Allsnow Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 hr 18 nam 7am light snow..surface and 850's south of middlesex county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 To be honest....to my untrained eye and knowledge the RAP has been great all the way out to it's 18 hours but does get better closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'll put it to you this way -- you should not be using the RAP at this range. Thanks John. This is helpful. Looking at the RUC/RAP, etc. posted at this range and trying to learn when to really focus on them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 hr 21 mod snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 NAM NAILS US. Lol matches up exactly to the RAP! Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 We don't have PBP posters so include South Jersey too lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Heavy snow at hour 21 with a weenie band running from SE PA to NYC... Awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 There's some very intense 700mb VVEL's with a stout/juiced SW flow on the NAM... This looks hawt from a dynamic standpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Heavy snow at hour 21 with a weenie band running from SE PA to NYC... Awesome. This is what I mean. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'm saving this run and need to compare it to 24 hours ago. Holy wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 hr 21 is prob rain in se nj…..phl is snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 hr 24 heavy snow from phl-nyc….se nj still has temp issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 24 Hour heavy snow from SE PA to NYC including all of Central NJ...850 0c line cutoff looks to be running from LBI on a southwest trajectory. This run is 6-8" for NYC, Northern and Central NJ back to SE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 There's some very intense 700mb VVEL's with a stout/juiced SW flow on the NAM... This looks hawt from a dynamic standpoint. namNE_700_vvel_015.gif namNE_700_rhum_015.gif The lift/omega looks great for us. I look at that before I look at QPF-that usually catches up to the upper level panels later. This is going to be a great system for us I think. Maybe in snywx-land not as much but we should all be happy by tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Major hit 78 south, big hit elsewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 There's some very intense 700mb VVEL's with a stout/juiced SW flow on the NAM... This looks hawt from a dynamic standpoint. namNE_700_vvel_015.gif namNE_700_rhum_015.gif Thundersnow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monmouthcounty11 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Sim Radar at H21, overall north of 12z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Good lift still hanging back over NYC/NJ at hour 24...looks like weak/non-classic ccb development Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Oh please let me Let me here a 6-10 inch for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 To be honest....to my untrained eye and knowledge the RAP has been great all the way out to it's 18 hours but does get better closer It will correct south, it always does.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Sim Radar at H21, overall north of 12z: Wow, maybe I was wrong about the snywx comment. Awesome!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 0.50" to High Point. 0.75" Hunterdon to Union Co into Staten Island and along the South Shore. Amounts closer to 0.8" from Philly into Central NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 0.5" plus contour to Rt. 94. 0.75" to 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 301 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014 ...ACCUMULATING SNOW EXPECTED ON MONDAY... CTZ005-006-009-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078-176>179- 030415- /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.140203T1000Z-140204T0000Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN- EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 301 PM EST SUN FEB 2 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND. * HAZARD TYPES...WET SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH TONIGHT...10 TO 15 MPH ON MONDAY. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE MID 30S TONIGHT AND LOWER 30S EARLY MONDAY MORNING. * VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MONDAY MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. * TIMING...LIGHT RAIN OR A RAIN SNOW MIX SHOULD COMMENCE WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. AS THE PRECIPITATION BECOMES HEAVIER EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST DURING MONDAY AFTERNOON...AND END BY EARLY EVENING. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS...MAKING FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL. THE WET SNOW MAY ADD EXTRA WEIGHT TO TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES...POTENTIALLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Three Words: Winter Storm Warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Weenie run! Heavy snow from CHO (VA) to EWR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Snow maps show 6-7" for NYC/NE NJ, 4-6" NW NJ, and 7-9" down near PHL and trenton. However snow depth maps for our area are only 3-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbo073 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Winter Weather Advisory just issued for Hoboken, dont you think it should be a winter storm warning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Is Upton trying to keep the 'panic' down? 3-5" (with locally higher amounts) seems A) LOW and Worthy of at least a watch... Interesting stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Is Upton trying to keep the 'panic' down? 3-5" (with locally higher amounts) seems A) LOW and Worthy of at least a watch... Interesting stuff. Its too late for a watch..either advisory or warning. Since confidence is low for 6" they went with an advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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