Santa Clause Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Lancaster= new Bufffalo NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Like I said, I'd be happy with half of the 6-8" it's showing. Not expecting above 2-3". I'm setting my expectations at 2" here, since thats around what i've had the last couple of these events. 3-4" would be be ideal to replace the lost snow over the weekend (especially today). Meanwhile i'll hope the last couple RAP runs are right haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Hey guys could anyone give me an anticipated start time for s cent pa? My wife is essential personnel at a hospital and we are trying to make a decision for where she is staying tonight. She works at 7am in York. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Talked to a met from there. They are still looking at the GFS ens. Best just to know what we are getting and not rely on them. A warning doesn't mean it will or won't snow 6". That is true, but still misleading with people relying on just the advisory saying 2-4... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Hey guys could anyone give me an anticipated start time for s cent pa? My wife is essential personnel at a hospital and we are trying to make a decision for where she is staying tonight. She works at 7am in York. Around 1am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 That is true, but still misleading with people relying on just the advisory saying 2-4... Think the adv is 3-6" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Is State College asleep? Seriously! After that 12z Euro run, most if not all the LSV should have a WSW, especially the southern tier counties... YUP! Was at the grocery store an hour ago and some guy in front of me was telling the cashier that he heard only 1-2 inches and the storm was going to be no big deal with almost all rain in Hunt Valley, MD, LOL! Hope he is not making any opening and closing decisions for the general public. An Advisory makes it sound like a minor nuisance. Way to go State College. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'm setting my expectations at 2" here, since thats around what i've had the last couple of these events. 3-4" would be be ideal to replace the lost snow over the weekend (especially today). Meanwhile i'll hope the last couple RAP runs are right haha. What did Euro show Mag? for both storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Talked to a met from there. They are still looking at the GFS ens. Best just to know what we are getting and not rely on them. A warning doesn't mean it will or won't snow 6". Yeah, I never could understand the big deal about the watches and warnings. We get what we get anyway. I guess to some they're like a status symbol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Radar looks like the best i've ever had!!! lol jk but, looks way better than any storm so far this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Around 1am LOL good luck with any schools opening tomorrow! There have been so many snow days now...bet they feel like idiots for closing schools in mass panic of the cold shot in early January! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'm setting my expectations at 2" here, since thats around what i've had the last couple of these events. 3-4" would be be ideal to replace the lost snow over the weekend (especially today). Meanwhile i'll hope the last couple RAP runs are right haha. Altoona? That seems like a decent spot for the storm tomorrow. Kind of borderline though, maybe a band on the NW edge can help you out? York, PA should be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 LOL good luck with any schools opening tomorrow! There have been so many snow days now...bet they feel like idiots for closing schools in mass panic of the cold shot in early January! Wednesday more closings and then maybe next week too. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 YUP! Was at the grocery store an hour ago and some guy in front of me was telling the cashier that he heard only 1-2 inches and the storm was going to be no big deal with almost all rain in Hunt Valley, MD, LOL! Hope he is not making any opening and closing decisions for the general public. An Advisory makes it sound like a minor nuisance. Way to go State College. Hunt Valley may actually be on the rain/snow line at the height of the storm, but saying "only 1-2", no big deal" is really ****ing reckless. Seems like 2-5" is the rough consensus there but any tiny change can make or break the difference between 1" and 7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Talked to a met from there. They are still looking at the GFS ens. Best just to know what we are getting and not rely on them. A warning doesn't mean it will or won't snow 6". It's not like the 12z GFS ensembles are a complete miss, has a broad area of 0.25-0.50 at the 24 hour frame that gets nearly to UNV and a bit more in the LSV hour 30. In my opinion I see enough to at least upgrade Franklin-Adams-York-Lancaster counties to a 4-8 type warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Is State College asleep? Seriously! After that 12z Euro run, most if not all the LSV should have a WSW, especially the southern tier counties... Also Binghamton, not the first time for them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Yeah, I never could understand the big deal about the watches and warnings. We get what we get anyway. I guess to some they're like a status symbol. Only problem is people that open businesses etc watch local news from a day before, or some radio DJ who says "only an Advisory no big deal" and people get sent to work in it, then when it hits the fan can't makes it home, wreck, or Commutergeddon commences when everyone is told to leave work at the same time because it is "worse than expected". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 My opinion but unless you have a red tag bashing CTP is not cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 My opinion but unless you have a red tag bashing CTP is not cool. This. They could still be right, and most people already know it's going to snow tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 It's not like the 12z GFS ensembles are a complete miss, has a broad area of 0.25-0.50 at the 24 hour frame that gets nearly to UNV and a bit more in the LSV hour 30. In my opinion I see enough to at least upgrade Franklin-Adams-York-Lancaster counties to a 4-8 type warning. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 This. They could still be right, and most people already know it's going to snow tomorrow. No they don't lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 My opinion but unless you have a red tag bashing CTP is not cool. It may be your opinion, but it's one that I share with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Of course we all know where that will be...lol I'd sure like to squeak out 3" from this one though. As for the mid-week storm, I'm not liking the major ice showing up on the models. I'd prefer all snow, snow to sleet, or all rain. 3/4 inch of ice would not be good at all. Especially with the cold air that supposedly follows. euro upped muir aaf to over .6 qpf. So even with the gradient that bodes well for us. Granted you are about 20 miles further north then me. I'm cautiously optimistic we do better this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Altoona? That seems like a decent spot for the storm tomorrow. Kind of borderline though, maybe a band on the NW edge can help you out? York, PA should be good. I'm about 8 miles north of Altoona, but yea hopefully we can overachieve. The late northern trends haven't worked out in my local area the last couple events that focused along the turnpike and south. I said a day or two ago that I think this one has a better chance than those ones did to end up further north with things given that colder temps are likely to be sluggish to work south and the frontal passage isn't drilling in any kind of a very cold air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 No they don't lol. I was at dunkin donuts this morning and people were like, it's going to snow? No way?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I would not bash them because they have their internal criteria, but the general public is pretty weather illiterate and if raising headlines can keep fools off the roads and make people second guess travel plans a little, then I'm all for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Yea, this front is a slug. Not really in any hurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On the road, how does euro look for wed? Seemed ggem trended north a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'm cautiously optimistic we do better this time. Me too, but I've been burned by the models and their late trends quite a few times, so I guess it's wait and see for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 My opinion but unless you have a red tag bashing CTP is not cool. I don't think anyone should be bashing them, even red-taggers. There are some incredibly smart and insightful mets working up there. They have made a choice on which solution to follow, and they have their reasons for doing so. We may not all agree, but that's what makes this profession awesome...there is no right answer until after the storm has passed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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