metalicwx366 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 A watch is the precursor to an advisory or a warning. Just bc you have a watch doesn't mean you're getting a warning.So going from a Blizzard Watch to a winter weather advisory isn't a downgrade? Or going from a winter storm warning to a winter weather advisory? How about hurricane warning to tropical storm warning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Wake Forest got 3 inches. But 90% of the time the big one never works out for central NC. Something seems to happen 48 hours out to make it either north, south, east, or west of us. Even more the last three years. It seems to be all around us but not right here. I guess it could still be a mess here this week, though. A few inches of snow with ice on top would still be bad for driving. And it could cause power outages depending on how much ice we get. Also, RaleighWx seems to think the last Euro op is too far west with the low, and the ensembles support that. He said the mean still has 7 inches of snow for RDU. Whatever will happen will happen. And we have seen systems come in bigger than forecasted before. But also lesser than forecasted. It really can go either way. How did you get 3 inches and RDU only received 1.5?Someone's amounts are off. The difference between those places is 12.7 miles and the precipitation started first in Raleigh. How much did CR get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 So going from a Blizzard Watch to a winter weather advisory isn't a downgrade? Or going from a winter storm warning to a winter weather advisory? How about hurricane warning to tropical storm warning? You can have blizzard conditions without snow falling. The impact would be the same just different criteria. A couple mph difference for criteria, impact would be the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 How did you get 3 inches and RDU only received 1.5? Someone's amounts are off. The difference between those places is 12.7 miles and the precipitation started first in Raleigh. How much did CR get? http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/maps/accum.20140129.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 How did you get 3 inches and RDU only received 1.5? Someone's amounts are off. The difference between those places is 12.7 miles and the precipitation started first in Raleigh. How much did CR get? Packbacker and my location are west of where Brick is located. The heavier band literally set up just east of the RDU airport. Like packbacker I ended up w/ 1.5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Packbacker and my location are west of where Brick is located. The heavier band literally set up just east of the RDU airport. Like packbacker I ended up w/ 1.5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Storm tracker is cool.randy is one the best guys you'll ever meet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 randy is one the best guys you'll ever meet. I will finally get to meet him at the conference I hope you are going too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 You can have blizzard conditions without snow falling. The impact would be the same just different criteria. A couple mph difference for criteria, impact would be the same. Thanks Buckeye. OK, so not saying this will happen, but if Columbia gets under an Ice storm warning, but temps take a while to get below freezing and it's changed to a freezing rain advisory, how is that not a downgrade? The impacts would be different with 0.5-2 inches of ice than just 0.10 correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I'm HERE. BLOO Q KAZOO!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Welp, one down. Five more to go. Nam: Fail GFS: UKMET: CMC: Euro: JMA: Church time now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Thanks Buckeye. OK, so not saying this will happen, but if Columbia gets under an Ice storm warning, but temps take a while to get below freezing and it's changed to a freezing rain advisory, how is that not a downgrade? The impacts would be different with 0.5-2 inches of ice than just 0.10 correct? The bolded is the difference. Going from a watch to an advisory isn't a downgrade, but expecting .75 in ice and ending up with .10 would be considered a downgrade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I will finally get to meet him at the conference I hope you are going too yes!!! I'll be there. Hoping that more of the SE contingent shows up as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 yes!!! I'll be there. Hoping that more of the SE contingent shows up as well. Yay!! It would be great if the se crew made an appearance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 yes!!! I'll be there. Hoping that more of the SE contingent shows up as well.When and where is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 When and where is it? Click the banner at the top of the page In other news......Delta.......you can't just say Ummmmmmmmm!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The nam says I'll have no power for days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Click the banner at the top of the page In other news......Delta.......you can't just say Ummmmmmmmm!! What banner? I'm on my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The nam says I'll have no power for months FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 What banner? I'm on my phone.Look at Michelle's signature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 FYP indeed Here's the link http://conference.americanwx.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Look at Michelle's signatureThe signatures don't show up on the mobile version. Nothing but the post and poster name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The signatures don't show up on the mobile version. Nothing but the post and poster name. I posted the link in my comment above....did you see it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Well, I'll be NAMed. So many different solutions still on the table. This is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Welp, one down. Five more to go. Nam: Fail GFS: UKMET: CMC: Euro: JMA: Church time now. The others already failed last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Brick Tamland, WidreMann, and Lilj4425 posting back to back to back. **runs and hides** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Brick Tamland, WidreMann, and Lilj4425 posting back to back to back. **runs and hides** Lol! If anyone things these model trends are good for NC there kidding themselves. Well maybe western NC might like them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I posted the link in my comment above....did you see it?Yes. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 It's going down. I'm yelling timmbbbeeeeerrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Am I the only one in the Triad that thinks we may miss out on most of this? Why is my brain telling me that this is going to keep going south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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