mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 BWI way better than last night, and the extra couple miles N only helps me a bit MON 12Z 03-FEB 0.6 -0.1 1021 98 100 0.21 564 547 MON 18Z 03-FEB 0.1 -1.5 1020 94 100 0.77 561 545 TUE 00Z 04-FEB 0.0 -2.3 1023 90 57 0.15 562 544 TUE 06Z 04-FEB -3.4 -3.2 1027 92 1 0.00 566 545 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 That is some kind of paste bomb on the Euro. I'm still thinking DCA on the fence, but BWI northward is game on. If the Euro materializes, this will be Ji scrap book worthy. He can use the paste that will fall from the sky to add his pictures he'll take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Balt looks really good too. Is euro too cold? if you're 33-34 you're fine as long as it is snow and you have rates...I couldn't care less about the 32 line... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 That sounds good to me. If the surface temps are as the Euro depicts them i would be good here especially with those rates. You would be good Total QPF is 1.0 for me and 1.2 for BWI, so you're probably 1.1 or so. Usually the Euro is playing catch up this close in with precip amounts so maybe it's locked in on these amounts. It sure would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 BWI way better than last night, and the extra couple miles N only helps me a bit MON 12Z 03-FEB 0.6 -0.1 1021 98 100 0.21 564 547 MON 18Z 03-FEB 0.1 -1.5 1020 94 100 0.77 561 545 TUE 00Z 04-FEB 0.0 -2.3 1023 90 57 0.15 562 544 TUE 06Z 04-FEB -3.4 -3.2 1027 92 1 0.00 566 545 How does dca look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 if you're 33-34 you're fine as long as it is snow and you have rates...I couldn't care less about the 32 line... Verbatim on the Euro....wet snow at DC? QPF suggests the rates would be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 You would be good Total QPF is 1.0 for me and 1.2 for BWI, so you're probably 1.1 or so. Usually the Euro is playing catch up this close in with precip amounts so maybe it's locked in on these amounts. It sure would be great. you guys on that hill get 10" easy congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Maybe. It has to be a byproduct of the crazy dynamics and rates. The northern maxima is pretty wild. But back that down a notch and everything is warmer What ever happened to Euro warm bias? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 You would be good Total QPF is 1.0 for me and 1.2 for BWI, so you're probably 1.1 or so. Usually the Euro is playing catch up this close in with precip amounts so maybe it's locked in on these amounts. It sure would be great. If this can hang on through 0Z tomorrow night this could get pretty exciting up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 How does dca look? .4 to .5C warmer on the surface when it counts precip-wise and a little less than that at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 you guys on that hill get 10" easy congrats If I'm getting 10 then you are getting at least 4-5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 If this can hang on through 0Z tomorrow night this could get pretty exciting up here. verbatim, you get creamed with snow paste, me....I think so but not as confident Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 .4 to .5C warmer on the surface when it counts precip-wise and a little less than that at 850 -1 at 850, 33 at sfc. Dumping.. .8" in 6hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 -1 at 850, 33 at sfc. Dumping.. .8" in 6hrs Paste job at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 -1 at 850, 33 at sfc. Dumping.. .8" in 6hrs a lot better than what mitch said. I'd be back in for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Westminster is best, 1" and all below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 verbatim, you get creamed with snow paste, me....I think so but not as confident With these rates though IF they come true you will be fine as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 a lot better than what mitch said. I'd be back in for that. 2 hours ago (actually 2 minutes ago) you punted. welcome back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 the problem with this storm is the storm (below) is still too fresh in my mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro/RGEM combo, this close in, is deadly. GFS should adjust by 12Z later today and the NAM will get a clue by late Monday night. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 the problem with this storm is the storm (below) is still too fresh in my mind Just seeing that map gives me PTSD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Deformation zone RIGHT over DC 12z. Look at the streamlines at 850mb. Also notice the models are picking up on convective banding and hence the kooky height contours during that time. The temp profiles will be screwy within this zone. Getting into this zone will flash over any light rain to heavy wet snow that piles quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 a lot better than what mitch said. I'd be back in for that. what I said wasn't really any different than what meddler said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 2 hours ago (actually 2 minutes ago) you punted. welcome back! Dude, i'm running on a fifth of gin, i'll probably punt at least 3 more times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Deformation zone RIGHT over DC 12z. Look at the streamlines at 850mb. Also notice the models are picking up on convective banding and hence the kooky height contours during that time. The temp profiles will be screwy within this zone. Getting into this zone will flash over any light rain to heavy wet snow that piles quickly. Thanks HM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Deformation zone RIGHT over DC 12z. Look at the streamlines at 850mb. Also notice the models are picking up on convective banding and hence the kooky height contours during that time. The temp profiles will be screwy within this zone. Getting into this zone will flash over any light rain to heavy wet snow that piles quickly. That sounds awesome. Randy is definitely back in now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ GFs-->850mb-->Relative Humidity (for streamlines) and then check out 850mb VVs and heights. QPF field is jacked on GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Dude, i'm running on a fifth of gin, i'll probably punt at least 3 more times You have to get to AA before your liver falls down the toilet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 It's not Ryan mahue fault that weatherbell map is showing 8 inches for dca. Its the German guy who designed the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Deformation zone RIGHT over DC 12z. Look at the streamlines at 850mb. Also notice the models are picking up on convective banding and hence the kooky height contours during that time. The temp profiles will be screwy within this zone. Getting into this zone will flash over any light rain to heavy wet snow that piles quickly. How much for DC? MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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