jnis Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 In the 4 years I have lived here, it is laughable how many times the rain/snow line is in between DCA and IAD. Looks like it may happen again. That is a pretty classic location for the rain snow line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 The weather gods are on the verge of delivering a potent yet compact storm for our forum residents. Keep the faith. This one is mainly for us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I just hit 50F. the air is already too warm for a storm 48hrs away. We needed to be at 32 today Tomorrow look towards 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I thought this 6z runs were half decent. so is all this pessimism because of one run? No, even the 06Z run of the NAM was on the fence....the Euro has been warm for several runs and the other models have been playing catch up. Now they are wet like the euro but that comes at a cost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 LOL. Sorry but I'm not seeing anything that's settled. Sneaking suspicion you are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Everyone was so optimistic this morning. But since this is the Mid-Atlantic forum, I don't think this storm is a lost cause for everyone here....just for DC south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Everyone was so optimistic this morning. But since this is the Mid-Atlantic forum, I don't think this storm is a lost cause for everyone here....just for DC south. If this event play out somewhat close to what most guidance has as of right now, you will do fine in Reisterstown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Everyone was so optimistic this morning. But since this is the Mid-Atlantic forum, I don't think this storm is a lost cause for everyone here....just for DC south. Models can't all keep trending north until the arrival of precip over 2 days away. This rarely happens, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
budice2002 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 If this event play out somewhat close to what most guidance has as of right now, you will do fine in Reisterstown. How close does the rain/snow line get to western Price William County area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 If this event play out somewhat close to what most guidance has as of right now, you will do fine in Reisterstown. Thanks! I think you'll definitely get snow too. Maybe the heavier accumulations will be a little to the south of you, but north Central MD is probably in the best spot for this storm. BTW, I love it up there in north north MD...Almost like you're out of state! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 How close does the rain/snow line get to western Price William County area. Reistertown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Sounds the euro stuck a fork in this one for dc based on reaction in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 euro is very wet...almost 1" in DC....but I dont even know precip type...rain, snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Thanks! I think you'll definitely get snow too. Maybe the heavier accumulations will be a little to the south of you, but north Central MD is probably in the best spot for this storm. BTW, I love it up there in north north MD...Almost like you're out of state! I lived in Reisterstown for 16 years and even though I am only 25 minutes away now it's definitely is another world up here. Much different type of living up here, more like PA than MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 How close does the rain/snow line get to western Price William County area. Not following. I am talking about north central MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 euro is very wet...almost 1" in DC....but I dont even know precip type...rain, snow? Probably cold rain to start? I see 0c 850 line like 50 miles at most south of DCA at 72... as in just south of EZF... maybe a paste job? I can't see temps on my site I use Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 euro is very wet...almost 1" in DC....but I dont even know precip type...rain, snow? 1"line in extreme Southern FFX County. .9" in DC? 850s are 0 at 48, -1 at 54 and -2 at 60. Sfc starts at 34/35 but drops to 32 by hour 54. I don't know...my weenie eyes says this is okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Probably rain... I see 0c 850 line like 50 miles at most south of DCA at 72... as in just south of EZF 72?...who cares that is like days after the storm ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 euro is very wet...almost 1" in DC....but I dont even know precip type...rain, snow? We got all kinds of conflicting signals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 1"line in extreme Southern FFX County. .9" in DC? 850s are 0 to -2 or -3. Sfc starts at 34/35 but drops to 32 by hour 54. I don't know...my weenie eyes says this is okay. If that's correct, we'd still be in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 1"line in extreme Southern FFX County. .9" in DC? 850s are 0 to -2 or -3. Sfc starts at 34/35 but drops to 32 by hour 54. I don't know...my weenie eyes says this is okay. same with GFS....35 at 48 hours and 32 at 51 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 We got all kinds of conflicting signals It's about time to bring up 2/25/07 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Tricky.. maybe a little colder at 850 initially but then a little warmer at peak. Sfc is about the same or marginally better than last night. N&W ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GEOS5ftw Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 At 48hrs the 850 0C line is from IAD to just S of BWI, probably not quite to DCA based on low res maps. Not sure how that compares to 0Z run but based on ewall is a shift south from yesterday's 12Z...pretty much in line with all other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Tricky.. maybe a little colder at 850 initially but then a little warmer at peak. Sfc is about the same or marginally better than last night. N&W ftw. so at say 49-50 hours...+SN and 33-34?....we can accumulate in that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
budice2002 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Not following. I am talking about north central MD. Sorry meant to post with out the attachment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 At 48hrs the 850 0C line is from IAD to just S of BWI, probably not quite to DCA based on low res maps. Not sure how that compares to 0Z run but based on ewall is a shift south from yesterday's 12Z...pretty much in line with all other guidance. not bad...not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 72?...who cares that is like days after the storm ends at 48 hrs we're rain as the 850 temp is above freezing as is the surface. By 54 hours we're 1C but the surface still is above freezing and the 850 temp still is above freezing at my house. I don't like the odds for you and me. Heck, I bet at 18Z DCA is still 34 or so despite the raw model output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 good luck making a forecast with this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Nice run. When I asked Ian if 2-3" with heavy snow for a period would be ok because I was thinking it was reasonable with obvious risks. Dig seeing the euro show at least that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.