IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Can we please not have IMBY questions. Check out your local forecast at nws.gov or by taking the time to simply read this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 do u know his twitter account per chance? No-I don't think he does updates by Twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Upton in its 1 PM udate still going with 2 -4 no advisories or warnings will be issued yet http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.fxus61.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Does there seem to be any mixing issues for Eatontown nj at the start. Sent from my SCH-I545 Can we please not have IMBY questions. Check out your local forecast at nws.gov or by taking the time to simply read this forum. +1 Tom (and sferic), IMBY questions clutter threads otherwise devoted to model analysis, interpretation, and obs. Just think if everyone in this forum posted (and responded to) IMBY questions... it would be a giant cluster and of little value to the broad community. Thanks guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Flow is coming right out of the Gulf boys... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 If you bother to read you'll find the answer to almost every question you have regarding sensible weather for your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Upton in its 1 PM udate still going with 2 -4 no advisories or warnings will be issued yet http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.fxus61.KOKX.html I think Dan is right , they don't want to get In the way of the SB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Flow is coming right out of the Gulf boys... grearth 2014-02-02 14-03-07-78.png This is going to be a very juiced system. Very different from the January storms that were Arctic-front based and didn't collect moisture until they were here, much wetter snow this time. I'm excited for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 animated current radar For adding explicit book-marks to directly access preferred weather maps, click here to visit our FAQ page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Upton in its 1 PM udate still going with 2 -4 no advisories or warnings will be issued yet http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.fxus61.KOKX.html Could be that they were waiting for all the 12z runs. They might post them for the afternoon package in a hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Flow is coming right out of the Gulf boys... grearth 2014-02-02 14-03-07-78.png Yes, this is why I am bullish for big snows in the next few events. As it stands now, best snow axis looks to be north of NYC with storm 2. Storm 3 could very well be a KU but is still way off on the horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I think Dan is right , they don't want to get In the way of the SB In my view not a reason not to issue advisories and warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 In my view not a reason not to issue advisories and warnings. They'll be issued between 3 and 4 as always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Yes, this is why I am bullish for big snows in the next few events. As it stands now, best snow axis looks to be north of NYC with storm 2. Storm 3 could very well be a KU but is still way off on the horizon. I think next weekend is DC to Boston , I like the look of the euro, it splits the energy so the trough are pos tilted and come Under the confluence. Then they will the gulf open . Then once to the east coast they aren't fast movers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Yes, this is why I am bullish for big snows in the next few events. As it stands now, best snow axis looks to be north of NYC with storm 2. Storm 3 could very well be a KU but is still way off on the horizon. Good times ahead!! Hopefully the Euro woke up on Wednesday's storm. Wouldn't want to disturb our glacier, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 In my view not a reason not to issue advisories and warnings. Agree , guidance says otherwise , says its prob warranted . Only they know . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I think Dan is right , they don't want to get In the way of the SB This should be about Public awareness and safety first not over some football game! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Yes, this is why I am bullish for big snows in the next few events. As it stands now, best snow axis looks to be north of NYC with storm 2. Storm 3 could very well be a KU but is still way off on the horizon. See, this is what confuses the nonpro like me. Accuweather thinks the upcoming storms are rainmakers here and snow for the upper Midwest. Who do I believe? A few days ago this storm looked like nothing..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 This is going to be a very juiced system. Very different from the January storms that were Arctic-front based and didn't collect moisture until they were here, much wetter snow this time. I'm excited for this one. Noticed that when I had my coffee this morning, and I do like the chances of an over-performer for all areas with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 In my view not a reason not to issue advisories and warnings. Yes but they can still wait until this evening's package to hoist them. It is still (I think) a 3rd period event, though I'm fuzzy on exactly what defines which periods and how long they can wait until putting up advisories. Pretty sure if they issued a watch now some people would misinterpret this ... I really have no evidence but I'm pretty sure they are delaying with so much attention placed on the SB and all the focus that has been on the weather for gameday the last few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 See, this is what confuses the nonpro like me. Accuweather thinks the upcoming storms are rainmakers here and snow for the upper Midwest. Who do I believe? A few days ago this storm looked like nothing..... Who do you think you should believe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 This should be about Public awareness and safety first not over some football game! I don't think the professionals at NWS really care about the SB in their decision making. I think they want to see more info. They are holding back for some reason, but it ain't a football game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 This should be about Public awareness and safety first not over some football game! Advertisers, businesses, and those attending would disagree. It brings in billions of dollars and it's practically a national holiday but yeah safety is more important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Srefs bump north! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 See, this is what confuses the nonpro like me. Accuweather thinks the upcoming storms are rainmakers here and snow for the upper Midwest. Who do I believe? A few days ago this storm looked like nothing..... Not to bash Accuweather, I have had friends go work for them... but they aren't the best source of information on upcoming winter storms. Plus their latest updates likely do not incorporate the trends of the 12Z suite which have been colder and more frozen. Storms 2 or 3 could still very well be more wet than white but I think those solutions are becoming less likely. Sill a long way to go before Storm 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Yes but they can still wait until this evening's package to hoist them. It is still (I think) a 3rd period event, though I'm fuzzy on exactly what defines which periods and how long they can wait until putting up advisories. Pretty sure if they issued a watch now some people would misinterpret this ... I really have no evidence but I'm pretty sure they are delaying with so much attention placed on the SB and all the focus that has been on the weather for gameday the last few weeks. we are within 24 hours of start time. we are under the temporal umbrella for a warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 SREF bumped north again...by 40-50 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Srefs bump north! I thought this would be a north-trender for a while, these events usually are. We are in a good spot for this one, and this time with plenty of Gulf moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 we are within 24 hours of start time. we are under the temporal umbrella for a warning Yes, but not always - oftentimes they will wait until the very last minute before making a call on a Watch area to Advisory or Warning... do you know what is the latest they can wait before putting something up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 SREF bumped north again...by 40-50 miles. In line w/ the Euro I presume? Mt Holly and Upton best hoist quickly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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