anthonyweather Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 FWIW new RPM model.... Look at that sweet spot on the Lehigh Valley... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 NAM was a bit weaker with precip rates & VVs on its northern boundary, wasn't the best of runs, but its just noise, will change each run until the storm starts Dude this was a sweet run for PHL. Not sure what you are looking at exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 FWIW new RPM model.... Look at that sweet spot on the Lehigh Valley... Terrible model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 RPM Quakertown bullseye 12-16" looks good im done for the night later.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Dude this was a sweet run for PHL. Not sure what you are looking at exactly.Not really, it's pretty warm as it races the precip ahead of the cold front so there's a lot of slop before accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Most years potential storms turn into duds...this year small nuisances turn into multiple/several inches if not more....go figure. Temps falling at a pretty decent clip... Unless you live north of the Blue Mountain. Then they stay small nuisances... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Unless you live north of the Blue Mountain. Then they stay small nuisances... But steve, at least you get to cross the Blue everyday and witness both worlds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Not really, it's pretty warm as it races the precip ahead of the cold front so there's a lot of slop before accumulating snow. I don't agree. This is thump of snow for PHL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 RPM is suspect. Convection over VA and faster timing lead to lower snow totals on this NAM run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I don't agree. This is thump of snow for PHL. It's the NAM and ought to be ignored this far out, regardless its warm to start. First .15 - .20 QPF falls as rain or snot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 RPM Quakertown bullseye 12-16" looks good im done for the night later.... HAHAHA Love it!!! That's the line of the night!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 WOW RGEM is a GEM of a run... http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/520_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 WOW RGEM is a GEM of a run... http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/520_100.gif it's slower as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Best RGEM run yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 The RGEM slightly colder and slower impressive for NE MD DE PHILLY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bricktamland Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 It's the NAM and ought to be ignored this far out, regardless its warm to start. First .15 - .20 QPF falls as rain or snot. Well in that case I hope it's just rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 But steve, at least you get to cross the Blue everyday and witness both worlds That actually makes it more depressing. I not only get to see what "could have been" on the internets, but I get to see it in person as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 NAM bufkit using 7:1 ratios for PHL would be 3 inches. changeover at 09Z Monday. That time is a touch quicker than what I'm thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 00z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 The RGEM is likely overdone, and the latest GFS seems too weak. A compromise seems reasonable right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 00z RGEM Actually wouldn't mind seeing that image centered a little further south. Also keep in mind folks this is a 10:1 ratio image cut about 33% off but still very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 mitchell do you feel the foriegn models are handling the storm correctly? They differ greatly from nam and gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Actually wouldn't mind seeing that image centered a little further south. Also keep in mind folks this is a 10:1 ratio image cut about 33% off but still very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Convection blowup over se VA as well on GFS takes moisture away from us. Both GFS and NAM look like 2-4 inch deals for PHL. Changeover time similar 09-12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Actually wouldn't mind seeing that image centered a little further south. Also keep in mind folks this is a 10:1 ratio image cut about 33% off but still very impressive. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Gfs and NAM have trended worse while RGEM goes nuts, well wait for EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 GFS is a wingdinger for mid week for Lehigh Valley northward. all frozen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Gfs and NAM have trended worse while RGEM goes nuts, well wait for EURO What are you taking about? Still looks like a 4-8 inch dump for PHL metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 GFS is a wingdinger for mid week for Lehigh Valley northward. all frozen Trends favor a heavy wet snow bomb for the interior.Ex - areas north of I 78 in Mt Holly forecast zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 What are you taking about? Still looks like a 4-8 inch dump for PHL metro. More like 2-4, taking into account a rainy start then only 7:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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