ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Not the best. Guessing you are getting 6-8" i would be happy with 3-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Lol, the WxBell clown maps are crazy. 8" for DC? Their algorithms are nutty. It's a tough forecast . I've seen some crazy snow stuff in my lifetime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Its wetter and marginally colder We've been overusing that phrase before SPC even color-codes it. Wundermap 2m temps looks very similar to 12Z. Central West Virginia looks like big amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 It's a tough forecast . I've seen some crazy snow stuff in my lifetime No doubt. If not for Mar and Dec 13, I'd probably be more excited for MBY. I hope the Euro/RGEM are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Guessing you are getting 6-8" i would be happy with 3-5". QPF is great for everybody. You could easily approach 6+ if temps workout. That is according to this run. I'll get you some exact numbers shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 QPF is great for everybody. You could easily approach 6+ if temps workout. That is according to this run. I'll get you some exact numbers shortly. Thank you very much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Well, Monday morning is going to be interesting for sure....either its ripping snow with 5:1 ratios or its heavy raining washing all the salt away. Theres such a wide range of possibilites and the NWS winter page portrays that in its crazy percentage chance of accum ranges even though its experimental http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winter/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro looks like it saves it's best QPF for the colder temps. We don't waste much in warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Just have a hard time believing this will be a rain event. Warm snowstorms happen. It snowed November 11 once you're ok where you are I think.... I mean DCA didnt even hit freezing during 1/2 and still got 2"....they were 33 most of the time on 2/23/87 and picked up 10" and 34 most of the time on 1/26/11 and got 5"...the surface doesnt matter that much if you're the real deal ++..not the stuff weenies call heavy snow..the actual 1/8 mi stuff....just worried about precip type Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 hgr gets crushed with .7+/- snow and more to come after 1pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro is a major snow for me. Best run of the day . Dt already cancelled snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 The thing with the 0Z Euro is 2m temps never even break 10C on wundermap, so if we hit 60 tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro is a major snow for me. Best run of the day . Dt already cancelled snow my numbers are almost identical to yours and per Accuwx mos, my surface is a little colder than you RGEM-like results? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 This is nuts Feb. 5. 2010 like for 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Just when everyone is out, the Euro pulls us back in. .8 in 6 hours is crazy. I was never out and I don't mean just my yard. You can't ignore the type of rates that all models are spitting out. Euro has 1.2 eastern moco/howard. These storms are rar. It can totally bust outside the usual suspects or can surprise many. I don't join neg Nancy pile ons so I keep quiet at times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Thank you very much. No problem. Looks like BWI is around 33-34 at 12z with slightly under 0 at 850. By 18z 850's and at -1.5 and .77 has fallen in the 6 hour period with the surface just about freezing. Not sure about any warm layers. Crazy rates are possible if this pans out this way. Surface may be too warm if those rates materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 The thing with the 0Z Euro is 2m temps never even break 10C on wundermap, so if we hit 60 tomorrow... Actually the thin isotherms themselves don't got above 10C, but the shaded gradients do approach 60F, odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 U got the foreign models vs american models who have been playing catchup this entire weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 yeah, Euro is even colder for CHO so they must be colder here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Forecasting nightmare for cwg and tv mets . It could bust both ways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 U got the foreign models vs american models who have been playing catchup this entire weekend Congrats man. You look like the mountain top looking down on the valley (me, matt, ian), I'm fully out. My only hope is the unicorn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Balt looks really good too. Is euro too cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k94 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro is a major snow for me. Best run of the day . Dt already cancelled snow Did he not call for a "hammering" for DC earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 No problem. Looks like BWI is around 33-34 at 12z with slightly under 0 at 850. By 18z 850's and at -1.5 and .77 has fallen in the 6 hour period with the surface just about freezing. Not sure about any warm layers. Crazy rates are possible if this pans out this way. Surface may be too warm if those rates materialize. That sounds good to me. If the surface temps are as the Euro depicts them i would be good here especially with those rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 U got the foreign models vs american models who have been playing catchup this entire weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Did he not call for a "hammering" for DC earlier? He cancelled 10 minutes before euro came out lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Balt looks really good too. Is euro too cold? The Euro is rarely to cold, if anything it is the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 He cancelled 10 minutes before euro came out lol. I feel an ALLEEEEEET coming on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Never thought this wave would be our wettest winter event in 3 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Balt looks really good too. Is euro too cold? Maybe. It has to be a byproduct of the crazy dynamics and rates. The northern maxima is pretty wild. But back that down a notch and everything is warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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