Chicago WX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'd hit the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'd hit the 12z GFS. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'd hit the 12z GFS. Likewise considering where the 00z was, that being said the fact it is having problems 2 days out doesn't boost my confidence any for later in the run, sadly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Likewise considering where the 00z was, that being said the fact it is having problems 2 days out doesn't boost my confidence any for later in the run, sadly. yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Decent amount of 12z GEFS members with this storm, somewhere in the neighborhood of this sub-forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 euro's boring....big northern midatlantic to new England hit..... couple inches out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 euro's boring....big northern midatlantic to new England hit..... couple inches out this way. what the ole Canadian do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
princessugly Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Anybody got a pic of the latest gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Anybody got a pic of the latest gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Everyone get excited...18z DGEX came back north! The tide has begun to turn... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 new gfs seems like one big ball of crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Latest GFS looks like a mess. System is disorganized at 126hr. Low way south in Cajun country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Latest GFS looks like a mess. System is disorganized at 126hr. Not going to be much of anything west of the mountains. Trough is still pos. tilt at 138. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Surface low goes toward the coast...not what we want but a nice light-moderate hit for many and maybe more far eastern areas on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Some snow in the sub forum. Looks like a 1-3" event right now south of a line from Flint to DSM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Would love to know what the EURO ensembles show. Seems if there's divergence there between coastal/inland solutions then there's a reasonable chance the OP in the near future comes back west. If they're all singing from the same eastern choir book, then much less of a chance of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Would love to know what the EURO ensembles show. Seems if there's divergence there between coastal/inland solutions then there's a reasonable chance the OP in the near future comes back west. If they're all singing from the same eastern choir book, then much less of a chance of that. Well here's what the ensemble mean has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Well here's what the ensemble mean has slp6.png slp7.png Hideous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Location might be fine but the amounts are uber-inflated due to that post-truncation plotting error. the truncation is at 192 hrs not when it showed those heavy amounts at 180 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 the truncation is at 192 hrs not when it showed those heavy amounts at 180 hours. You can plainly see the precipitation fields inexplicably become enhanced at 180. And it's not just for that storm. It's every area of QPF on the map. And it happens every run. I think it's clear that the enhancement is erroneous, whether it's pre or post truncation. Toggle between 177 and 180 and you'll see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Hideous. Yep. Kill it and destroy it with fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Well, JB is hyped about this storm meaning it'll be a Mid Atlantic and Maritime Provinces special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 GFS way south with this one. DAB to 1" for Chicago.. This is several runs now, pushing this one farther and farther south with each run, so, confidence is waning with this system. Tomorrow is going to be a disappointment as well, Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 GFS way south with this one. DAB to 1" for Chicago.. This is several runs now, pushing this one farther and farther south with each run, so, confidence is waning with this system. Tomorrow is going to be a disappointment as well, Next. Calling a system "dead" 5 to 6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I95 special or OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Calling a system "dead" 5 to 6 days out. I am in that kind of mood...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 And there is nothing showing to push it N or NW, so this is definitely puntable perhaps by tomorrow/Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 4, 2014 Author Share Posted February 4, 2014 Come on guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 nothing scientific, I just think this one has something up its sleeve for a good part of the subforum in a west to east hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 The differences between the 12z GFS at 114 hrs and the 00z at 102 hrs are pretty ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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