butterfish55 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 good time tomorrow aftn. NAM/ HiresNAM and RGEM look about the same. SREFs not as robust. Our BOX forecast is for less than .5" tomorrow and nothing tomorrow night. That's what the superintendents see right before they go to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yeah GFS is getting there, might be one of those cases where its just late, extremely late to the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 good time tomorrow aftn. NAM/ HiresNAM and RGEM look about the same. SREFs not as robust. SREFs now that the WRF component replaced earlier ETA runs...should just be flipped off during the winter. It's totally useless. new GFS is .25 Pike south...with .5 tickling the south coast. There will be at least one nice band in the area between the pike and south coast that's going to dump significantly more than is forecast. Temps could be the problem here but I fully expect 4-8" totals with spot 5-10" where cold isn't an issue. Those areas are now currently forecast to receive an inch or maybe two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 What are your thoughts for us? I was thinking 1-2 earlier, starting to think that may be quite low now 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 BOX will have to pull trigger mid-shift tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 GFS is way wetter. RGEM way wetter, NAM way wetter. Time for advisories or warnings. This was my fear earlier. Most of the public will wake up to ZERO advance notice. My mom works for a school district in C NJ, and she already got a call today at 8pm that schools are closed tomorrow. maybe SNE general public might be ill prepared, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Our BOX forecast is for less than .5" tomorrow and nothing tomorrow night. That's what the superintendents see right before they go to bed. Yup, going to be a mad scramble in the morning. Not sure what they will do. Probably won't be precipitating when school begins, but early release won't work either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 What is the timing? Will the morning commute in BOS be affected? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm still perplexed by what Box is worrying about in many of their zones. Sure coastal PYM may have an issue with temps. But Bristol CTY and all of RI and interior SE CT is going to get cold fast and pound. They're waiting on a fuller set of data but the first drops/flakes start flying soon. Geez...they sound like me with the sun angle stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm still perplexed by what Box is worrying about in many of their zones. Sure coastal PYM may have an issue with temps. But Bristol CTY and all of RI and interior SE CT is going to get cold fast and pound. They're waiting on a fuller set of data but the first drops/flakes start flying soon. Geez...they sound like me with the sun angle stuff. Scott little treat, today because of the Super Bowl, nested Nam run.http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll/firewx/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Scott little treat, today because of the Super Bowl, nested Nam run. http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll/firewx/ Suppose at this point that might as well wait until the euro. Damage is done and people are in bed. May as well stick the landing so to speak. That .5 line is about where I think the best banding is going to set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Need some sleep before tomorrow's big snowstorm. NWS waiting for EURO to come in and then likely issue warnings for South Coast of MA, and RI zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Need some sleep before tomorrow's big snowstorm. NWS waiting for EURO to come in and then likely issue warnings for South Coast of MA, and RI zones. You and I may still have temp issues. Just to my west should clean up. We may be okay too. Advisories should at the very least be going up. Snows into tomorrow evening here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Still worried about temps but heading to bed. Still drop jawed at the lack of advisories etc, but oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 NAM really has some good snow growth tomorrow. Weird given how high up it is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 NAM really has some good snow growth tomorrow. Weird given how high up it is! If the banding sets up a little further north than suspected like 90% of the time this is going to be a pasting. Quite the dynamic little event. Hoping temps have cooled in six hours when I'm back up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Man looking through a whole bunch of stuff big ole bag ofbWTF in Philly region tomorrow for rush hour, T snow?, rates 2-4 per hour,. See ya in the AM, think snow, thank Leon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Too warm in Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Man looking through a whole bunch of stuff big ole bag ofbWTF in Philly region tomorrow for rush hour, T snow?, rates 2-4 per hour,. See ya in the AM, think snow, thank Leon I'm not worried. I've only got a 70% of snow so it may still miss. Maybe 1-2"... Not worried at all shouldn't be a nightmare day at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Too warm in Boston? I don't think anyone in SNE should be concerned about warmth save places like GON or maybe CC/ISS initially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The HRRR just lights up the N PHL burbs through NYC. That would be an AM commute nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I don't think anyone in SNE should be concerned about warmth save places like GON or maybe CC/ISS initially. Yeah cooling off. Can already see where the banding may setup and it's a smudge north of models... NYC se ny across southern coastal ct ri etc. (IMO) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The HRRR just lights up the N PHL burbs through NYC. That would be an AM commute nightmare. And the majority of the general public have no idea there will even be snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yeah cooling off. Can already see where the banding may setup and it's a smudge north of models... NYC se ny across southern coastal ct ri etc. (IMO) The RAP and the HRRR just crush central NJ tomorrow morning. Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 And the majority of the general public have no idea there will even be snow... There is a winter storm warning for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 There is a winter storm warning for NYC. Oh awkward lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The RAP and the HRRR just crush central NJ tomorrow morning. Ouch. Not a huge fan of the hrrr it was too far south the last few systems with the heaviest band here. Rap somehow was better. But I still think this will come in a little north in the end. Southern Rhode Island into interior southern Bristol county may be the jackpot in the box zones with 4-8 or 5-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Nam has fronto reaching the nh border. We'll see if I can manage a few flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 There is a winter storm warning for NYC. People here have no idea, no one I talked to today had an idea there was snow coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 watch out for warnings for inland and all of ct by morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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