jrodd321 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 18z NAM. Widespread 8-10" around Philly and then 10-12" NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 HRRR is way out of its range, but this surprises me, has it already snowing heavily by 9z just to the city, by 10z the rain/snow line is SE of us, if that was the case, the upper end totals would def. transpire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mookiemike Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Yes, WxBell maps are nuts. Is that your opinion of the map, or the meteorologist most associated with the site? I find his Winter predictions tops in the class, considering the sheer number of elements he evaluates. Its like a good doctor is a better diagnostician, an almost intuitive sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 RGEM snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Is that your opinion of the map, or the meteorologist most associated with the site? Map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 2, 2014 Author Share Posted February 2, 2014 looks like another snow day for my son extending the school year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Damn I've been holding out hope that this storm would be a bust do to an important doctors appointment I have tomorrow but I'm throwing in the towel on that idea. The CMC locked in on in this storm from the beginning and the NAM, RGEM, and EURO are almost identical. This looks like a 6-10" storm from just NW of Philly along with CNJ. Pretty much a consensus of amounts and banding at this point, this is clearly no longer a 3-6" storm for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 That radar is beautiful. Haven't seen a look like that since well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Everyone here would like the RAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Everyone here would like the RAP.10" - 12" + Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Latest RAP. BOOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Anyone have that feeling Philly is gonna find a way to bullseye again this storm? They just can't lose this winter lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The NAM/RAP/RGEM are making me feel that way for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The NAM/RAP/RGEM are making me feel that way for sure. I don't really see temps as a issue NW of PHL, but maybe in the city to start. 10:1 ratios tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I don't really see temps as a issue NW of PHL, but maybe in the city to start. 10:1 ratios tho. I agree. I think about 10-15 miles NW of the city is gonna be the jackpot area. Elevation will definitely help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 And then we have the RUC...which is extremely north lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 RAP on twister data is amazing. Over 1"QPF with more snow on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Its 45 degrees at ILG right now......I am concerned about temps in northern DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 RAP on twister data is amazing. Over 1"QPF with more snow on the way. My question (which usually never gets answered) but I'll ask anyway...is the RAP a useful and/or somewhat reliable model, or is it a weenie's dream chaser? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 For those worried about temps, they crashed pretty quickly out here in Western PA. It's been snowing for a couple hours now when it wasn't supposed to begin until after 9 PM, dropped from ~44 to 32 in about 90 minutes. PHL bullseye would not surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I like this 700mb vel map on the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Halftime thoughts 1. Lift. Is looking very impressive 2. 295 looks to be a good cutoff at 12z with this line sagging south about 15 miles or so by 15z. 3. Thundersnow reports would not surprise me 4. Be careful on ratios with those maps looking at 7:1 ratios may be more accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Mitch when you say 295, do you mean the axis of 295 running through Mt Holly or does the boundary more or less follow 295 all the way to the Memorial Bridge? I'm thinking about the implications for Delaware. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 wouldn't be surprised to see 0z trend warmer. (maybe even drastically) models have most of northern and central NJ snowing, and at the freezing mark by 6am...yet most temps are in the low to mid 40's still. And with all the cloud cover, we could forget about radiative cooling. edit: oh well, maybe not. 12 hour NAM = game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 wouldn't be surprised to see 0z trend warmer. (maybe even drastically) models have most of northern and central NJ snowing, and at the freezing mark by 6am...yet most temps are in the low to mid 40's still. And with all the cloud cover, we could forget about radiative cooling. edit: oh well, maybe not. 12 hour NAM = game on. For those worried about temps, they crashed pretty quickly out here in Western PA. It's been snowing for a couple hours now when it wasn't supposed to begin until after 9 PM, dropped from ~44 to 32 in about 90 minutes. PHL bullseye would not surprise me.Very very comforting to hear...Thanks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 NAM is a QPF bomb, going to be so close, whoever switches over the fastest is going to get 8-12" IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 NAM is a widespread 6-12" for all of the region except southern NJ and most of DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 wouldn't be surprised to see 0z trend warmer. (maybe even drastically) models have most of northern and central NJ snowing, and at the freezing mark by 6am...yet most temps are in the low to mid 40's still. And with all the cloud cover, we could forget about radiative cooling. edit: oh well, maybe not. 12 hour NAM = game on. Evaporation cooling will when we will see temps really plummet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Does anybody have a sounding for PHL off the latest NAM? I hear its warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Does anybody have a sounding for PHL off the latest NAM? I hear its warm. Its close call, even with the delayed onset of snow, you'd still see 4-6" just because of the rates....Once the heavy stuff rolls in it drops like a rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.