WidreMann Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 80% of modeled winter storms in the southeast trend north and warmer in the 3 days leading up to the event??* unless you need them to trend north to get snow and then they stay south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Hot off the press from GSP: I would think much more snow for areas than what this map is showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kimmie Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Coming out of lurking for over 4 years. I thoroughly enjoy these forums and all of the information. You guys are great! I am just a weenie and not well-versed in interpreting the maps and models, so I thank you all! Most of my posts will more than likely be limited to this banter thread, but "HEY Y'ALL!" Hoping for an exciting week ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Coming out of lurking for over 4 years. I thoroughly enjoy these forums and all of the information. You guys are great! I am just a weenie and not well-versed in interpreting the maps and models, so I thank you all! Most of my posts will more than likely be limited to this banter thread, but "HEY Y'ALL!" Hoping for an exciting week ahead. Welcome Kimmie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Coming out of lurking for over 4 years. I thoroughly enjoy these forums and all of the information. You guys are great! I am just a weenie and not well-versed in interpreting the maps and models, so I thank you all! Most of my posts will more than likely be limited to this banter thread, but "HEY Y'ALL!" Hoping for an exciting week ahead. Four years! Congrats on your Bachelor of Lurking degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Welcome Kimmie. Your area, as shown during the current model runs, might be ground zero... Post often! Coming out of lurking for over 4 years. I thoroughly enjoy these forums and all of the information. You guys are great! I am just a weenie and not well-versed in interpreting the maps and models, so I thank you all! Most of my posts will more than likely be limited to this banter thread, but "HEY Y'ALL!" Hoping for an exciting week ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlHill Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 GSP snow map???? Do they have a crystal ball that we haven't seen yet. I would think after seeing all of the other models for the last 24 hrs, we should be seeing way more than 0.9 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 GSP snow map???? Do they have a crystal ball that we haven't seen yet. I would think after seeing all of the other models for the last 24 hrs, we should be seeing way more than 0.9 inches of snow.Just like last time , they will be inching those totals constantly! Every hour they went up a few tenths when they came out and we were at best going to get 3 inches. They started out showing .9 inches in the morning, their last map was around 2.3 . They might be looking at the GFS!? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 * unless you need them to trend north to get snow and then they stay south and east. This, pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 That animation Tropicalwxanaylsts posted was like the coolest thing ever. We need those after every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlHill Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 They never get it right around here. The only way I ever know what's coming is by reading these forums and checking wxsouth's and Matthew East's weather page. Our local guys are worthless when it comes to Winter. THis seems to be shaping up very well. Someone referenced the Jan 88 storm earlier. I was fresh out of the Navy and working in a carpet factory near Travelers Rest. We stood on the roof waiting for the snow to start. It was around 4-5 am when it started here and the tail end of the snow was still in Texas according to some guys talking on Short Wave Radio. I measured 14" on Roper Mt. when it was all said and done. Charlie Gertz on channel 4 actually called that one.That was a memory for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Coming out of lurking for over 4 years. I thoroughly enjoy these forums and all of the information. You guys are great! I am just a weenie and not well-versed in interpreting the maps and models, so I thank you all! Most of my posts will more than likely be limited to this banter thread, but "HEY Y'ALL!" Hoping for an exciting week ahead. Welcome aboard! Hopefully, we'll all get some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 This, pretty much.For that reason, I'm predicting a sloppy inch here, if we get lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 For that reason, I'm predicting a sloppy inch here, if we get lucky. Well, I'm still having trouble believing that it's possible to track a winter storm continuously modeled for our area from 8-10 days out. Could that really be happening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Well, I'm still having trouble believing that it's possible to track a winter storm continuously modeled for our area from 8-10 days out. Could that really be happening?It's happened before. Run after run shows great stuff and then last minute north shift, or south shift, and we get screwed. How about March 2009? March 2010? Or, for me, February 26, 2004. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 It's happened before. Run after run shows great stuff and then last minute north shift, or south shift, and we get screwed. How about March 2009? March 2010? Or, for me, February 26, 2004. No, I meant track it continuously and then it actually panned out. I don't recall a time when that's ever been the case. I hope this one is the first....at least that I've experienced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 For that reason, I'm predicting a sloppy inch here, if we get lucky. Same here. Maybe 2 but that would be about it. Just can't see this being too significant of a event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 No, I meant track it continuously and then it actually panned out. I don't recall a time when that's ever been the case. I hope this one is the first....at least that I've experienced. I don't either, I will say the last one I remember for this area was Jan 2002, I remember reading about that storm potential days out. Also, all the MA big storms of 2010 were modeled far out, but they have great blocking and not as fast a flow. We have so much energy floating around that I won't be all in until after tomorrow's 12z's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Same here. Maybe 2 but that would be about it. Just can't see this being too significant of a event. Wow did somebody hack your account? This is a first coming from you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Yes, January 2002 was probably the last that happened. Maybe the January 25th, 2004 CAD event as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Yes, January 2002 was probably the last that happened. Maybe the January 25th, 2004 CAD event as well. I am with you, I am trying to decide how this misses us, but I guess we are probably to far north for the first wave and to warm for the 2nd. I think we are 1-2" with a cold rain after that, CLT/HKY/AVL get 6-10", then the MA gets 8-12", almost like a Jan 2011 miss. That would be funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 So shocked the usual pessimists are pessimistic with this. There is a huge amount of evidence pointing to this being a big winter event for NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Random question but who is DT? i see posts about him all the time but have no idea. is he credible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 So shocked the usual pessimists are pessimistic with this. There is a huge amount of evidence pointing to this being a big winter event for NC. It's the banter thread, we are bantering, now let the big boys talk. Get ready for something like this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Random question but who is DT? i see posts about him all the time but have no idea. is he credible? Google wxrisk facebook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cigrgd Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 They never get it right around here. The only way I ever know what's coming is by reading these forums and checking wxsouth's and Matthew East's weather page. Our local guys are worthless when it comes to Winter. THis seems to be shaping up very well. Someone referenced the Jan 88 storm earlier. I was fresh out of the Navy and working in a carpet factory near Travelers Rest. We stood on the roof waiting for the snow to start. It was around 4-5 am when it started here and the tail end of the snow was still in Texas according to some guys talking on Short Wave Radio. I measured 14" on Roper Mt. when it was all said and done. Charlie Gertz on channel 4 actually called that one.That was a memory for sure. Charlie was a solid meteorologist. He used to love forecasting snow, and he had some good storms to forecast in his years at WYFF. "Charlie said it would!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I don't either, I will say the last one I remember for this area was Jan 2002, I remember reading about that storm potential days out. Also, all the MA big storms of 2010 were modeled far out, but they have great blocking and not as fast a flow. We have so much energy floating around that I won't be all in until after tomorrow's 12z's. Yes, January 2002 was probably the last that happened. Maybe the January 25th, 2004 CAD event as well. I remember the 2002 storm well, but I wasn't tracking these things too closely then. I do remember hearing about it sooner than most, though. I'm with you Pack....if we continue to have broad agreement after the 12Zs tomorrow, I'm all in too. No more skeptisizm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 It's the banter thread, we are bantering, now let the big boys talk. Get ready for something like this... Yes, and it is always negative banter with storms with you, Widre, and ncweather. It's like someone crushed all your hopes and dreams when you were kids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Here is my take for metro atlanta. I haven't felt good about this storm for us yet. The setup screams significant winter event for the area but for some reason the models don't translate like I think they should in the end. This also has a sneaky feel to it for my area as well. I would hate to be a forecaster at FFC after how badly the city did during snowjam, I think FFC did great but fact is they will be looked at carefully by lots of people if Atlanta does get hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 So shocked the usual pessimists are pessimistic with this. There is a huge amount of evidence pointing to this being a big winter event for NC. That's what we thought [1-28] when the models were showing 4-6 for RDU, 6-10 for FAY...what did RDU end up with 1.5? Fay at 4? Fool me once... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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