Mitchell Gaines Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:39 AM, snowlurker said: Mitch when you say 295, do you mean the axis of 295 running through Mt Holly or does the boundary more or less follow 295 all the way to the Memorial Bridge? I'm thinking about the implications for Delaware. all the way down. It's really close for those like me on 295. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Warning snows in my area per new nam. Trend in your friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:58 AM, Highzenberg said: Evaporation cooling will when we will see temps really plummetMore cold front related cooling (isn't it?) with dew points so high (dp 37, air 43)...Remember hearing that temps drop about 1/3 the difference between air temp and dew points? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 1:59 AM, bluehens said: Does anybody have a sounding for PHL off the latest NAM? I hear its warm. looks just barely all snow after 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Latest nws snow maps have expanded 4 - 6" area but no increase in the amounts where it's been 4 - 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Big hit if you are snow. Can't deny the trends N & W Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I think sometimes you want to flirt with the rain/snow line in heavy qpf events but this is just want too close for comfort....I'd love like 20-25 more miles of flexibility On 2/3/2014 at 2:07 AM, Mitchell Gaines said: looks just barely all snow after 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I haven't seen such good dynamics in a while, the 700mb VVs are off the charts, whoever stays snow and is just N of the R/S line will get obliterated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 This is from 8pm I believe. I'll take it. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 This is what I just referred to in my previous post....I live about 1 mile south of the PA/DE line about 5 miles from the river.....flirting with disaster. This honestly could be an all rain event for me or like 10" of snow. Flip a coin almost. On 2/3/2014 at 2:15 AM, Highzenberg said: I haven't seen such good dynamics in a while, the 700mb VVs are off the charts, whoever stays snow and is just N of the R/S line will get obliterated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Bring it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Current temperature at ILG is 45 degrees. Like bluehens, I'm extremely nervous about this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 There will be some intense daytime snow dumping if nam is correct. Dangerous traveling possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mookiemike Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 12:17 AM, jrodd321 said: Anyone have that feeling Philly is gonna find a way to bullseye again this storm? They just can't lose this winter lol. Its all Karma....or a metaphysical representation of physics immutable law: FOR EVERY ACTION, THERE IS AN EQUAL AND OPPOSITE REACTION. I lived in NYC 14 years , and had to watch from afar as Philly had the 2009 record snowfall. I move back to Philly, where you couldn't buy a snowflake last Winter. Now, we are the jackpot zone. It may be old weather lore, but there is always a foundation for an old adage like: Where it snows, it likes to snow again. Enjoy the MOJO we have, which looks to pay off big-time next weekend on a 1-2 combination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Does someone have any other 0z NAM snow map besides the unrealistic Wxbell ones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 2:30 AM, Rib said: Does someone have any other 0z NAM snow map besides the unrealistic Wxbell ones? Whats wrong with them? I know they have a weird bias, and sometimes overdone but still. Even IWM is showing is 8"-10" for PHL... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Wxbell maps have some unrealistic snow ratio. I usually ignore them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 What ever happened to Allen's (raleighweather) model page? It had snowfall map output for NAM I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 2:36 AM, hazwoper said: What ever happened to Allen's (raleighweather) model page? It had snowfall map output for NAM I believe You have to subscribe to AmericanWx models but it has great maps. I think instantweatheramps is pretty good snow map, takes into account ratio's, or at least tries... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 This snow total could be the best of next 3 storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 New RAP. This is just absolutely insane. 12-18" right through Philly and immediate burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 2:40 AM, packbacker said: You have to subscribe to AmericanWx models but it has great maps. I think instantweatheramps is pretty good snow map, takes into account ratio's, or at least tries... Looks to include Tuesday/Wednesday storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mookiemike Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I don't understand all this consternation, and hand-wringing. CC Philly will be the epicenter of the snowfall jackpot. Forget the trends, all of which bear that out this Winter, you have the R/S line at least 20 miles S of Philly proper. To all my NW suburban friends, as a former Lower Makefield ( Yardley ), and Upper Dublin native, this storm doesn't have the NW/SE orientation which usually favors snow NW. We all start above freezing, but I've been reading reports farther west showing the column cooling remarkably quickly, and these models have locked on for a reason. 8-10" in Philly ( being conservative ) my last call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bricktamland Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 2:41 AM, jrodd321 said: New RAP. This is just absolutely insane. 12-18" right through Philly and immediate burbs. 1176391_585340314893111_2104635335_n.jpg This is perfect. Split the difference between the NAM and RAP and the jackpot is right over MBY lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 2:42 AM, snowwors2 said: Looks to include Tuesday/Wednesday storm? Here is snow map for just next 24 hours, which is the same for your area as the 48 hour map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Mookie, again you post things that make little sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 2:44 AM, mookiemike said: I don't understand all this consternation, and hand-wringing. CC Philly will be the epicenter of the snowfall jackpot. Forget the trends, all of which bear that out this Winter, you have the R/S line at least 20 miles S of Philly proper. To all my NW suburban friends, as a former Lower Makefield ( Yardley ), and Upper Dublin native, this storm doesn't have the NW/SE orientation which usually favors snow NW. We all start above freezing, but I've been reading reports farther west showing the column cooling remarkably quickly, and these models have locked on for a reason. 8-10" in Philly ( being conservative ) my last call. So mook.... Are you saying upper Dublin won't make it to 8 - 10"...If so, I totally disagree with your thinking IF Philly makes it to there!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 RAP was pretty bad this past week for us, to amped, the HRRR was pretty darn good. Here is the snow map through 15z tomorrow, more to come for you guys after this too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 2:46 AM, packbacker said: Here is snow map for just next 24 hours, which is the same for your area as the 48 hour map. Thanks and thanks for checking in with us up here!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On 2/3/2014 at 2:50 AM, snowwors2 said: Thanks and thanks for checking in with us up here!! Good luck, great seeing the east coast getting nice events, and this one seemed to trend very nicely for you guys (knock on wood). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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