superjames1992 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Agreed, but it's not doing the super suppressed 2nd wave or the run inland 2nd wave. I don't think the GFS has had two runs in a row that are the same, pretty crazy. And that is why I am not panicking. If the Euro maintains, we'll be good. If it doesn't, then well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 It's so active in here tonight. Love these times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Negative? Who,says everyone that posts here has to be a Snow Fanboy? Not everyone wants snow, at any possible place and moment. The ones that are negative do want snow, though, and always post about how things will bust and fall apart. And even if it shows a big ice storm that means the run sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 And that is why I am not panicking. If the Euro maintains, we'll be good. If it doesn't, then well... And does it still show a pretty big ice storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Agreed, but it's not doing the super suppressed 2nd wave or the run inland 2nd wave. I don't think the GFS has had two runs in a row that are the same, pretty crazy. Yeah, I guess that's what I meant. It's amping up that second low more....not necessarily to the degree of the Euro, but it's bringing a real system up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I haven't been this sick since I saw that Ronald Reagan film! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 So one more...is this a Miller A or B or hybrid A/B thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The ones that are negative do want snow, though, and always post about how things will bust and fall apart. And even if it shows a big ice storm that means the run sucked. lol that is true. if its not a historic snow storm its a bust. heck i would take 3-4" and be happy. i would still rather have anything frozen over 33 and rain. if its ice thats ok and it is not a bust as far as i am concerned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I just wish I could remember what the GFS showed yesterday, only changed 23 times since then.Not really. It's been consistent in showing a non event, but I guess that changed tonight with that weird solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 GFS showing ice still. euro still showing a winter storm. So why is this nothing on the models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Yeah, that was the only reason this was going to be a storm at all. Otherwise, it was just going to be dry CAD followed by rain. That's been the story for days. But everyone kept getting excited about that 2nd s/w. Well, now y'all got it, and it means light snow/sleet followed by rain. Happy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 So one more...is this a Miller A or B or hybrid A/B thing? miller a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 lol that is true. if its not a historic snow storm its a bust. heck i would take 3-4" and be happy. i would still rather have anything frozen over 33 and rain. if its ice thats ok and it is not a bust as far as i am concerned Have you ever had over an inch of 33 and rain? How would you feel if you did? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 WxSouth you can set your clock by the GFS play book. Run goes as predicted. We're not done. Redevelopment and "filling in" occurs, like clockwork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 WxSouth you can set your clock by the GFS play book. Run goes as predicted. We're not done. Redevelopment and "filling in" occurs, like clockwork. Here's the larger idea from WxSouth FB: Tonights weather models runs have some in a panic. Don't. First if you like snow, why? Secondly, it's coming to a good chunk of TN, NC and northern parts of MS, AL, GA,and SC. The NAM and GFS and others are in the same ball park, but differ on details. The GFS latest run, like it normally does, has the low pulling further northeast. and there will be two rounds, almost merged as one complete nonstop storm for Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas. Its normal to see NAM waiver and the GFS pull north. The European has been rock steady for several days now, with the two parts of the storm, almost merging. IN the end , we have the first wave of snow in sleet in the above mentioned areas, followed by an immediate round for Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas, which will be snow, sleet and freezing rain, eventually becoming freezing drizzle. Its impossible to nail down the amounts of any of these right now. But it's significant. The cold high pressure will lock in low temps east of the mountain chain, and if you've lived there long enough, you know how hard it is to get rid of strong cold damming. Several inches of snow on the first round, followed by Temps in the 20's with drizzle and light rain on round two is not a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 GFS showing ice still. euro still showing a winter storm. So why is this nothing on the models?Euro isn't even close to coming out yet unless you mean the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Have you ever had over an inch of 33 and rain? How would you feel if you did? i have had way over my share of over an inch of rain and 33, even 32.5. that is the worst as far as i am concerned. give me something frozen any time over that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 miller a Thanks. Widre just posted in the main thread what I was thinking behind asking that question. I can't imagine a corridor of ZR hundreds of miles wide with a true Miller A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Thanks. Widre just posted in the main thread what I was thinking behind asking that question. I can't imagine a corridor of ZR hundreds of miles wide with a true Miller A. I think we see now why storms are almost never modeled from far our without hiccups. I would bet anything Euro loses the 1st wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Here's the larger idea from WxSouth FB: Tonights weather models runs have some in a panic. Don't. First if you like snow, why? Secondly, it's coming to a good chunk of TN, NC and northern parts of MS, AL, GA,and SC. The NAM and GFS and others are in the same ball park, but differ on details. The GFS latest run, like it normally does, has the low pulling further northeast. and there will be two rounds, almost merged as one complete nonstop storm for Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas. Its normal to see NAM waiver a[/size]nd the GFS pull north. The European has been rock steady for several days now, with the two parts of the storm, almost merging. IN the end , we have the first wave of snow in sleet in the above mentioned areas, followed by an immediate round for Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas, which will be snow, sleet and freezing rain, eventually becoming freezing drizzle. Its impossible to nail down the amounts of any of these right now. But it's significant. The cold high pressure will lock in low temps east of the mountain chain, and if you've lived there long enough, you know how hard it is to get rid of strong cold damming. Several inches of snow on the first round, followed by Temps in the 20's with drizzle and light rain on round two is not a good thing. [/size] Which is why I don 't understand the gloom and doom because it is not showing a foot of snow. That would still be a big deal. Either snow or ice, this could still be a significant storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 WxSouth you can set your clock by the GFS play book. Run goes as predicted. We're not done. Redevelopment and "filling in" occurs, like clockwork. yep it will come down to the altar tomorrow or early Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 So does the Canadian take us out of the game for the first wave now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 GGEM caves. It's over, folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 GGEM caves. It's over, folks. ? I only see it to hr 60 on the black and white maps and the French site that hasn't doesn't have it out very far yet, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 GFS is massive storm for me .02qpf all snow! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 ? I only see it to hr 60 on the black and white maps and the French site that hasn't doesn't have it out very far yet, either. South and weak. The trend is clear. Our only chance for real snow is with that first wave. The second wave is ice to rain, or just rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Will say this, the HP has been rock solid on all the models, cold air won't be a problem for most, precip will be the problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Chris Justus is pimp! The only local met that has a clue! A minute into the news, he's talking about the 2nd wave and it's possibilities, like he actually looked at the GFS before he went on air! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 South and weak. The trend is clear. Our only chance for real snow is with that first wave. The second wave is ice to rain, or just rain.at 60 it looks the same as last nights 84. Do you have beyond 60 hours already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I know it's over for me , when aint nobody but Ga. boys talking about the storm! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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