tnweathernut Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Stove, looking forward to your breakdown of the euro ensembles later tonight if you get the chance. I bet there are some DOOZIES in there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 We clearly have a trend on the GFS. 18z looks good! NAM is making baby steps but to me things are coming together in our favor not against it in East TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 10:04 PM, Stovepipe said: We clearly have a trend on the GFS. 18z looks good! NAM is making baby steps but to me things are coming together in our favor not against it in East TN. Yes, I agree wrt trends on the GFS. You can argue the trends for the EURO have been equally as good, really beefing up amounts over the last three runs. Is it right, I don't know, but it would certainly lead you to believe something BIG is quite possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabbycat Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Stovepipe, the GFS maps you post are all snow? Or it is total precip and you have to look at temps to determine which type it is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BamaChemE Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm rooting like crazy for the GFS. The rest of those models look meh at best for those of us in the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabbycat Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 tnweathernut, I found the verification graph that I asked about copying a few posts above. It was posted by packbacker in the "Burns' Big Banter" thread in the SE Forum # 331. If it's not ok to copy, but cite, just delete this for me and I'll know that's against the rules. I know some of you can't stay up all night and there are interesting things I can copy/cite here, but I don't know if it's allowed. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 10:24 PM, Tabbycat said: Stovepipe, the GFS maps you post are all snow? Or it is total precip and you have to look at temps to determine which type it is? Those maps are snow at a 10:1 ratio. I'm thinking what we get will be considerably lower ratio, maybe 7:1 or so which would mean cutting those clown totals some. Then if Cobb is to be believed, the totals on the GFS clown are way high. I guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabbycat Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Thanks, Stovepipe. I've decided I'll be happy if we just get 2-3". That would be two decent snows in one winter which would beat what we've had lately. Even then, I don't know how long it will stay before melting this time, so I may start drinking coffee and trying John's two hours a night sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 12:11 AM, Tabbycat said: Thanks, Stovepipe. I've decided I'll be happy if we just get 2-3". That would be two decent snows in one winter which would beat what we've had lately. Even then, I don't know how long it will stay before melting this time, so I may start drinking coffee and trying John's two hours a night sleep. Honestly, I'll be ecstatic with 2 or 3 wet inches of snow and some big ol fat flakes falling. That will be enough to make some snowmen which is something we've not been able to do for a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The amwx servers must be about to catch fire LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Maps allowed on storm mode? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BamaChemE Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 So did I see correctly that the NAM now has the freezing line at the Tennessee/Alabama border? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Did they cancel the radio show? Link seems to have went missing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GFS is rolling,,. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Model Center working better than it did during the NAM run, yay! I had to go to ncep. First World Problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BamaChemE Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Judging by the looks of the GFS, I need this thing to tick to the northwest now as well. I just want a couple of days out of school to get caught up dangit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 One of my grandfathers top 5 signs that falling weather is on the way within 48 hours. The large ring around the moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Is it against The religion if a TV met to go against the NAM and GFS? lol, I swear the downplaying is comical sometimes. Mark Reynolds..... "latest modeling is east". Really? What could he have possibly looked at in time for his forecast to give him that impression? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 4:19 AM, John1122 said: One of my grandfathers top 5 signs that falling weather is on the way within 48 hours. The large ring around the moon. John I was looking at the moon earlier too. It is my understanding the bright dot next to the moon is Jupiter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 4:23 AM, tnweathernut said: Is it against The religion if a TV met to go against the NAM and GFS? lol, I swear the downplaying is comical sometimes. Mark Reynolds..... "latest modeling is east". Really? What could he have possibly looked at in time for his forecast to give him that impression? Thought the same thing. Shocked he didn't break out the VIPIR model to show the LP 200 miles off the coast, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BamaChemE Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Good news fellas! At freezing now, and the precip is going to get here earlier than expected. Wasn't supposed to start until about 2:00 A.M but the moisture is already in Florence, Alabama. Let's hope it stays together and doesn't break up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 4:42 AM, BamaChemE said: Good news fellas! At freezing now, and the precip is going to get here earlier than expected. Wasn't supposed to start until about 2:00 A.M but the moisture is already in Florence, Alabama. Let's hope it stays together and doesn't break up! Good luck, would love to see you get a few inches out of this. That will actually help you hold down temps for the next round too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 4:39 AM, Stovepipe said: John I was looking at the moon earlier too. It is my understanding the bright dot next to the moon is Jupiter! Yep, that's Jupiter and the giant star Aldebaran around the moon in that picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I was hoping to catch that ggem clown then go to bed, with it stuck on 54 I guess I might as well bite the bullet and catch euro too lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvskelton Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:34 AM, Stovepipe said: I was hoping to catch that ggem clown then go to bed, with it stuck on 54 I guess I might as well bite the bullet and catch euro too lol. You're not alone Stove! A lot of us staying up for the Euro tonight. Gonna be some tired folks at work tomorrow! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:38 AM, kvskelton said: You're not alone Stove! A lot of us staying up for the Euro tonight. Gonna be some tired folks at work tomorrow! LOL I have an 8:15 class in the morning and a 7:00 class at night tomorrow. The darn 7:00 class is the only thing preventing me from pulling an all-nighter tonight. At least the board shouldn't crash for the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 4:39 AM, Stovepipe said: John I was looking at the moon earlier too. It is my understanding the bright dot next to the moon is Jupiter! Yeah you and John are right! This app called Sky Guide is awesome! It shows you exactly what stars you are looking at using your phone's compass and GPS. It also gives information about each star and constellations. Y'all should check it out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:54 AM, 1234snow said: Yeah you and John are right! This app called Sky Guide is awesome! It shows you exactly what stars you are looking at using your phone's compass and GPS. It also gives information about each star and constellations. Y'all should check it out! SkyView and Star Walk are similar and also great apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:34 AM, Stovepipe said: I was hoping to catch that ggem clown then go to bed, with it stuck on 54 I guess I might as well bite the bullet and catch euro too lol. I'm stuck at hour 48 on Weather Bell! This is the only model that does this. The full Euro will be out by the time the GGEM clown gets done! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Euro looking more expansive westward with the qpf at 48, nashville getting in on the action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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