PennMan Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:21 PM, heavy_wx said: Radar upstream of State College looks decent. We are right on the northern edge of the poleward-sloped frontogenetic circulation where there is some weaker lift. This circulation is supported by the upper-levels, which place much of PA in the right entrance region of the 250 mb jet streak. On 2/3/2014 at 12:27 PM, PSUHazletonWx said: Well, the snow is currently pretty poor-looking here...as the rich get richer, us northerners will have to place our chips on Wednesday...and I just hate doing that for this setup. these posts...I think I'll side with heavy_wx on this. Snow looks fine. Over an inch in Bellefonte and coming down nicely. Radar looks good for us for the next several hours. We were never supposed to get in on 1-2"/hr stuff and this is all basically a bonus anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:26 PM, mapgirl said: oh, i understand too... which is why i'm not going to post down there much today. I have 1" already, of rain. Enjoy it up there today it looks like i am going to get the shaft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 looking at IR/WV maps... to me it looks like we should see some good heavy bands develop around the region here soon measured 2.5" at 7am with .54 liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:51 PM, PennMan said: these posts...I think I'll side with heavy_wx on this. Snow looks fine. Over an inch in Bellefonte and coming down nicely. Radar looks good for us for the next several hours. We were never supposed to get in on 1-2"/hr stuff and this is all basically a bonus anyway. Good example for newbies on who to pay attention to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Here comes the next real heavy batch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I decided to stay back home, which may not have been the wisest decision, but it's been a while since we've had a big rain to snow changeover event so I'm patiently waiting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:48 PM, mapgirl said: sleet keeps mixing in down here I've been monitoring that on dual pol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:56 PM, Superstorm said: I've been monitoring that on dual pol: yeah, ive been sitting right on the edge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:53 PM, JamieOber said: Good example for newbies on who to pay attention to. Check out the Pittsburgh radar...looks good for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:50 PM, canderson said: So ice storm Wed, what did the overnight and 06z models have for MDT? I'm afraid to ask actually,, You're not the only one, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Another .15" in the heated bucket this hour. Steady at that rate for last 3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 1st snow map for Wednesday from CTP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Enjoying the snow today. Sure they're getting more down south, but we still have lots to go and it looks great. And I'm glad they're scoring down south on this one, since we're going to be almost in the sweet spot come Wednesday. (By the way, sticking to the idea that Wed. is > 75% snow precip-wise up here, and < 25% sleet... wouldn't shock me if 95% of the precip was snow). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:58 PM, mapgirl said: yeah, ive been sitting right on the edge According to the mesoanalysis, you are straddling the line of sleet and snow in Parkton. You should be ok in an hour for all worry free snow. Parkton has been doing very well this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:01 PM, djr5001 said: wed1.png 1st snow map for Wednesday from CTP Looks about right. These silly '3-4 inch' UNV/IPT calls coming from some posters are actually becoming a little irritating. There's really no support for such numbers, except maybe the NAM, but as we all know, that's an awful model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:01 PM, Mallow said: Enjoying the snow today. Sure they're getting more down south, but we still have lots to go and it looks great. And I'm glad they're scoring down south on this one, since we're going to be almost in the sweet spot come Wednesday. (By the way, sticking to the idea that Wed. is > 75% snow precip-wise up here, and < 25% sleet... wouldn't shock me if 95% of the precip was snow). I like Wednesday's snow potential. 06z GFS runs the surface low from about Charleston, WV to DC and Cape May. Good track for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:00 PM, wxmeddler said: Another .15" in the heated bucket this hour. Steady at that rate for last 3 hours. steady she goes. It looks beautiful outside. We should be good for Eric's 5-9" call for the borough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:01 PM, djr5001 said: wed1.png 1st snow map for Wednesday from CTP Can't wait to see the ice map... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarks green snow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On the fringe today but seeing more flakes than first thought! Actually moderate snow and getting close to an inch on the ground. More than predicted-LOL. Wednesday is my storm- leave it alone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:01 PM, Mallow said: Enjoying the snow today. Sure they're getting more down south, but we still have lots to go and it looks great. And I'm glad they're scoring down south on this one, since we're going to be almost in the sweet spot come Wednesday. (By the way, sticking to the idea that Wed. is > 75% snow precip-wise up here, and < 25% sleet... wouldn't shock me if 95% of the precip was snow). Yeah, the Euro looked great for Wednesday at UNV with 1.03" QPF, all as snow. The 06z GFS was still a bit warmer and had less QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:03 PM, PennMan said: I like Wednesday's snow potential. 06z GFS runs the surface low from about Charleston, WV to DC and Cape May. Good track for us. Did you see the Op. Euro and GFS ensembles for storm number three? Good God! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Picked up an inch in the last hour. Up to 3" now but man that stuff feels like 6, consistency of wet cement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:02 PM, MillvilleWx said: According to the mesoanalysis, you are straddling the line of sleet and snow in Parkton. You should be ok in an hour for all worry free snow. Parkton has been doing very well this winter just measured an inch, but its def a snow/sleet mix on the ground. mostly snow falling now, still sleet mixed in. i'm not worried, i have done well this winter. cant complain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:55 PM, Fozz said: I decided to stay back home, which may not have been the wisest decision, but it's been a while since we've had a big rain to snow changeover event so I'm patiently waiting I commute all the way to Baltimore. No way I could get there today. Glad I didn't try 83 looks a hot mess right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:05 PM, heavy_wx said: Yeah, the Euro looked great for Wednesday at UNV with 1.03" QPF, all as snow. The 06z GFS was still a bit warmer and had less QPF. Yep, and although it wouldn't surprise me if the Euro was a bit too cold, I think most of the precip has already fallen by the (short period of) time we're mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:05 PM, wxmeddler said: Picked up an inch in the last hour. Up to 3" now but man that stuff feels like 6, consistency of wet cement. most def, already compacting here. going to make measuring hard, especially if it keeps mixing with sleet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:03 PM, PennMan said: I like Wednesday's snow potential. 06z GFS runs the surface low from about Charleston, WV to DC and Cape May. Good track for us. That's just awful for down here. Ice . You guys up north will enjoy that one. I can't wait to see pics and observations on Wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:01 PM, djr5001 said: wed1.png 1st snow map for Wednesday from CTP I'm on the gradient no matter where the storm sets up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 havent even looked at wednesdays storm... looks like a PA storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Doesn't matter how heavy the snow gets over me on radar it always seems the same intensity outside. It is snowing decently, but not really accumulating much. Only 2.5" Still 33 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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