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February General Model/Pattern Discussion Thread


NJwinter23

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Looks like advisory event this week..,..maybe another mix event Wed night? Torch Friday or so along with rain and then we sort of ride the boundary that mutes the warmth...however threat for heavy rain could exist. Then reload with monster +PNA.

wow.  this winter ain't over.  not surprising.  how have we been doing with any sort of -NAO?  it has been hinted out and a little bit of it has helped in a storm or 2 yes?  But any real sign of it now?  I guess the question is whether the pattern has shifted in the Atlantic in any fundamental way.  Are these big coastals (yesterday and saturday) being shunted ene or are they transporting warm air north enough to induce a -NAO?  This would be the time for us to really benefit from it.

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wow.  this winter ain't over.  not surprising.  how have we been doing with any sort of -NAO?  it has been hinted out and a little bit of it has helped in a storm or 2 yes?  But any real sign of it now?  I guess the question is whether the pattern has shifted in the Atlantic in any fundamental way.  Are these big coastals (yesterday and saturday) being shunted ene or are they transporting warm air north enough to induce a -NAO?  This would be the time for us to really benefit from it.

 

I don't see a -NAO, but we are back to ridging near the west coast and a piece of the PV by Hudson Bay. It's later in this season so don't expect equal cold...but there will be some cold and snow I think.

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