paxpatriot Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Well, RGEM has been fantastic this year, hopefully that continues here. I mentioned this earlier. And love it or hate it, it's basically been the same run now for 2 days straight for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I could love with that...I went 3-6 for us Seems to be a good range. 3 closer to fairfax and 5 round hill up to mt weather and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I hate when the TV stations put a Winter Storm watch map throughout the entire broadcast. Is it really that necessary? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welbane Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 18 GFS: Enjoy your cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Well that was a not so nice 18z GFS run... the 800-850 layer really kills us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Seems to be a good range. 3 closer to fairfax and 5 round hill up to mt weather and west I think we sleet and sleet hard....thunder sleet even...rivals VD storm here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS is uber wet...not so sure after 10am that we arent snow here in DC proper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I think we sleet and sleet hard....thunder sleet even...rivals VD storm here You'll get mostly snow and you know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Any chance this just ends up being a hell of a nice storm? I don't see why we jump from snow to rain, not snow to freezing rain to rain. Sent from my iPod touch using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 DT says thundersnow risk for DC. DT is just about all in for a whalloping in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS is uber wet...not so sure after 10am that we arent snow here in DC proper GFS and rgem very similar. 10am ish for changeover. RGEM just over an inch liquid dca. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 rgem drops (from what I can tell) over .3 precip over dc from 7am to 10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS and rgem very similar. 10am ish for changeover. RGEM just over an inch liquid dca. How much after 10 am though? That's the question. We may be screwed before we can changeover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS and rgem very similar. 10am ish for changeover. RGEM just over an inch liquid dca. late morning is a tough call...I expect heartbreak in the city and deck pictures of 9" in westminster with a breathless "wow...I didnt expect anything...Bonus snow!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 How much after 10 am though? That's the question. We may be screwed before we can changeover 0.25"-ish on GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 CRAS is warm. 850 line near Northern Maryland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 On stormvista snow maps (unsure of their reliability) there is a blip of 12-15" of snow around Warren county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 This is better than the Super Bowl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Gfs is even warm for me for a time but way wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 On stormvista snow maps (unsure of their reliability) there is a blip of 12-15" of snow around Warren county. Is that in Maryland or Virginia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 CRAS is lol fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 So euro is coldest model now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 0.25"-ish on GFS Cool...coating to an inch on grassy surfaces. Whatever. wettest storm of the year and we're....wet. Epic February for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Gfs is even warm for me for a time but way wetter Much preferred to a drier solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS is uber wet...not so sure after 10am that we arent snow here in DC proper Think we can get snow with 800-850 layer at 1C at 10am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Virginia oh damn, i thought he was talking about some place in PA....I was trying to rib him a little. I know all of MD counties and some of VA's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jr2 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Is that in Maryland or Virginia? Warren County is in Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Again....I'm ready for something new. I'll take a 1.25 QPF risk than our usual .27 at 28 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Think we can get snow with 800-850 layer at 1C at 10am? it's a pretty deep layer...like 800-875 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 stormtracker, in VA, there's a small bullseye of 12-15" in that general area...compared to 12z which had that region in a 4-6" bullseye...though again I do not know their reliability, I just bought the service today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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