JoshM Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 You got Epps to contend with now. Evidently he doesn't know how or when but NC and VA will get a good snowstorm. My guess is sometime between now and 2018. He has good odds of being right. I feel like we play whack a mole with these trolls... or maybe it's the same one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I think Happy Hour is gonna come back strong and show us a good one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I think Happy Hour is gonna come back strong and show us a good one! It's def. drunk on something. I will say this could be a good step for the GFS as it has more of a cutoff look, it's just 500 miles north of where we need it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 It's def. drunk on something. I will say this could be a good step for the GFS as it has more of a cutoff look, it's just 500 miles north of where we need it! Yeah, every single run is just the same load of crap in a different truck. The ridge out west is too flat. Remember the other day? There was a HUGE -PNA trough out there. Where'd that go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'm not punting this yet. Maybe I would have in 2009-2010, but times are desperate these days. Plus, it's not like the models have converged on a solution. Most solutions will end in failure for us, but maybe we can win the lottery. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 You shouldn't punt yet. Models are chaotic right now. Every new run has a vastly different outcome. Nothing close to consistency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Thanks! Since Wilkes is gone and winter is over and it's never going to snow again, we might as well have a little fun, amirite? Yes, you are right! Let's lighten the mood around here. If it all it takes is artwork from CR, then I say "More artwork!" (Not quite as catchy as "More cowbell," but it will have to do for now.) OMG...that was hilarious. I'm cleaning coke off my shirt Glad I brought some mirth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I think the drought that was predicted for the area is going to happen. It's been nearly a month now since the I-85 corridor in the Carolinas has had .50 or better of rain. And what was supposed to be a big rain event in this area tonight and tomorrow looks like light showers now. And if the GFS is right, this weekend is dry. We have went from the chance to get 3-5 inches of rain to now maybe getting .50 for the 7 days starting on Feb 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Several people have questioned why we've been tracking the possible storm for 2/9 and it has never looked like anything for the SE. Only over the past 1.5 days have things changed. On Sunday we had a decent high to the north and a possible snow/ice event. Things look bleak right now but models can change. This is snow totals from the 0z gfs on Sunday night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I think the drought that was predicted for the area is going to happen. It's been nearly a month now since the I-85 corridor in the Carolinas has had .50 or better of rain. And what was supposed to be a big rain event in this area tonight and tomorrow looks like light showers now. And if the GFS is right, this weekend is dry. We have went from the chance to get 3-5 inches of rain to now maybe getting .50 for the 7 days starting on Feb 1. I guess I have to believe you because you were so spot on with your last call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I think someone snug in last month and replaced the models with the special ed versions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhill Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Several people have questioned why we've been tracking the possible storm for 2/9 and it has never looked like anything for the SE. Only over the past 1.5 days have things changed. On Sunday we had a decent high to the north and a possible snow/ice event. Things look bleak right now but models can change. This is snow totals from the 0z gfs on Sunday night... That frame is almost as entertaining as CR's special 4-way for Wilkes in the pattern thread! The ULL in the GOA will always hate snow We can always dream! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Several people have questioned why we've been tracking the possible storm for 2/9 and it has never looked like anything for the SE. Only over the past 1.5 days have things changed. On Sunday we had a decent high to the north and a possible snow/ice event. Things look bleak right now but models can change. This is snow totals from the 0z gfs on Sunday night... Agreed! Anytime we have a SLP tracking to our SE (Euro) we have a chance, it's always a slim chance here anyways. Things will change, that we know. Plus it's winter time and we track storms. Part of me just wants to see a big EC storm affecting a lot of people, even if it isn't NC. Half the Euro ensemble members have snow for RDU, 10 with over 2", 5 over 6". For INT, over 30 members have snow and 15 over 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 And we are still about 5 days away. This storm hasn't even hit the NAM yet. I think there are more changes to come. I will be surprised if there is not at least one more weenie run for western NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I think the drought that was predicted for the area is going to happen. It's been nearly a month now since the I-85 corridor in the Carolinas has had .50 or better of rain. And what was supposed to be a big rain event in this area tonight and tomorrow looks like light showers now. And if the GFS is right, this weekend is dry. We have went from the chance to get 3-5 inches of rain to now maybe getting .50 for the 7 days starting on Feb 1. Psshhhhhhttt - we haven't been in a drought for 3 years. I guess I have to believe you because you were so spot on with your last call. Hahahahahahahahahahaha! He keeps trying. God bless his effort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Agreed! Anytime we have a SLP tracking to our SE (Euro) we have a chance, it's always a slim chance here anyways. Things will change, that we know. Plus it's winter time and we track storms. Part of me just wants to see a big EC storm affecting a lot of people, even if it isn't NC. Half the Euro ensemble members have snow for RDU, 10 with over 2", 5 over 6". For INT, over 30 members have snow and 15 over 2". That does sound hopeful. The models have just been all over the place, especially the GFS. Hard to say what will happen yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Folks, I have bad news: we have lost the DGEX. The storm and the feet of snow are gone. Please pause for a moment of silence................thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Folks, I have bad news: we have lost the DGEX. The storm and the feet of snow are gone. Please pause for a moment of silence................thank you. Looks like the DGEX lost the storm altogether. No significant totals anywhere on the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 *pokes DGEX with a stick* It's dead Jim! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Folks, I have bad news: we have lost the DGEX. The storm and the feet of snow are gone. Please pause for a moment of silence................thank you. That's the first encouraging model run of the day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 That's the first encouraging model run of the day! The 18z NAVGEM (NOGAPS) is a big hit if it's cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 The 18z NAVGEM (NOGAPS) is a big hit if it's cold enough. 2nd best model run of the day, just need Canadian to get / stay onboard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I know we are just getting rain, but this storm tonight/tomorrow is affecting a lot of the country... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 The 18z NAVGEM (NOGAPS) is a big hit if it's cold enough. Nice. I'm sure it'll be a weak wave with partly cloudy skies tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I know we are just getting rain, but this storm tonight/tomorrow is affecting a lot of the country... I have a guy on my team who is based out of Kansas City and he was enjoying his 6-10 inches of snow today. Jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Cold Rain I love your analysis of the models. It's hilarious and easy for anyone to understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Hangin' out on the 6th floor of the Westin in downtown Boston. 8-12 on the way, supposedly. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I have a guy on my team who is based out of Kansas City and he was enjoying his 6-10 inches of snow today. Jealous. MCI has been on fire the past few years, they average roughly what the MA averages, 20" a season but they have been killing it, thinking that switches east next year and we kill it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Hangin' out on the 6th floor of the Westin in downtown Boston. 8-12 on the way, supposedly. TW Not fair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Hangin' out on the 6th floor of the Westin in downtown Boston. 8-12 on the way, supposedly. TW So jealous, I love downtown Boston, especially the Westin, stayed there several times this past year. NAM mixes Boston for a few hours tomorrow afternoon, it might be 6" of snow, 1" of sleet, than another 1" of snow, just a block of ice. Have fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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