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January 30-February 3rd Wave Train Part 2


Chicago Storm

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According to the CC radar loop I'm missing the snow by about 5 miles. Too early to start drinking?

 

Start drinking now, and then passed out by noon. That way you'll miss the +RA.

 

Some light freezing here this morning, but about to go above freezing. As expected... 

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FWIW via SPC

 

mcd0049.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0614 AM CST SAT FEB 01 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN INDIANA...S CENTRAL AND SE LOWER MI

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 011214Z - 011715Z

SUMMARY...A BAND OF MODERATE-HEAVY SNOWFALL WITH RATES NEAR 1 INCH
PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS NRN INDIANA AND LOWER
MI THIS MORNING...AND PERSIST INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. THE ZONE OF
FREEZING RAIN TO THE S WILL SHRINK AS WARMING OCCURS FROM SE-NW
ACROSS INDIANA/OH THIS MORNING.

DISCUSSION...A WELL-DEVELOPED BAND OF SNOW IS SPREADING NEWD FROM NE
IL INTO NW INDIANA...AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE ENEWD OVER
SRN/SERN LOWER MI THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING. THE SNOW
BAND IS BEING SUPPORTED BY STRONG LOW-LEVEL WAA AND MOISTURE
TRANSPORT ON THE NOSE OF A 45-50 KT SWLY LLJ...AND THIS REGIME WILL
SHIFT ENEWD THROUGH THE MORNING IN TANDEM WITH SURFACE CYCLONE NOW
APPROACHING CENTRAL MO. A DEEP SUB-FREEZING ISOTHERMAL LAYER AND
THE INFLUX OF LOW-MIDLEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT AOA 1 INCH PER HOUR
SNOWFALL RATES. S OF THE HEAVIER SNOW BAND...WARMING LOW-LEVEL
TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN A QUICKLY SHRINKING ZONE OF FREEZING
RAIN AND A SHARPER TRANSITION ZONE FROM FREEZING/RAIN TO SNOW BY
LATE MORNING.

..THOMPSON.. 02/01/2014


ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...

LAT...LON 42088313 41678394 40668618 40558703 40748746 41158752
41568746 41838691 42158605 42698436 43018311 43088256
42848241 42088313

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FWIW via SPC

 

mcd0049.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0614 AM CST SAT FEB 01 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN INDIANA...S CENTRAL AND SE LOWER MI

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 011214Z - 011715Z

SUMMARY...A BAND OF MODERATE-HEAVY SNOWFALL WITH RATES NEAR 1 INCH

PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS NRN INDIANA AND LOWER

MI THIS MORNING...AND PERSIST INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. THE ZONE OF

FREEZING RAIN TO THE S WILL SHRINK AS WARMING OCCURS FROM SE-NW

ACROSS INDIANA/OH THIS MORNING.

DISCUSSION...A WELL-DEVELOPED BAND OF SNOW IS SPREADING NEWD FROM NE

IL INTO NW INDIANA...AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE ENEWD OVER

SRN/SERN LOWER MI THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING. THE SNOW

BAND IS BEING SUPPORTED BY STRONG LOW-LEVEL WAA AND MOISTURE

TRANSPORT ON THE NOSE OF A 45-50 KT SWLY LLJ...AND THIS REGIME WILL

SHIFT ENEWD THROUGH THE MORNING IN TANDEM WITH SURFACE CYCLONE NOW

APPROACHING CENTRAL MO. A DEEP SUB-FREEZING ISOTHERMAL LAYER AND

THE INFLUX OF LOW-MIDLEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT AOA 1 INCH PER HOUR

SNOWFALL RATES. S OF THE HEAVIER SNOW BAND...WARMING LOW-LEVEL

TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN A QUICKLY SHRINKING ZONE OF FREEZING

RAIN AND A SHARPER TRANSITION ZONE FROM FREEZING/RAIN TO SNOW BY

LATE MORNING.

..THOMPSON.. 02/01/2014

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...

LAT...LON 42088313 41678394 40668618 40558703 40748746 41158752

41568746 41838691 42158605 42698436 43018311 43088256

42848241 42088313

I like seeing this :)

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FWIW via SPC

 

mcd0049.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0614 AM CST SAT FEB 01 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN INDIANA...S CENTRAL AND SE LOWER MI

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 011214Z - 011715Z

SUMMARY...A BAND OF MODERATE-HEAVY SNOWFALL WITH RATES NEAR 1 INCH

PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS NRN INDIANA AND LOWER

MI THIS MORNING...AND PERSIST INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. THE ZONE OF

FREEZING RAIN TO THE S WILL SHRINK AS WARMING OCCURS FROM SE-NW

ACROSS INDIANA/OH THIS MORNING.

DISCUSSION...A WELL-DEVELOPED BAND OF SNOW IS SPREADING NEWD FROM NE

IL INTO NW INDIANA...AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE ENEWD OVER

SRN/SERN LOWER MI THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING. THE SNOW

BAND IS BEING SUPPORTED BY STRONG LOW-LEVEL WAA AND MOISTURE

TRANSPORT ON THE NOSE OF A 45-50 KT SWLY LLJ...AND THIS REGIME WILL

SHIFT ENEWD THROUGH THE MORNING IN TANDEM WITH SURFACE CYCLONE NOW

APPROACHING CENTRAL MO. A DEEP SUB-FREEZING ISOTHERMAL LAYER AND

THE INFLUX OF LOW-MIDLEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT AOA 1 INCH PER HOUR

SNOWFALL RATES. S OF THE HEAVIER SNOW BAND...WARMING LOW-LEVEL

TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN A QUICKLY SHRINKING ZONE OF FREEZING

RAIN AND A SHARPER TRANSITION ZONE FROM FREEZING/RAIN TO SNOW BY

LATE MORNING.

..THOMPSON.. 02/01/2014

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...

LAT...LON 42088313 41678394 40668618 40558703 40748746 41158752

41568746 41838691 42158605 42698436 43018311 43088256

42848241 42088313

 

Wow, nice!

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just north of DTW looks great based on radar trends...if they stay snow of course

Based upon the radar at least currently the transition zone is stationary in IWX's and ILX's CWAs, if it does move up it has some distance between its current location and SEMI to cover first.

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Due west of Toledo?

Keep posting...I will know where the snow line is! Good luck down that way. Saw TOL had 40.2" in Jan...bested their previous all-time snowiest month of any month by almost 10"!

Yes. On Fulton-Lucas County line near turnpike. It has been an unbelievable month for snow for us. I'm kind of surprised we aren't in sweet spot today considering the way things have gone.

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