0.5-0.6"Wow. Heavy heavy surprises tomorrow AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Wow. Heavy heavy surprises tomorrow AM. Atlanta II Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 and we only have a 50% chance of snow here and 20% 5 miles north of here 00z Euro gets about 0.35-0.4" up to BOS-ORH line. South coast gets around 0.5-0.6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 00z Euro gets about 0.35-0.4" up to BOS-ORH line. South coast gets around 0.5-0.6" Thanks 6z nam pushing the .75 here almost now. Taunton must thing mainly rain or else they're about to bus terribly graphic still has me in up to 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 both RAP and HRRR ticking the PA/NY total snowfall north ~ 10-20 miles for past several runs... extrapolating the most recent 5Z HRRR / 6Z RAP runs puts southeast MA comfortably in 3-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 both RAP and HRRR ticking the PA/NY total snowfall north ~ 10-20 miles for past several runs... extrapolating the most recent 5Z HRRR / 6Z RAP runs puts southeast MA comfortably in 3-4" Yeah was just noticing that too. Box going for advisories but not on the cape. 2-4" southern Bristol and Plymouth and RI. Still seems low to me but oh well. Better than what's been in place up until now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 box very meh on todays event..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 BOX updated map 4am, pike south is generally 1-2", south coast now 2-4"... 7Z HRRR / RAP say this is still not enough, continue the northward ticks upstream in PA and would put 4-6" into southeast MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 BOX updated map 4am, pike south is generally 1-2", south coast now 2-4"... 7Z HRRR / RAP say this is still not enough, continue the northward ticks upstream in PA and would put 4-6" into southeast MA It's a bizarro world. All I can figure is they think much is eaten up by rain. Otherwise it makes no sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 It's a bizarro world. All I can figure is they think much is eaten up by rain. Otherwise it makes no sense. yeah the AFD comments on iffy boundary layer but per upstream obs in the northwest Philly burbs temps came down and switch occurred pretty quickly "Plenty of support for precipitation but borderline temperatures limit confidence in precipitation type. Surface temperatures are starting in the 30s but are below freezing above 1000 feet...and the air is dry enough for temperatures to cool to 30-32 degrees once the precipitation starts. Expect most of the precipitation to be snow...but some rain possible at the start especially along the South Coast and the islands. This rain would hold down accumulations from full potential. But the available precipitation will be highest near the coast and to the south over the ocean." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Nice continued N trends overnight. Looks like snow on the doorstep. Its 32.0/28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwoman Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 first flakes just started to fly down here... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Radar looks great. Kevin, 3-6 is not out of the question for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Why does central Mass have a WSW and I only have an advisory? Is the watch for Tuesday/Wed storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Not much of a nrn push. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Why does central Mass have a WSW and I only have an advisory? Is the watch for Tuesday/Wed storm?Things seem screwyThe watch is for the second storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Radar looks great. Kevin, 3-6 is not out of the question for you! Yeah Jer...I'm still sticking with 2-4..but I agree radar looks fantastic, temp down to 31.3 School just closed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yeah Jer...I'm still sticking with 2-4..but I agree radar looks fantastic, temp down to 31.3 School just closed It looks good down south. I'm a little up in the air with how far this bumps north. Your call looks good for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 It looks good down south. I'm a little up in the air with how far this bumps north. Your call looks good for now. It's tricky..if you look at radar you can see it fill in off to my NW..I think 1-2 inches gets at least to ORH to BOS line. the Euro has .40 up to that line..so you've pretty much got to ride it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 It looks good down south. I'm a little up in the air with how far this bumps north. Your call looks good for now. I was a little shocked at how bullish the euro was. I guess mid day is the push north if it's going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I was a little shocked at how bullish the euro was. I guess mid day is the push north if it's going to happen. Yeah I am just looking at everything now. We should see a bump north after like 13z or so...at least if models are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 ALB radar looks better and better..you can see the north push starting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Euro seems a little too bullish to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Heavy rain will flip over to all snow as the heaviest precip moves into the region from the southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm very skeptical of anything more than light to moderate pushing north to the Boston metro despite the overnight runs pushing some modest QPF up here. But if it does make it up here, wet bulbs are right around freezing so if it comes down with any intensity it'll have no problem accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Euro seems a little too bullish to me. Agreed...but we'll find out in about 2-3 hours. It took the other guidance to the woodshed in this after doing it on the weekend system (taking that over Toronto when the GFS was trying to give us snow)....might be getting its mojo back. Hope its right about that final 20 mile push north, but I'm mostly thinking an inch or two of slop near the pike vs advisory stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Agreed...but we'll find out in about 2-3 hours. It took the other guidance to the woodshed in this after doing it on the weekend system (taking that over Toronto when the GFS was trying to give us snow)....might be getting its mojo back. Hope its right about that final 20 mile push north, but I'm mostly thinking an inch or two of slop near the pike vs advisory stuff. I'll be really impressed if it nails this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'll be really impressed if it nails this. i think it's going to..look at radar over ENY and W Mass..echoes blossoming bigtime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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