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February General Model/Pattern Discussion Thread


NJwinter23

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So would it be fair to say it might go something like this:?

 

Wed 38-43.below 32 at night

Thursday 42-47

Friday 45-50 (possibly over 50 in some locales)

Sat Sun, rain ice snow..30's or low 40's depending on where boundary lies

 

Wow, a reasonable call by you. I will say snow looks least likely on Sunday.

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Fridays the warm day it seems, helluva way to run a week of 50s and 60s lol. What a great winter.

 

This one will be remember for some time in SNE and the general coastal plain of the Northeast.  While we've gotten snow, the mountains and mountain towns up here are still tracking to be decently below normal (its really hard to make up for a punted 6 weeks in Dec/Jan).  But I digress, you guys are on a roll and will be remembered quite fondly for those from PHL to BOS, and probably even by snow lovers all the way down into the deep south thanks to a few events.   

 

 

Heck even look at the longer range GFS runs (just for fun), its got another SNE event around Feb 26 tracking near the benchmark, and then on March 1st it bombs another one near the benchmark.  Its like the pattern that just keeps repeating itself... if you're in it, you win it.  

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This looks to be the final event of February, so my goal is 5"...enter March with a clean 70".

 

My benchmark for "epicosity" is about 95".

 

We reach that goal on Tuesday, and I'll only need a 25" March.

 

I would say we have one more shot at a decent storm. Not high confidence...just some signs I see.

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