stormtracker Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS and rgem very similar. 10am ish for changeover. RGEM just over an inch liquid dca. How much after 10 am though? That's the question. We may be screwed before we can changeover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS and rgem very similar. 10am ish for changeover. RGEM just over an inch liquid dca. late morning is a tough call...I expect heartbreak in the city and deck pictures of 9" in westminster with a breathless "wow...I didnt expect anything...Bonus snow!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 How much after 10 am though? That's the question. We may be screwed before we can changeover 0.25"-ish on GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 CRAS is warm. 850 line near Northern Maryland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 On stormvista snow maps (unsure of their reliability) there is a blip of 12-15" of snow around Warren county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 This is better than the Super Bowl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Gfs is even warm for me for a time but way wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 On stormvista snow maps (unsure of their reliability) there is a blip of 12-15" of snow around Warren county. Is that in Maryland or Virginia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 CRAS is lol fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 So euro is coldest model now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 0.25"-ish on GFS Cool...coating to an inch on grassy surfaces. Whatever. wettest storm of the year and we're....wet. Epic February for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Gfs is even warm for me for a time but way wetter Much preferred to a drier solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS is uber wet...not so sure after 10am that we arent snow here in DC proper Think we can get snow with 800-850 layer at 1C at 10am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Virginia oh damn, i thought he was talking about some place in PA....I was trying to rib him a little. I know all of MD counties and some of VA's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jr2 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Is that in Maryland or Virginia? Warren County is in Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Again....I'm ready for something new. I'll take a 1.25 QPF risk than our usual .27 at 28 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Think we can get snow with 800-850 layer at 1C at 10am? it's a pretty deep layer...like 800-875 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 stormtracker, in VA, there's a small bullseye of 12-15" in that general area...compared to 12z which had that region in a 4-6" bullseye...though again I do not know their reliability, I just bought the service today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Is that in Maryland or Virginia? Virginia, not far from Front Royal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Rgem is a changeover between 7-10am. Can't tell when not that matters. It's a tightrope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 stormtracker, in VA, there's a small bullseye of 12-15" in that general area...compared to 12z which had that region in a 4-6" bullseye...though again I do not know their reliability, I just bought the service today they tend to be snowier than they should be and the euro the opposite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Gfs is way warmer than euro for Tuesday night event too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 it's a pretty deep layer...like 800-875 I think Jason's 50% chance of over and inch for dc is a pretty good call. Not so sure about where I live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I think Jason's 50% chance of over and inch for dc is a pretty good call. Not so sure about where I live. sounds about right...this has the feel of something that gives me 0.75" or so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 18Z Clown maps: http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014020118&time=INSTANT&var=SNODI&hour=048 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014020118&time=INSTANT&var=SNODI&hour=048 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 24 hours ago gfs has us at .10 with 850 temps at -4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 So someone in Winchester is gonna end up getting a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpasi Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 24 hours ago gfs has us at .10 with 850 temps at -4 where does it have you now.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 sounds about right...this has the feel of something that gives me 0.75" or so... With thundersnow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 With thundersnow?Thundersnow and 3-5" or rain to white rain and a little slush. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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