SP Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Ggem If only............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 EC is definitely another southward shift. Second in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Nam came north...and the 6z gfs is a solid thump though the bl is a little warm to start but a solid thump nonetheless . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Latest Wxsim on both systems by mid-week here in NW ChescoOvernight tomorrow some light rain and snow mixed becoming all snow by 630am temp 31.9930am light snow temp 31.61230pm Heavy Snow temp 30.6330pm Mod Snow temp 30.8Snow ends by 430pm with 3" to 5" of snow with a w.e. of 0.45"By Wed overnight early AM Heavy Sleet arrives transitioning to heavy ZR till 630am on Wed with 1.30" falling as frozen - then heavy cold rain during the day with another 1.00" falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Nam is a secs for us with .75" line near phl. Still worried about bl warmth but I think we squeeze 3-6" outta this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Nam is a secs for us with .75" line near phl. Still worried about bl warmth but I think we squeeze 3-6" outta this looks good for the PHL metro area. Another shift north and I maybe able to squeeze out an inch or 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 looks good for the PHL metro area. Another shift north and I maybe able to squeeze out an inch or 2. this could actually be a bigger deal than many are thinking...this forum is dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I would bet elevation will certainly be of help with this one - has not really been that critical in the last couple years but I think this time it well could be Nam is a secs for us with .75" line near phl. Still worried about bl warmth but I think we squeeze 3-6" outta this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 still early in the AM and certainly not as dead as some other forums I frequent.... this could actually be a bigger deal than many are thinking...this forum is dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 still early in the AM and certainly not as dead as some other forums I frequent....glad you're here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 this could actually be a bigger deal than many are thinking...this forum is dead. Not really on radar. Another short term model correction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Just one more jump north on the NAM and we're all golden. If this run is right, the Lehigh Valley is on the cutoff...again. Since when is Philly the synoptic snow capital of PA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Just one more jump north on the NAM and we're all golden. If this run is right, the Lehigh Valley is on the cutoff...again. Since when is Philly the synoptic snow capital of PA? If PHL airport gets a solid thump, it looks possible to make a run at top 10 snow season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Nam still adjusting its coming northwest in my opinion. GFS run will be very important; if it shows a hit look out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 NAM fits the yearly pattern perfectly. Frontal wave passing through VA/NC. Heavy snow band near phl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 These type of sharp cutoff lines give me arrhythmia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Rgem came north and is a big hit. Ok the n trend can stop now please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Rgem came north and is a big hit. Ok the n trend can stop now please. That's my concern, too. The pattern this year is everything trending NW right up to the event. We still have nearly 48hrs of possible trending to deal with. Then again, the pattern is Philly snow this year, so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 props to the NAM for being one of the first to show this...days ago. then backing off, and then coming back again. (and some say it's clueless at 84 hours) meanwhile the reliable long range models , (ECM and GFS ) were completely clueless then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Rgem came north and is a big hit. Ok the n trend can stop now please. We can handle a click a two more N and be golden but no more. I would like to see more cold. I could see it baking a bit tomorrow then clouds start to filter in and the temps don't drop as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 We can handle a click a two more N and be golden but no more. I would like to see more cold. I could see it baking a bit tomorrow then clouds start to filter in and the temps don't drop as well.we need temps to drop off quickly as u said. We do have fresh cold air moving in monday but will it be in time? Apparently mt holly believes so in their disco this am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 The 12z GFS continues to inch north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I usually hate posts like this, but I'll say, it has seemingly snowed everytime we've had a threat, whether that was a coating or 12"...no reason for it to stop. I think Philly gets 2-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 To me the GFS looks like last night's EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 The 12z GFS continues to inch north. Those of us to the north need a lot more than that. The gradient of doom is well in line to do its thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 It is a tad warmer, but only because it doesn't have as heavy rates as the 6z did. Heavy rates = cooling the column Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I usually hate posts like this, but I'll say, it has seemingly snowed everytime we've had a threat, whether that was a coating or 12"...no reason for it to stop. I think Philly gets 2-3" I would go a tad more but the temps must cooperate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I usually hate posts like this, but I'll say, it has seemingly snowed everytime we've had a threat, whether that was a coating or 12"...no reason for it to stop. I think Philly gets 2-3" Based on qpf or some rain involved? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Waaaaaay too warm for my liking in SNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Waaaaaay too warm for my liking in SNJ. No offense but I think you'll get screwed on this one unless something drastically changes. It's been a whacky winter so who knows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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