mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Every model is about to bow down to tha ro, Euro that is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 So you are saying let them be negative and just ignore it? You're truly mental... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The euro appears to be a dud ! All FAIL king Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Yeah I don't know what it's going to take to get a major snowstorm, but apparently this isn't it. Oh well, my expectations are now tempered and hopefully we will get a few inches before it all goes to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Yeah I don't know what it's going to take to get a major snowstorm, but apparently this isn't it. Oh well, my expectations are now tempered and hopefully we will get a few inches before it all goes to rain. Per the Euro you stay below freezing the entire event. So it won't be rain, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The Euro would be crippling for the Triad, verbatim. Front end snow (2-3ish inches) followed by a crap ton of IP/ZR... We'll see what happens. The Euro is kind of on its own with the inland runner, so we'll see how that develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I was really expecting all the models to really start coming to agreement tonight but instead there's more unknown then we thought just a few hours ago. Crazy night of model watching tonight and the next few nights to say the least!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 This is trending worse for RDU regardless. Less snow on the front end plus more and more just cold rain on the second wave. Likely to head more toward dud city now than back towards a more snow and ip solution. Oh we'll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I was really expecting all the models to really start coming to agreement tonight but instead there's more unknown then we thought just a few hours ago. Crazy night of model watching tonight and the next few nights to say the least!! I'm curious if we can get the Euro to show a similar solution, but with less amp and get it back offshore, maybe we could really cash in with the second wave (as in cash in with snow, not ice!). We'll see. The Canadian basically showed that (just not as much QPF). As a side note, it's nice to see Ji cross-forum trolling again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I'm curious if we can get the Euro to show a similar solution, but with less amp and get it back offshore, if we could really cash in with the second wave (as in cash in with snow, not ice!). We'll see. The Canadian basically showed that (just not as much QPF). As a side note, it's nice to see Ji cross-forum trolling again. Yeah that would be very nice. But I'm starting to think that this might end up being just a massive ice storm with maybe a little front end snow. I think that the immediate foothills and the mountains are looking very nice right now. And we may be right on that snow line just on the wrong side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Yeah that would be very nice. But I'm starting to think that this might end up being just a massive ice storm with maybe a little front end snow. I think that the immediate foothills and the mountains are looking very nice right now. And we may be right on that snow line just on the wrong side. Based on the euro yes I would agree. But this is the farthest west solution yet the cmc, and gfs doesn't even get the significant precip back to the northern mountains, lots of changes possible still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Posted in the other thread, but I'm not buying that inland runner crap until I see it over several runs. Doesn't make a lot of sense to my untrained eye to turn that low right into a good CAD signature. I think physics (path of least resistance) would kick it east.....we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Based on the euro yes I would agree. But this is the farthest west solution yet the cmc, and gfs doesn't even get the significant precip back to the northern mountains, lots of changes possible still. Very true, but wouldn't this strong of a HP cause the sytem to move more to the east? Cause if I'm looking at ti correctly the system goes straight into the middle of the CAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Very true, but wouldn't this strong of a HP cause the sytem to move more to the east? Cause if I'm looking at ti correctly the system goes straight into the middle of the CAD. It's definitely an extreme solution, but with the streams phasing and the HP moving east it's at least a possibility, but I wouldn't say it's likely that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Very true, but wouldn't this strong of a HP cause the sytem to move more to the east? Cause if I'm looking at ti correctly the system goes straight into the middle of the CAD. The system would most likely setup less than that.. Its hard for a system to dive in the upper levels and slam into a established wedge. Chances are something else will fold before an established CAD wedge event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Just woke up and it sounds like the local meteorologist is feeling like this is going to be south of us. He said Charlotte area and south. In fact they have reduced our chance to 30% Tues and Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Just woke up and it sounds like the local meteorologist is feeling like this is going to be south of us. He said Charlotte area and south. In fact they have reduced our chance to 30% Tues and Wed.I would not agree with this! Most if not all models have CLT in the bullseye! Get your info from here instead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Good ole Earl's 6GFS snow overlay for GSP http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays2.php3?STATIONID=GSP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I would not agree with this! Most if not all models have CLT in the bullseye! Get your info from here instead Well, that's why I was so confused because the vibe I've been getting here made me think we were in a pretty good spot. My aunt moved here from Florida and has yet to experience a decent snow in her life. I've been trying to keep her up to date as to what she can expect. When is someone going to be brave enough to post the first call maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 OK, so the weather segment was just on again and he said that this storm is VERY tricky to forecast for Wednesday into Thursday. We may get nothing at all or we may get a significant amount. So I guess he's basically just saying what I already knew....It's still too far to really know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 GSP has a call out. Find it here http://www.weather.gov/gsp/brief_winter Well, that's why I was so confused because the vibe I've been getting here made me think we were in a pretty good spot. My aunt moved here from Florida and has yet to experience a decent snow in her life. I've been trying to keep her up to date as to what she can expect. When is someone going to be brave enough to post the first call maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 They keep upping CLT. Daddy like. This is a rare thing to get from GSP so early. GSP has a call out. Find it here http://www.weather.gov/gsp/brief_winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 RAH just posted preliminary thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 No doubt. The lee look is what I was talking about earlier. They keep upping CLT. Daddy like. This is a rare thing to get from GSP so early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Glad I didn't stay up for the Euro disaster. This type of solution is what I was worried about from the get-go. If we see that garbage again at 12z, I'm throwing the towel in for my area for anything major. On the other hand, if it goes back to a farther east solution, I'm going all in. I'm going one way or the other all the way by 2:00. You guys out west look good for at least an ice storm. But I am kind of sad that the front end snow is vanishing. That's our opportunity for really good snow. After that, it's ice or rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaffneyPeach Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I guess I've been around these forums long enough to know that if you try to pin-point accumulations you'll lose your mind. These systems can turn on a dime and, more often than not, do just that. I look at the maps (clown, NWS, media) and see snow around so I know snow is in the forecast. I've had heavy bands form to my S, N, W, E and sometimes over my head. It's basically not up to any model or forecaster to know exactly where...just a general idea of location.Don't sweat the details folks. Pay attention to the posts and, when the time comes, watch the radar, temps and ground obs. You'll know as much as anyone by doing that.My two cents.Peach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 They keep upping CLT. Daddy like. This is a rare thing to get from GSP so early.Looking like the GSP area is the sweet spot? Outside the mts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Glad I didn't stay up for the Euro disaster. This type of solution is what I was worried about from the get-go. If we see that garbage again at 12z, I'm throwing the towel in for my area for anything major. On the other hand, if it goes back to a farther east solution, I'm going all in. I'm going one way or the other all the way by 2:00. You guys out west look good for at least an ice storm. But I am kind of sad that the front end snow is vanishing. That's our opportunity for really good snow. After that, it's ice or rain. Agree, the front end is our chance for a good snow, or I should say was our chance. Still think that GSP/CLT is in a great spot for the front end snow, still like 8-10" for them. RDU is just to far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Agree, the front end is our chance for a good snow, or I should say was our chance. Still think that GSP/CLT is in a great spot for the front end snow, still like 8-10" for them. RDU is just to far north. Too far north for snow is a really sad, sad thing. Haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Looking like the GSP area is the sweet spot? Outside the mts Definitely, there will be overrunning from the 1st wave, N-GA to GSP to CLT will do very well from that, and than will do good with primary coastal coming up, 8-10" looks reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.