Brick Tamland Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I think it's going to dig more, just like the last system did. It started digging more and more on the model runs the closer we got to the event. The GFS has hinted at that a few times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Have to think this misses the NE somehow, it's very rare to have 3 events, 2 of them 10"+ events in a 7 day period, they have to cool off eventually. PHL is already 200%+ of climo for the season, just basic law of averages favor a more southern solution, although that still could just be a NC mtns up through MA type track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 As states in the discussion the euro is now shifting that what going from running the apps to going through central georgia.. let's hope the trend continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Have to think this misses the NE somehow, it's very rare to have 3 events, 2 of them 10"+ events in a 7 day period, they have to cool off eventually. PHL is already 200%+ of climo for the season, just basic law of averages favor a more southern solution, although that still could just be a NC mtns up through MA type track.its too warm here. The airmass before the storm is not very cold, then there is too much waa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The governor of Georgia is officially the biggest idiot in the world... I'm appalled. Georgia Gov. Nathan Deal held a news conference Monday to announce the names of people who will be tasked with making recommendations to improve the state's response to severe weather events. CBS Atlanta's Markina Brown was one of the meteorologists invited to participate. The other members of the task force from the local media are WSB's Glenn Burns, 11 Alive's Chesley McNeil, and Fox 5's Ken Cook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The governor of Georgia is officially the biggest idiot in the world... I'm appalled. Georgia Gov. Nathan Deal held a news conference Monday to announce the names of people who will be tasked with making recommendations to improve the state's response to severe weather events. CBS Atlanta's Markina Brown was one of the meteorologists invited to participate. The other members of the task force from the local media are WSB's Glenn Burns, 11 Alive's Chesley McNeil, and Fox 5's Ken Cook. Sounds like a tour de force of weather experts!! The may as well invite Brick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CADManager Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 What about Guy Sharp. Is he still around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Sounds like the Euro is not that far off rom the big storm the GFS showed last night if you read that post from Matthew East in the pattern thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Sounds like the Euro is not that far off rom the big storm the GFS showed last night if you read that post from Matthew East in the pattern thread. An inch is as good as a mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm still waiting on my southern stream --NAO combo. Until then I call shenanigans. Warm weather's got me thinking spring. I know there's time, but it doesn't feel like it anymore... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 its too warm here. The airmass before the storm is not very cold, then there is too much waa. Lot's of if's and buts but if we get a 1035+ high to our north and a SLP off the coast I will take my chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm still waiting on my southern stream --NAO combo. Until then I call shenanigans. Warm weather's got me thinking spring. I know there's time, but it doesn't feel like it anymore... I'm getting closer to the ledge with respect to the rest of the winter.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm getting closer to the ledge with respect to the rest of the winter.... You see some weak blocking trying to develop…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Any idea on how much rain eastern nc is looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I still think the system for the weekend keeps trending better this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The MA crew is giddy! It's funny to read their thread when a weenie run takes place. I guess our forum is the same way, but we have only had maybe 2 fantasy runs to go gaga over. I love reading their subforum. I don't even know why they have a banter thread because there's bantering and trolling in all their threads, LMAO. Their forum is funny during a bust and its also funny during an epic model run. A lot of their members are so jaded after the last couple winters that it's pretty hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I still think the system for the weekend keeps trending better this week.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 lol That has to be your favorite reply to everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 That has to be your favorite reply to everything.Says the one who posts the same thing every day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Says the one who posts the same thing every day. If that isn't the pot calling the kettle black. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 That has to be your favorite reply to everything.You just got Waycrosed ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparkync Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 This is better than Days of our lives,lol!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 If that isn't the pot calling the kettle black.Wow really? Let me just stop right here before I say how stupid you and a few others sound in the discussion thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 You just got Waycrosed ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flotownsc Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Have been away from the board since last week and Im hearing rumors of storms...On a scale of 1 -10 ....10 being alert and 1 being keep doing what you have been doing. What would you rate this weekend's potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Have been away from the board since last week and Im hearing rumors of storms...On a scale of 1 -10 ....10 being alert and 1 being keep doing what you have been doing. What would you rate this weekend's potential.1 unless you hate rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 You see some weak blocking trying to develop…. It's been trying all winter, lol! More and more, we're starting to hear warmer after mid-month. Robert, JB, and LC at least are going for a warm March. Nobody knows for sure, but given that, the trend toward a +EPO (as Don states in the main forum), terrible looking indexes, and nothing but garbage on the GFS and Euro after this upcoming storm, I am becoming quite concerned. So I hope we can get some blocking, with the cold air remaining on our side of the globe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 1 unless you hate rain.-1 if you live in Waycross ! 5 if I lived in NC. It could just be rain in NC, but could be anywhere from ZR with 1 inch QPF to a crush job snowstorm. It's trending better on most models. From what I've read today, you want the energy to stay weak and not close off and go further south! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Have been away from the board since last week and Im hearing rumors of storms...On a scale of 1 -10 ....10 being alert and 1 being keep doing what you have been doing. What would you rate this weekend's potential. 5ish for NC... probably less for upstate SC, IMO. I'm not real confident anything is going to happen, but it's hard to ignore the Big Dog potential. If we do get this to work out, it's going to be memorable. Obviously, the further north and/or west you are, the better. I wouldn't be surprised if DC gets pounded while we get cold rain, to be honest... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yes, this looks like an all or nothing thing. Either a big winter storm or all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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