free_man Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 I guess no one is up for the Euro. It's a weenie's paradise in the long range. Eh...shows little snow at all in the next ten days. Frigid at the end I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Nice fantasy blizzard. Gives a couple of minor events next week, but they aren't high confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 I feel like my hood should be in the mid 30s on saturday looking at gfs...but my forecasted high is in the mid 40s. so obv im looking at the maps incorrectly. oh I was looking at 850s, i needs to be looking at 950s? got it. 0C 850s with westerlies/good mixing is not cold at the sfc. Sat will push 50F down there.MAV is really warm the next 4 days. It's too warm up here on Friday because of the CAD, but the other days are well into the 40s even up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Nice fantasy blizzard. Gives a couple of minor events next week, but they aren't high confidence.That would finish off the Vermonters for good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Nice fantasy blizzard. Gives a couple of minor events next week, but they aren't high confidence. What days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 What days?d9-10...a la fantasy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Ensembles are hitting 3/2 and even bigger 3/3-4. 3/3-4 is the December 5th of late winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 d9-10...a la fantasy He's talking minor events I think...2/26ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 What days? I'm not near a comp but they were next week. Only one was really anything, but day 6-7 may need to be watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 I'm not near a comp but they were next week. Only one was really anything, but day 6-7 may need to be watched. What about the 1-3 inch deal Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 What about the 1-3 inch deal Monday? Suppressed but Tuesday late day/evening is mildly interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Let's see if the euro can deliver on the 2-3 inches late Tuesday and 2-3 feet the following weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Early next week system looks suppressed right now as the PV looks to establish itself over the southern end of Hudson Bay with the flow oriented more W-E. The midweek system holds a bit more potential to me right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 The colder temps next week don't seem quite as potent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 What about the 1-3 inch deal Monday? Looks like doo-doo right now...but I supposed its possible it could trend back to a light 1-2 incher in the next day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 The colder temps next week don't seem quite as potent The core of the cold is going to be in the Plains. It's still plenty cold and not having the core of the cold is a good thing otherwise it's suppression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 The core of the cold is going to be in the Plains. It's still plenty cold and not having the core of the cold is a good thing otherwise it's suppression. I was worried about suppression depression in some of the runs about 24 hours ago. Things seem to be improving in regards to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 I was worried about suppression depression in some of the runs about 24 hours ago. Things seem to be improving in regards to that. Yeah you don't want it THAT cold. Next week snow chances are very much up in the air so don't hang your hat on them just yet. My guess is maybe we can tickle in a small event at some point, but a lot of moving parts here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 0C 850s with westerlies/good mixing is not cold at the sfc. Sat will push 50F down there.. Thanks for figuring out what my meant to say/ask lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 DT is barking about March 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 DT is barking about March 1. He'll bark at anything the euro shows, right or wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Feb 28-Mar 1 definitely has some legs...obviously still early though. We saw what happened to Feb 9th too when it had some legs. Feb 5th worked out and Feb 12-13th worked out from decent lead time, but Feb 9th crapped the bed and that signal was strong, so they don't all work out. We'll see what it looks like once inside of 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 GFS brought back a little Sunday night snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Feb 28-Mar 1 definitely has some legs...obviously still early though. We saw what happened to Feb 9th too when it had some legs. Feb 5th worked out and Feb 12-13th worked out from decent lead time, but Feb 9th crapped the bed and that signal was strong, so they don't all work out. We'll see what it looks like once inside of 7 days. i think the pattern suggsts it is likely that something significant will happen between 25-26 and 28-2. of what nature and track, who knows... the way it has been going lately it is hard not to be optimisitc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 GFS brought back a little Sunday night snow. Wednesday looks decent too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstoned Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Feb 28-Mar 1 definitely has some legs...obviously still early though. March 1 new moon adds legs to the legs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Not the new moon talk again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 We take what the 12z GFS shows and run with it. Monday, nice weak overrunning event and than mid-week has a bit more coastal enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 We take what the 12z GFS shows and run with it. Monday, nice weak overrunning event and than mid-week has a bit more coastal enhancement. We'll probably get something trackable in there somewhere. Its another fairly fast moving flow after the secondary front rips through on Sunday with lots of embedded vortmaxima...so models will be up and down with handling those, but we have a solid chance at coming away with something out of those impulses...then hopefully a much bigger event to close the month out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 We'll probably get something trackable in there somewhere. Its another fairly fast moving flow after the secondary front rips through on Sunday with lots of embedded vortmaxima...so models will be up and down with handling those, but we have a solid chance at coming away with something out of those impulses...then hopefully a much bigger event to close the month out. Sort of why I am not high on anything around Monday. Sure it can happen but I won't bank on it. I like mid-week on as we pump up the ridge out W. Don't need to tell you this though. End of the month is out in la-la land but it's been signaled now for a few days. Let's see if if has some legs by mid-week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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