Monday Mauler or Monday Bawler? part II

[needbiggerboat]

For Centreville probably 3-4" on grassy surfaces. Mostly wet on paved surfaces with a white sheen developing. March 2013ish. For swiscaster all sleet and rain.

[WeSuck]

Hey, just started drinking for the SB a couple hours ago, wanted to post this before I'm too far gone.

Your map looks like you drew it drunk. I am starting drinking now too. Nice map BTW ;-)

Snow Map 2.3 to 2.4.jpg

[aldie 22]

Ellinwood updated his map. He's usually very conservative and frequently spot on.

I'm on the toilet on my cell so I can't tell

[NorthArlington101]

For Centreville probably 3-4" on grassy surfaces. Mostly wet on paved surfaces with a white sheen developing. March 2013ish. For swiscaster all sleet and rain.

YES exactly. Snowquester without the bust factor.

Sent from my iPod touch using Tapatalk

[Fozz]

Hey, just started drinking for the SB a couple hours ago, wanted to post this before I'm too far gone.

 

Snow Map 2.3 to 2.4.jpg

 

did H2O hack your account?

[Interstate]

I'm on the toilet on my cell so I can't tell

 

He went very bullish

[Ian]

CWG update: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/02/02/snowy-monday-morning-for-some-but-not-necessarily-everyone/

[ravensrule]

I'm on the toilet on my cell so I can't tell

Don't forget to wipe and have Mitch come over to fix any plumbing issues.

[ravensrule]

CWG update: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/02/02/snowy-monday-morning-for-some-but-not-necessarily-everyone/

Bearish   . Right on the 2-5" line.

[PhineasC]

For Centreville probably 3-4" on grassy surfaces. Mostly wet on paved surfaces with a white sheen developing. March 2013ish. For swiscaster all sleet and rain.

Spotty sleet for swiscaster.

[HighStakes]

I'm on the toilet on my cell so I can't tell

Lots of sleet for you.

[Superstorm]

Hey, just started drinking for the SB a couple hours ago, wanted to post this before I'm too far gone.

Snow Map 2.3 to 2.4.jpg

LMAO

[Interstate]

no Euro snow map?

[EastCoast NPZ]

Hey, just started drinking for the SB a couple hours ago, wanted to post this before I'm too far gone.

 

Snow Map 2.3 to 2.4.jpg

You should've made that map before you started drinking.

[Scraff]

If anyone gives a rats ass--Weather Channel went 4-6 for NOVA. What are they looking at? The Nizol model?

[Swiscaster]

I am not optimistic for any accumulating snow from this within 35 miles of DC. Warm antecedent airmass, late-arriving cold air, problems at multiple layers of the atmosphere, warm ground, daytime precip, etc., etc. Any flakes that make it to the surface will be melting already. This could be the type of deal where any snow that does fall doesn't even accumulate on old snow piles...

[clskinsfan]

12Z NAM:

 

DCA:

140203/0700Z 19 36009KT 40.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.011 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 0| 0|100
140203/0800Z 20 01009KT 38.9F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.076 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.09 0| 0|100
140203/0900Z 21 02008KT 37.8F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.074 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.16 0| 0|100
140203/1000Z 22 04008KT 36.8F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.070 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.23 0| 0|100
140203/1100Z 23 05011KT 35.0F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.139 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.37 0| 0|100
140203/1200Z 24 02010KT 34.6F RAPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.119 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.49 5| 78| 16
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140203/1300Z 25 03011KT 33.3F SNRAPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.139 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.63 44| 41| 15
140203/1400Z 26 03011KT 32.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.154 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.78 0| 0|100
140203/1500Z 27 02010KT 32.3F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.096 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.88 0| 0|100
140203/1600Z 28 01010KT 32.1F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.054 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.93 0| 0|100
140203/1700Z 29 36010KT 31.9F SNPL 12:1| 0.6|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 0.048 12:1| 0.6|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 0.98 73| 27| 0
140203/1800Z 30 36010KT 31.9F SNOW 9:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.033 11:1| 0.9|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 1.01 100| 0| 0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140203/1900Z 31 35010KT 31.9F SNOW 6:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 10:1| 1.0|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 1.03 100| 0| 0
140203/2000Z 32 35010KT 32.1F SNOW 8:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.023 9:1| 1.2|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 1.06 100| 0| 0
140203/2100Z 33 36009KT 32.1F SNOW 10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.011 9:1| 1.3|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 1.07 100| 0| 0

 

IAD:

140203/0600Z 18 35008KT 38.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 0| 0|100
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140203/0700Z 19 35010KT 36.9F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.045 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.06 0| 0|100
140203/0800Z 20 36009KT 36.0F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.081 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.15 0| 0|100
140203/0900Z 21 01008KT 35.3F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.076 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.22 0| 0|100
140203/1000Z 22 02007KT 34.8F RAPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.086 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.31 4| 33| 63
140203/1100Z 23 05011KT 34.1F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.150 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.46 0| 0|100
140203/1200Z 24 01009KT 33.5F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.131 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.59 65| 0| 35
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140203/1300Z 25 02009KT 32.4F SNOW 9:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.104 9:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.69 90| 0| 10
140203/1400Z 26 02010KT 31.9F SNPL 4:1| 0.6|| 0.14|| 0.00|| 0.142 6:1| 1.6|| 0.14|| 0.00|| 0.83 51| 49| 0
140203/1500Z 27 01010KT 31.9F SNPL 4:1| 0.4|| 0.12|| 0.00|| 0.116 6:1| 2.0|| 0.26|| 0.00|| 0.95 46| 54| 0
140203/1600Z 28 01010KT 31.5F SNPL 4:1| 0.2|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 0.055 5:1| 2.2|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.01 71| 29| 0
140203/1700Z 29 36010KT 31.5F SNOW 13:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.041 6:1| 2.8|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.05 100| 0| 0
140203/1800Z 30 35011KT 31.5F SNOW 8:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.020 6:1| 2.9|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.07 100| 0| 0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140203/1900Z 31 34011KT 31.7F SNOW 8:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.020 6:1| 3.1|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.09 100| 0| 0
140203/2000Z 32 35010KT 31.5F SNOW 9:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.025 6:1| 3.3|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.11 100| 0| 0
140203/2100Z 33 36009KT 31.9F FZDZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.005 6:1| 3.3|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.12 0| 0|100

 

BWI:

140203/0700Z 19 01009KT 39.8F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.015 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 0| 0|100
140203/0800Z 20 02009KT 38.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.058 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.07 0| 0|100
140203/0900Z 21 03009KT 36.8F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.078 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.15 0| 0|100
140203/1000Z 22 04008KT 35.3F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.092 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.24 0| 0|100
140203/1100Z 23 04009KT 34.1F SNRAPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.108 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.35 13| 42| 45
140203/1200Z 24 02011KT 33.7F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.149 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.50 63| 10| 26
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140203/1300Z 25 03010KT 32.3F SNOW 11:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.124 11:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.62 100| 0| 0
140203/1400Z 26 03010KT 31.7F SNOW 12:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.105 11:1| 2.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.73 100| 0| 0
140203/1500Z 27 02010KT 31.5F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.16|| 0.149 11:1| 2.5|| 0.00|| 0.16|| 0.88 0| 0|100
140203/1600Z 28 02010KT 31.7F SNPL 3:1| 0.2|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 0.072 9:1| 2.8|| 0.08|| 0.16|| 0.95 47| 53| 0
140203/1700Z 29 36009KT 31.5F SNOW 12:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.045 10:1| 3.3|| 0.08|| 0.16|| 1.00 100| 0| 0
140203/1800Z 30 36009KT 31.4F SNOW 8:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.041 9:1| 3.6|| 0.08|| 0.16|| 1.04 100| 0| 0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140203/1900Z 31 36010KT 31.7F SNOW 8:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.026 9:1| 3.9|| 0.08|| 0.16|| 1.06 100| 0| 0
140203/2000Z 32 35010KT 31.7F SNOW 9:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 9:1| 4.1|| 0.08|| 0.16|| 1.09 100| 0| 0
140203/2100Z 33 36008KT 31.7F SNOW 10:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.019 9:1| 4.2|| 0.08|| 0.16|| 1.10 100| 0| 0

 

MRB:

140203/0500Z 17 33006KT 33.5F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.013 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 0| 0|100
140203/0600Z 18 34008KT 33.2F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.034 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.05 58| 0| 42
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140203/0700Z 19 35006KT 32.6F SNOW 5:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.077 5:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.13 83| 0| 17
140203/0800Z 20 35007KT 32.4F SNOW 11:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.043 7:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.17 89| 0| 11
140203/0900Z 21 36007KT 32.3F SNOW 9:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.089 8:1| 1.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.26 91| 9| 0
140203/1000Z 22 02007KT 32.1F SNOW 9:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.115 8:1| 2.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.38 100| 0| 0
140203/1100Z 23 01010KT 32.1F SNOW 13:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.152 10:1| 4.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.53 100| 0| 0
140203/1200Z 24 03007KT 31.9F SNOW 9:1| 1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.171 10:1| 6.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.70 100| 0| 0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140203/1300Z 25 03006KT 31.5F SNOW 5:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.224 8:1| 7.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.92 100| 0| 0
140203/1400Z 26 03008KT 31.4F SNOW 5:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.110 8:1| 7.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.03 100| 0| 0
140203/1500Z 27 03008KT 31.0F SNOW 7:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.042 8:1| 8.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.08 100| 0| 0
140203/1600Z 28 02008KT 30.6F SNOW 7:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.025 8:1| 8.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.10 100| 0| 0
140203/1700Z 29 01008KT 30.8F SNOW 10:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.017 8:1| 8.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.12 100| 0| 0
140203/1800Z 30 36008KT 30.8F SNOW 14:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.012 8:1| 8.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.13 100| 0| 0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140203/1900Z 31 35008KT 31.0F SNOW 20:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.013 8:1| 8.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.14 100| 0| 0
140203/2000Z 32 01007KT 31.2F SNOW 9:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 8:1| 9.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.15 100| 0| 0

 

The GFS is less than an inch for everyone in this thread. Some major differences 18 hours before an event!

[Fozz]

I am not optimistic for any accumulating snow from this within 35 miles of DC. Warm antecedent airmass, late-arriving cold air, problems at multiple layers of the atmosphere, warm ground, daytime precip, etc., etc. Any flakes that make it to the surface will be melting already. This could be the type of deal where any snow that does fall doesn't even accumulate on old snow piles...

 

I understand you concerns, but you'd have to lower the radius to something WAY lower than 35 miles. Whoever gets high rates with a temp of 32 will see the snow quickly piling up, even if it was 55 today.

[PhineasC]

I am not optimistic for any accumulating snow from this within 35 miles of DC. Warm antecedent airmass, late-arriving cold air, problems at multiple layers of the atmosphere, warm ground, daytime precip, etc., etc. Any flakes that make it to the surface will be melting already. This could be the type of deal where any snow that does fall doesn't even accumulate on old snow piles...

You are never optimistic for accumulating snow in any MA storm. As I recall you crapped all over the last storm as well.

[Swiscaster]

I am thinking nowhere within 35 miles will have surface temps 32 or cooler until the precip is nearly shut off.

[MDstorm]

I'm on the toilet on my cell so I can't tell

Speaking of sitting on the toilet, I see that LWX has not decided yet whether to upgrade to warnings or downgrade to advisories..

MDstorm

[Solo2]

Warnings for the N. counties with the 3pm discussion?

[nj2va]

I am thinking nowhere within 35 miles will have surface temps 32 or cooler until the precip is nearly shut off.

Not saying this will happen like Jan 2011 but IIRC, I didn't get to 32 at the surface then either. I just had insane rates that got me accumulating snow.

[87storms]

Not saying this will happen like Jan 2011 but IIRC, I didn't get to 32 at the surface then either. I just had insane rates that got me accumulating snow.

Jan 11 was at night though...switched over right around sunset...perfect wet snow setup. Feb 87 was similar.

[BTRWx]

Not saying this will happen like Jan 2011 but IIRC, I didn't get to 32 at the surface then either. I just had insane rates that got me accumulating snow.

One difference to Jan 2011 is that dca didn't reach 50 degrees for much of that monthly pattern. http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KDCA/2011/1/26/MonthlyHistory.html

[nj2va]

15z Sref has a 1" in 6 hrs contour in SW VA and SE WV that wasn't there before. 850s look the same here.

[nj2va]

Jan 11 was at night though...switched over right around sunset...perfect wet snow setup. Feb 87 was similar.

  

One difference to Jan 2011 is that dca didn't reach 50 degrees for much of that monthly pattern. http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KDCA/2011/1/26/MonthlyHistory.html

I know, I was just pointing out the surface doesn't have to be at 32 or below for accumulating snow.

[hosj III]

  

I know, I was just pointing out the surface doesn't have to be at 32 or below for accumulating snow.

Agreed. I still think the city can pull off an inch and nearby suburbs 1-3.

[CAPE]

Hey, just started drinking for the SB a couple hours ago, wanted to post this before I'm too far gone.

 

Snow Map 2.3 to 2.4.jpg

lol. you gone brutha.

[Bodhi Cove]

12Z NAM:

 

DCA:

140203/0700Z 19 36009KT 40.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.011 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 0| 0|100

140203/0800Z 20 01009KT 38.9F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.076 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.09 0| 0|100

140203/0900Z 21 02008KT 37.8F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.074 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.16 0| 0|100

140203/1000Z 22 04008KT 36.8F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.070 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.23 0| 0|100

140203/1100Z 23 05011KT 35.0F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.139 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.37 0| 0|100

140203/1200Z 24 02010KT 34.6F RAPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.119 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.49 5| 78| 16

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

140203/1300Z 25 03011KT 33.3F SNRAPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.139 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.63 44| 41| 15

140203/1400Z 26 03011KT 32.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.154 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.78 0| 0|100

140203/1500Z 27 02010KT 32.3F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.096 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.88 0| 0|100

140203/1600Z 28 01010KT 32.1F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.054 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.93 0| 0|100

140203/1700Z 29 36010KT 31.9F SNPL 12:1| 0.6|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 0.048 12:1| 0.6|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 0.98 73| 27| 0

140203/1800Z 30 36010KT 31.9F SNOW 9:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.033 11:1| 0.9|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 1.01 100| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

140203/1900Z 31 35010KT 31.9F SNOW 6:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 10:1| 1.0|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 1.03 100| 0| 0

140203/2000Z 32 35010KT 32.1F SNOW 8:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.023 9:1| 1.2|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 1.06 100| 0| 0

140203/2100Z 33 36009KT 32.1F SNOW 10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.011 9:1| 1.3|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 1.07 100| 0| 0

 

IAD:

140203/0600Z 18 35008KT 38.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 0| 0|100

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

140203/0700Z 19 35010KT 36.9F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.045 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.06 0| 0|100

140203/0800Z 20 36009KT 36.0F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.081 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.15 0| 0|100

140203/0900Z 21 01008KT 35.3F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.076 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.22 0| 0|100

140203/1000Z 22 02007KT 34.8F RAPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.086 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.31 4| 33| 63

140203/1100Z 23 05011KT 34.1F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.150 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.46 0| 0|100

140203/1200Z 24 01009KT 33.5F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.131 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.59 65| 0| 35

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

140203/1300Z 25 02009KT 32.4F SNOW 9:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.104 9:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.69 90| 0| 10

140203/1400Z 26 02010KT 31.9F SNPL 4:1| 0.6|| 0.14|| 0.00|| 0.142 6:1| 1.6|| 0.14|| 0.00|| 0.83 51| 49| 0

140203/1500Z 27 01010KT 31.9F SNPL 4:1| 0.4|| 0.12|| 0.00|| 0.116 6:1| 2.0|| 0.26|| 0.00|| 0.95 46| 54| 0

140203/1600Z 28 01010KT 31.5F SNPL 4:1| 0.2|| 0.03|| 0.00|| 0.055 5:1| 2.2|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.01 71| 29| 0

140203/1700Z 29 36010KT 31.5F SNOW 13:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.041 6:1| 2.8|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.05 100| 0| 0

140203/1800Z 30 35011KT 31.5F SNOW 8:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.020 6:1| 2.9|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.07 100| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

140203/1900Z 31 34011KT 31.7F SNOW 8:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.020 6:1| 3.1|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.09 100| 0| 0

140203/2000Z 32 35010KT 31.5F SNOW 9:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.025 6:1| 3.3|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.11 100| 0| 0

140203/2100Z 33 36009KT 31.9F FZDZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.005 6:1| 3.3|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.12 0| 0|100

 

BWI:

140203/0700Z 19 01009KT 39.8F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.015 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 0| 0|100

140203/0800Z 20 02009KT 38.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.058 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.07 0| 0|100

140203/0900Z 21 03009KT 36.8F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.078 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.15 0| 0|100

140203/1000Z 22 04008KT 35.3F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.092 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.24 0| 0|100

140203/1100Z 23 04009KT 34.1F SNRAPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.108 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.35 13| 42| 45

140203/1200Z 24 02011KT 33.7F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.149 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.50 63| 10| 26

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

140203/1300Z 25 03010KT 32.3F SNOW 11:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.124 11:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.62 100| 0| 0

140203/1400Z 26 03010KT 31.7F SNOW 12:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.105 11:1| 2.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.73 100| 0| 0

140203/1500Z 27 02010KT 31.5F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.16|| 0.149 11:1| 2.5|| 0.00|| 0.16|| 0.88 0| 0|100

140203/1600Z 28 02010KT 31.7F SNPL 3:1| 0.2|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 0.072 9:1| 2.8|| 0.08|| 0.16|| 0.95 47| 53| 0

140203/1700Z 29 36009KT 31.5F SNOW 12:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.045 10:1| 3.3|| 0.08|| 0.16|| 1.00 100| 0| 0

140203/1800Z 30 36009KT 31.4F SNOW 8:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.041 9:1| 3.6|| 0.08|| 0.16|| 1.04 100| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

140203/1900Z 31 36010KT 31.7F SNOW 8:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.026 9:1| 3.9|| 0.08|| 0.16|| 1.06 100| 0| 0

140203/2000Z 32 35010KT 31.7F SNOW 9:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 9:1| 4.1|| 0.08|| 0.16|| 1.09 100| 0| 0

140203/2100Z 33 36008KT 31.7F SNOW 10:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.019 9:1| 4.2|| 0.08|| 0.16|| 1.10 100| 0| 0

 

MRB:

140203/0500Z 17 33006KT 33.5F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.013 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 0| 0|100

140203/0600Z 18 34008KT 33.2F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.034 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.05 58| 0| 42

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

140203/0700Z 19 35006KT 32.6F SNOW 5:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.077 5:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.13 83| 0| 17

140203/0800Z 20 35007KT 32.4F SNOW 11:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.043 7:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.17 89| 0| 11

140203/0900Z 21 36007KT 32.3F SNOW 9:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.089 8:1| 1.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.26 91| 9| 0

140203/1000Z 22 02007KT 32.1F SNOW 9:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.115 8:1| 2.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.38 100| 0| 0

140203/1100Z 23 01010KT 32.1F SNOW 13:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.152 10:1| 4.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.53 100| 0| 0

140203/1200Z 24 03007KT 31.9F SNOW 9:1| 1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.171 10:1| 6.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.70 100| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

140203/1300Z 25 03006KT 31.5F SNOW 5:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.224 8:1| 7.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.92 100| 0| 0

140203/1400Z 26 03008KT 31.4F SNOW 5:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.110 8:1| 7.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.03 100| 0| 0

140203/1500Z 27 03008KT 31.0F SNOW 7:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.042 8:1| 8.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.08 100| 0| 0

140203/1600Z 28 02008KT 30.6F SNOW 7:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.025 8:1| 8.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.10 100| 0| 0

140203/1700Z 29 01008KT 30.8F SNOW 10:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.017 8:1| 8.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.12 100| 0| 0

140203/1800Z 30 36008KT 30.8F SNOW 14:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.012 8:1| 8.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.13 100| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

140203/1900Z 31 35008KT 31.0F SNOW 20:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.013 8:1| 8.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.14 100| 0| 0

140203/2000Z 32 01007KT 31.2F SNOW 9:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 8:1| 9.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.15 100| 0| 0

 

The GFS is less than an inch for everyone in this thread. Some major differences 18 hours before an event!

 

Can you post MTN please?  kthxbai