Yeoman Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Its wetter and marginally colder Thunder snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 What time do we hit 63 tomorrow? 19z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Everyone has forgotten about the euro in tonight's debacle well, I ain't here to listen to you sing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Its wetter and marginally colder he!!, the 12z skewts were pretty darn good for everyone, so that means RGEM result is possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro drops .8+ in 6 hours from 7am to 1pm Surface 33 raw #s for most. 850's just enough but it's a razor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro is better I think. I would imagine it'd be a paste bomb given the 850 line is in western FFX county at 7a and crosses DC some point before 1 pm. Surface based on raw model output is 33/34. I generally suck at figuring out these marginal events so who knows. I'll leave it up to the pros here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 the surface still looks rancid, but 850's are slightly colder for me....probably due to the fact that it is wetter....1.15" or so The surface is rancid in Baltimore also?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Just have a hard time believing this will be a rain event. Warm snowstorms happen. It snowed November 11 once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Lol, the WxBell clown maps are crazy. 8" for DC? Their algorithms are nutty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 The surface is rancid in Baltimore also?. Not the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Not the best. Guessing you are getting 6-8" i would be happy with 3-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Lol, the WxBell clown maps are crazy. 8" for DC? Their algorithms are nutty. It's a tough forecast . I've seen some crazy snow stuff in my lifetime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Its wetter and marginally colder We've been overusing that phrase before SPC even color-codes it. Wundermap 2m temps looks very similar to 12Z. Central West Virginia looks like big amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 It's a tough forecast . I've seen some crazy snow stuff in my lifetime No doubt. If not for Mar and Dec 13, I'd probably be more excited for MBY. I hope the Euro/RGEM are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Guessing you are getting 6-8" i would be happy with 3-5". QPF is great for everybody. You could easily approach 6+ if temps workout. That is according to this run. I'll get you some exact numbers shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 QPF is great for everybody. You could easily approach 6+ if temps workout. That is according to this run. I'll get you some exact numbers shortly. Thank you very much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Well, Monday morning is going to be interesting for sure....either its ripping snow with 5:1 ratios or its heavy raining washing all the salt away. Theres such a wide range of possibilites and the NWS winter page portrays that in its crazy percentage chance of accum ranges even though its experimental http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winter/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro looks like it saves it's best QPF for the colder temps. We don't waste much in warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 hgr gets crushed with .7+/- snow and more to come after 1pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro is a major snow for me. Best run of the day . Dt already cancelled snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 The thing with the 0Z Euro is 2m temps never even break 10C on wundermap, so if we hit 60 tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Euro is a major snow for me. Best run of the day . Dt already cancelled snow my numbers are almost identical to yours and per Accuwx mos, my surface is a little colder than you RGEM-like results? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 This is nuts Feb. 5. 2010 like for 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Just when everyone is out, the Euro pulls us back in. .8 in 6 hours is crazy. I was never out and I don't mean just my yard. You can't ignore the type of rates that all models are spitting out. Euro has 1.2 eastern moco/howard. These storms are rar. It can totally bust outside the usual suspects or can surprise many. I don't join neg Nancy pile ons so I keep quiet at times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Thank you very much. No problem. Looks like BWI is around 33-34 at 12z with slightly under 0 at 850. By 18z 850's and at -1.5 and .77 has fallen in the 6 hour period with the surface just about freezing. Not sure about any warm layers. Crazy rates are possible if this pans out this way. Surface may be too warm if those rates materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 The thing with the 0Z Euro is 2m temps never even break 10C on wundermap, so if we hit 60 tomorrow... Actually the thin isotherms themselves don't got above 10C, but the shaded gradients do approach 60F, odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 U got the foreign models vs american models who have been playing catchup this entire weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 yeah, Euro is even colder for CHO so they must be colder here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Forecasting nightmare for cwg and tv mets . It could bust both ways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 U got the foreign models vs american models who have been playing catchup this entire weekend Congrats man. You look like the mountain top looking down on the valley (me, matt, ian), I'm fully out. My only hope is the unicorn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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