GordoFabulous Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 GFS QPF numbers have been gradually increasing with this storm. Nothing bit, but after tonight's fun, I'll take a 2-3" refresher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Looks to be a couple in refresh around the Great Lakes. Not expecting much more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Looks to be a couple in refresh around the Great Lakes. Not expecting much more. It wont be long before one of these refresher snows bury the fences Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 It wont be long before one of these refresher snows bury the fences What fences ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Local grids have me down for 1"-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 jb hellbent on making this one happen... nam at 84 looks like maybe it would extrapolate into 'something' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 1-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 GFS continues to show 2-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Only 30-40% chance of snow in the forecast currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Next nickel and dime storm, and that might be generous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Only 30-40% chance of snow in the forecast currently. haha THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHANGE WAS TO BOOST POPS DURING THIS TIME ESPECIALLY SATURDAY NIGHT AS GUIDANCE HAS COME MORE IN LINE WITH THE GFS IN THIS WAVE BEING STRONGER AND HAVING FOCUSED FORCING. CERTAINLY PLACEMENT AND EVEN TIMING ISSUES LIKELY EXIST WITH WHAT WILL PAN OUT...BUT BELIEVED THE MODEL BLEND IN POPS SEEMED TOO LOW. PLUS...A PERSISTENCE FORECAST SEEMS WISE WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW EVERY 72 HOURS HAVING HAPPENED FOR ABOUT TWO MONTHS NOW...SO SEE NO REASON TO DOWNPLAY AN AGREED POTENTIAL FOR MORE SNOW. TEMPERATURES LOOK COLD INTO THE START OF THE SECOND WEEK OF FEBRUARY WITH NORTHWEST FLOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 haha I was just saying the grid forecast wasn't sounding confident. 1-2" nuisance snow is what I'll call right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Geos is so sick of this shiit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Geos is so sick of this shiit Might be time for him to close the blinds and fire up the fluorescent lamps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Geos is so sick of this shiit I can kind of agree. I have not jackpotted on a storm yet this season. Chicago has gotten buried, but it definitely is not representative of the rest of N IL. But this looks like a pennies and nickles event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Haha - It's good for stat padding I guess. It's the cold that coming back that is most irritating and dealing with drifted snow over the roads every other day. Was lucky to hit the jackpot with the New Years waves, but most everything else has been south. I guess I might be lucky and hit the jackpot with a system later on as winter retreats south to north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 there are a lot of little players on the field but moisture doesn't look too bad, so i wouldn't punt on something slightly better than a nuisance snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 Ratios could be fairly high with this especially for some of you guys farther north. DGZ looks pretty healthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 there are a lot of little players on the field but moisture doesn't look too bad, so i wouldn't punt on something slightly better than a nuisance snow.It's going to snow. Even LOT has jumped ship on real meteorology and gone with my trend theory: A PERSISTENCE FORECAST SEEMS WISE WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW EVERY 72 HOURS HAVING HAPPENED FOR ABOUT TWO MONTHS NOW...SO SEE NO REASON TO DOWNPLAY AN AGREED POTENTIAL FOR MORE SNOW. TEMPERATURES LOOK COLD INTO THE START OF THE SECOND WEEK OF FEBRUARY WITH NORTHWEST FLOW. I'm starting to wonder if GEOS is a little bummed that everyone is on the fun this year. Heck, now we need to root for a couple more clippers then the Big Dog that will bust the pattern. It's out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Ratios could be fairly high with this especially for some of you guys farther north. DGZ looks pretty healthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Really a great example of how the 120+ models can be so wrong, with the GFS taking the cake lol. this was more of a 180 hr fail than a 120 hr fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I still think that there is potential for a decent storm over the next two weeks or so. I think we have at least one more 8" or 10"+ storm left this season. I am sitting on about 5" from the overnight last night, plus an addiitional inch from the lake effect, and it is still snowing. We might finish this with around 6.5 to 7" locally, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 sounds like maybe a inch or two down here... I don't care if we nickel and dime the rest of the winter as long as the #1 snowiest winter is passed which is (45.0") down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 euro has a decent hit for the Ohio river valley day 6-7 with an inverted trough up the apps....too far south for most of us outside southern IN, OH, and KY. Time to beat the nw trend drums. as far as Sunday, widespread 1-2, 2-3 over northern OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 still looks like a decent slug of moisture gets pulled up...could trend wetter if things play out right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I'll take a little refresher to keep things about 20" around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 still looks like a decent slug of moisture gets pulled up...could trend wetter if things play out right Your optimistic tone is well received, yet...at the same time, a bit unsettling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 still looks like a decent slug of moisture gets pulled up...could trend wetter if things play out right Several of the GFS ensemble members look wetter than the op so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Your optimistic tone is well received, yet...at the same time, a bit unsettling. decent clipper like upper level thermal gradient but a better than average pac moisture connection....sloppy as all get out though. latest NAM looks 2-4 ish for N. IL & S. WI depending on ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 18z NAM coming in a bit wetter than the 12z run fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.