Quakertown needs snow Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 its the extended nam 0z but something to keep an eye on. this would make a messy morning communicate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 We would get absolute buried if the NAM went out 6 more hours. What a thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAMSTORM22 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 It seems every time we have our eyes on a system (Wednesday) something else good pops out of the blue much closer in time this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 0z GGEM says the GFS is on crack for Monday. This looks great for Philly southward. Congrats NJ once again.http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_096.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 0z ECM comes in and says wake up SECS monday! Kinda made sense with the north trend for everything going on. Snow comes in around end of super bowl or early am maybe starts as rain south areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 0z ECM comes in and says wake up SECS monday! Kinda made sense with the north trend for everything going on. Snow comes in around end of super bowl or early am maybe starts as rain south areas For PHL proper there's a lot of mixing, perhaps 2-4 inches of snow. For TTN I'd estimate 3-5" snow from the over 0.6" QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 31, 2014 Author Share Posted January 31, 2014 12z nam way south. 12z gfs mason line / s. jersey brushing this will probably be one of those last min. "shifting north" events that we never ever had around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 31, 2014 Author Share Posted January 31, 2014 Canadian looks good. Lets see if euro holds serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Canadian Looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Canadian looks good. Lets see if euro holds serve. Ninja'd by Quakertown haha but it does look pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 31, 2014 Author Share Posted January 31, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 DC gets 6-12 on the GGEM. ONE SHIFT NORTH and we are game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Euro looks good again. This Map is for 1pm Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 EC is shifted south a bit from the 0Z run. FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Plenty of time for this one to trend north and get into the .5 qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Plenty of time for this one to trend north and get into the .5 qpf It is an interesting storm because there are many variables - How strong is the shortwave that is sagging behind the cold front? - How far apart will they be? The reason the 00z NAM was a MECS last night was because it separated the waves a LOT & had a strong shortwave in the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 31, 2014 Author Share Posted January 31, 2014 This could turnout to be a nice little hit. Saturday's runs will interesting. Of course its one storm at a time and nothing is a lock but it might all be washed away soon after . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bricktamland Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 DC gets 6-12 on the GGEM. ONE SHIFT NORTH and we are game on. More than enough time for that trend to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Mt Holly AFD says it's ok to root for the non-Americans (Canadian, Ukie, Euro, all of which on our side) vs the Americans (GFS/Nam) since Olympics haven't started yet. I am ok with that, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 I kind of like were we are right now with this system if the Canadian and Euro are correct, a little north of the heaviest precip. I guess the heavier rates could help the Mid Atlantic crew but still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShakeNBake22z Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 21z SREF had a big NW shift.....0.25+ up thru NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdbean Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 State College is covering all there bases for Tuesday. Tuesday A chance of snow. Mostly sunny, with a high near 37. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 21z SREF had a big NW shift.....0.25+ up thru NYC.Individual members aren't very impressive...a couple big weenie hits, but the rest are mostly grazers or misses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 0z GFS came in more amped. So did the UKMET. And it looks like the RGEM is setting up for a nice hit at the end of its run. Edit: CMC is a HUGE hit. 6-10" for everybody. Loaded with moisture to the point where I'd have to suspect it's overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 CMC looks more like 4-6" but digging the north trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 CMC looks more like 4-6" but digging the north trends Anymore I almost take it for granite/factor in storms will trend North. Best for the sweet spot to start out in DC/Balt...maybe a tad further South then the trend N begins. Won't be 100% guaranteed but seems greater than 50-60% more times than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Euro is less aggressive...1-3", 2-4" type storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 ECM was at .35" philly and .25" northern burbs at 12z has it maintained at least? * sounds like it is close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 WxBell maps have Euro depicting Philly at .53" QPF and show 4 - 6" on east at 33 degrees. Looks like a quick hitting paste bomb. It's a little south of 12z but well within model noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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