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Monday Mauler or Monday Bawler? part II


DDweatherman

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I was just going to say that the 0Z GFS run should have mixed reactions. The temps suck at first, but really seem to crash past 15Z again at 850mb.

 

I was just going to say that the 0Z GFS run should have mixed reactions. The temps suck at first, but really seem to crash past 15Z again at 850mb.

 

Its just about over by then

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From wunderground for Columbia....

"Heavy snow during the morning will taper off to light snow during the afternoon. Temps nearly steady in the mid 30s. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. 5 to 8 inches of snow expected."

How likely is this?? I'd be thrilled with half of that.

 

 

They give me 3-5 and I live in the beltway. Extremely bullish, but I'm rooting for it for both of us. Good luck up north!

 

There seems to be an issue with the site.  If you hit refresh, I suspect your totals will change.  It happened to me on my laptop and my tablet.  Had 5-8.  I hit refresh and now I'm getting up to an inch.

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I've already been doing that :(

 

Anyway...now it's our turn.......hey northern people, don't worry...you'll be fine.  It's just the GFS.

 

Fortunately for them there's not much time left but this thing has been drifting a bit all along which was one of my early worries.. we hit ground zero (with bad temps) too soon. But.. wouldn't be surprising to see S/C PA jackpot v n md/PA border if this type of solution is right.

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So will everyone who has thrown in the towel then say tomorrow that they never did?

I am too far south for snow. Period.

 

I will get all rain and I will learn to love it. I can't wait to watch the rain accumulate in the usual low places on my back lawn. Tomorrow I will take regular measurements of the rainfall accumulations. I'll try not to slant the ruler too much. I realize that I am being a bit of a debbie downer, but MBY has a substantial warm layer AGL AND a warm nose to deal with. I love snow but that spells R-A-I-N.

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ha...sounding looks better than the model output by quite a bit

Wait and see. Anyone who flips to snow near the cities between 6am and 9am will stay that way until rates back off. Nowcasting gets easy from then on. Before that is just waiting. If you don't flip by 9am or 10 latest it is what it is. Not sure what else can be gleaned from models at this point

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