nrgjeff Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Nashville NWS did a study on winters and ENSO that proposes 5-year climate trends have more influence over Middle Tennessee winters than ENSO. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ssd/techmemo/sr231.pdf The last few years have obviously been on a cold 5-year plan. Even the so-called mild 15 years could be broken down into 5-year increments and explained by the 5-year signal and ENSO combo. It is fascinating and informative to see data driven research for operational forecast use. Longer 30/60 year cycles are influenced by the PDO, AMO and sunspots. However they may all be correlated with each other, and all influence ENSO tendency. When in doubt, back to Nashville's 5-year plans. Additional climo debate has to go in the Climate forum, but for operational forecasting one should expect ebb and flow, pauses and acceleration of trends. Cheers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I just saw that globally, that January was the 4th warmest on record. The southern hemisphere has been roasting, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I just saw that globally, that January was the 4th warmest on record. The southern hemisphere has been roasting, It is summer there...figures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Australia has started 2014 in a record heatwave. But it's not just confined to there. The western US and Alaska have been amazingly warm. The Iditarod is in trouble this year due to lack of snow cover. It rained in Fairbanks in January this year, that's also extremely rare. We just got under the cold that was out there finally. It spent years going to China, Korea or Europe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 EPS still has the storm for the 8th,hate being in the bulls eye though,something will go wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Seriously, I planted this stuff in October. We sloshed hot water into the air to watch it vaporize and this stuff just flipped the bird and kept on going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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