Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Balt looks really good too. Is euro too cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k94 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro is a major snow for me. Best run of the day . Dt already cancelled snow Did he not call for a "hammering" for DC earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 No problem. Looks like BWI is around 33-34 at 12z with slightly under 0 at 850. By 18z 850's and at -1.5 and .77 has fallen in the 6 hour period with the surface just about freezing. Not sure about any warm layers. Crazy rates are possible if this pans out this way. Surface may be too warm if those rates materialize. That sounds good to me. If the surface temps are as the Euro depicts them i would be good here especially with those rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 U got the foreign models vs american models who have been playing catchup this entire weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Did he not call for a "hammering" for DC earlier? He cancelled 10 minutes before euro came out lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Balt looks really good too. Is euro too cold? The Euro is rarely to cold, if anything it is the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 He cancelled 10 minutes before euro came out lol. I feel an ALLEEEEEET coming on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Never thought this wave would be our wettest winter event in 3 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Balt looks really good too. Is euro too cold? Maybe. It has to be a byproduct of the crazy dynamics and rates. The northern maxima is pretty wild. But back that down a notch and everything is warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 BWI way better than last night, and the extra couple miles N only helps me a bit MON 12Z 03-FEB 0.6 -0.1 1021 98 100 0.21 564 547 MON 18Z 03-FEB 0.1 -1.5 1020 94 100 0.77 561 545 TUE 00Z 04-FEB 0.0 -2.3 1023 90 57 0.15 562 544 TUE 06Z 04-FEB -3.4 -3.2 1027 92 1 0.00 566 545 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 That is some kind of paste bomb on the Euro. I'm still thinking DCA on the fence, but BWI northward is game on. If the Euro materializes, this will be Ji scrap book worthy. He can use the paste that will fall from the sky to add his pictures he'll take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 That sounds good to me. If the surface temps are as the Euro depicts them i would be good here especially with those rates. You would be good Total QPF is 1.0 for me and 1.2 for BWI, so you're probably 1.1 or so. Usually the Euro is playing catch up this close in with precip amounts so maybe it's locked in on these amounts. It sure would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 BWI way better than last night, and the extra couple miles N only helps me a bit MON 12Z 03-FEB 0.6 -0.1 1021 98 100 0.21 564 547 MON 18Z 03-FEB 0.1 -1.5 1020 94 100 0.77 561 545 TUE 00Z 04-FEB 0.0 -2.3 1023 90 57 0.15 562 544 TUE 06Z 04-FEB -3.4 -3.2 1027 92 1 0.00 566 545 How does dca look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 if you're 33-34 you're fine as long as it is snow and you have rates...I couldn't care less about the 32 line... Verbatim on the Euro....wet snow at DC? QPF suggests the rates would be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 You would be good Total QPF is 1.0 for me and 1.2 for BWI, so you're probably 1.1 or so. Usually the Euro is playing catch up this close in with precip amounts so maybe it's locked in on these amounts. It sure would be great. you guys on that hill get 10" easy congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Maybe. It has to be a byproduct of the crazy dynamics and rates. The northern maxima is pretty wild. But back that down a notch and everything is warmer What ever happened to Euro warm bias? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 You would be good Total QPF is 1.0 for me and 1.2 for BWI, so you're probably 1.1 or so. Usually the Euro is playing catch up this close in with precip amounts so maybe it's locked in on these amounts. It sure would be great. If this can hang on through 0Z tomorrow night this could get pretty exciting up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 How does dca look? .4 to .5C warmer on the surface when it counts precip-wise and a little less than that at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 you guys on that hill get 10" easy congrats If I'm getting 10 then you are getting at least 4-5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 If this can hang on through 0Z tomorrow night this could get pretty exciting up here. verbatim, you get creamed with snow paste, me....I think so but not as confident Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 .4 to .5C warmer on the surface when it counts precip-wise and a little less than that at 850 -1 at 850, 33 at sfc. Dumping.. .8" in 6hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 -1 at 850, 33 at sfc. Dumping.. .8" in 6hrs Paste job at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 -1 at 850, 33 at sfc. Dumping.. .8" in 6hrs a lot better than what mitch said. I'd be back in for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Westminster is best, 1" and all below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 verbatim, you get creamed with snow paste, me....I think so but not as confident With these rates though IF they come true you will be fine as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 a lot better than what mitch said. I'd be back in for that. 2 hours ago (actually 2 minutes ago) you punted. welcome back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 the problem with this storm is the storm (below) is still too fresh in my mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro/RGEM combo, this close in, is deadly. GFS should adjust by 12Z later today and the NAM will get a clue by late Monday night. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 the problem with this storm is the storm (below) is still too fresh in my mind Just seeing that map gives me PTSD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Deformation zone RIGHT over DC 12z. Look at the streamlines at 850mb. Also notice the models are picking up on convective banding and hence the kooky height contours during that time. The temp profiles will be screwy within this zone. Getting into this zone will flash over any light rain to heavy wet snow that piles quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.