Interstate Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 There is where threading the needle comes in to effect. If the front passes by to quick, then the low runs to far south... if the front passes to slow... the low comes to far north... we need to find that fine line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Doesn't matter till the doctor checks in tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 2:20 AM, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Yeah a sucky run deff from Baltimore-south..Still OK for folks near PA line...tough forecast..On this run DC probably gets hardly any white rain..Baltimore, a little. Still probably 4-5 inches near PA line it's not going to be easy anywhere to get those accumulations outside the mts. if this run of the NAM is correct because even up north the temps are marginal and they won't have great rates like DCA/BWI get and the qpf drops off dramatically as you get north of Balt. City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 2:23 AM, mitchnick said: at least we can hang our hats on the fact that it's the NAM at 36 hrs, but the fact that it keeps slowing the frontal passage is alarming But hasn't that been the trend generally with most models? A move toward wetter and warmer? Slower dropping of the cold front and a slow but progressive amping of the qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 2:25 AM, Ji said: Doesn't matter till the doctor checks in tonight we're going to need a Dr. of Psychiatry after the NAM, Dr. of Proctology, just did its thing on us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 2:27 AM, mitchnick said: we're going to need a Dr. of Psychiatry after the NAM, Dr. of Proctology, just did its thing on us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Well folks. Here's hoping the 00z gfs and euro come along with a "Psyche! Just kidding." And show cold front passage well before the heavy qpf. I won't know till morning because it is past my bedtime. Good luck to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Decent map from CWG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 00z RGEM at 36 -- http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/513_100.gif 48 -- http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/520_100.gif Meteogram for DC in a few RGEM precip maps on meteocentre bring heaviest precip through DC region in the 15z and 18z time period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:01 AM, yoda said: 00z RGEM at 36 -- http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/513_100.gif 48 -- http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/520_100.gif Meteogram for DC in a few RGEM precip maps on meteocentre bring heaviest precip through DC region in the 15z and 18z time period I can't exactly read those maps. Could anyone explain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 We suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mosi76 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:12 AM, Ian said: We suckevery timeSent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 ~13mm snow per DC meteogram re 00z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Slurping maple syrup and watching hockey, let's go Canadians! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Hi-Res NAM: I'll take that and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 CMC is a little better. Rain/Snow line south of DC by 10AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I imagine the flood guidance in south central Virginia will be strong with all that rain down there. The silver lining is that even with my inch and a half of solid rain with glop at the end, I wont have any flooding. We dont have to worry about ten inches of snow melting On the positive side of the ledger. the CMC shows Leesburg solidly in the heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:21 AM, jums300 said: Hi-Res NAM: I'll take that and run. I can't believe I'm actually neurotic enough that I tried to see how many shades below purple my backyard was In any case, looks very good to me and I'll take it in a heartbeat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 That is a snow sounding at DCA at 36... barely... but snow if rates are strong enough And at 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:38 AM, yoda said: That is a snow sounding at DCA at 36... barely... but snow if rates are strong enough And at 39 Are we talking the GFS here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:44 AM, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Are we talking the GFS here? No.... the CRAS Yes, the GFS, duh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:12 AM, Ian said: We suck We're done dude. It's iver. I'm drunk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:12 AM, Ian said: We suck Spring will be here soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:38 AM, yoda said: That is a snow sounding at DCA at 36... barely... but snow if rates are strong enough And at 39 With surface temps 34 or 35. Actually, there is an elevated warm layer too though it's less than a degree above zero so it might support snow if the 34 or 35 degree surface temps allow it. It's still 35 at 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:48 AM, mattie g said: Spring will be here soon. Exactly why a snow and cold thread was created! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:39 AM, hosj III said: That's a bit meh, but I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 End our misery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On 2/2/2014 at 3:50 AM, VAsnowlvr82 said: Exactly why a snow and cold thread was created! And thank God for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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