BoulderWX Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 What's the sref mean for ewr? .52" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Jm.....it's not a huge jump by any means, but there was a bit of a jump north this run. 2-3" now, whereas it was under 2" before. Overall it is a hit drier around phl tho and SNJ takes a whalloping this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odwalla Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Hey jm, why dont you have a met tag under your name? because he did not complete met school and is therefore not a met, which is obvious anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Hey jm, why dont you have a met tag under your name? Because I'm not a met. I work in the energy/oil and gas sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 NYC I am going for 3"-6" . I think it could even be more, but at this time I think is a best bet. If it does get stronger which is a possibility NYC would get over 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looking at 12z the majority of any moisture north of 78 came from an initial tongue. The 18z NAM pushed moderate precip from the wave wel North of 78. For fringe worry people (again) this is important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Jm.....it's not a huge jump by any means, but there was a bit of a jump north this run. 2-3" now, whereas it was under 2" before. Overall it is a hit drier around phl tho and SNJ takes a whalloping this run I see now that it went a little bit north, overall though it's drier for most of us. The 0.50" line that went through Brooklyn last run is now over northern Monmouth County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 4k NAM looks like it was run out of Anthony's basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 You know what's funny Twc is completely ignoring this storm. There snowfall through Wednesday map shows no snow south of NYC! Wtf is wrong with them? I think at least an advisory snow here is a lock. And mikes post is hilarious other then the snow Feilds of mt Washington good luck finding snow on memorial day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 500mb heights and the northern extent of the precip shield have increased at least 4 straight runs on the NAM. Although QPF did decrease slightly in a few areas from 12z to 18z, which is a trivial change IMO. The northward trend appears associated with run by run increases in the amplitude of the s/w ridge in Quebec province. It's pretty clear when you cycle through the past 4 runs. The northward trend does not appear associated with increased strength, sharpness, or amplitude of the southern stream s/w responsible for the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 4k NAM looks like it was run out of Anthony's basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 4k NAM looks like it was run out of Anthony's basement. [/quote Monmouth! Monmouth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I'm starting to get a complex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Very moisture packed little disturbance because of it's southern stream origins and I could see some surprisingly high snowfall amounts with this as well as intense snow bands. The 4K Nam looks really impressive and whatever minor QPF cutback the Nam showed is really trivial, and I wouldn't be surprised if it really increased the QPF next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Very moisture packed little disturbance since it's of southern stream origins so I would see some surprisingly high snowfall amounts with this as well as intense snow bands. The 4K Nam looks really impressive and whatever minor QPF cutback the Nam showed is really trivial, and I wouldn't be surprised if it really increased the QPF next run. I'm not worried about it because every other model is quite wet and there is a lot of Gulf moisture helping out. There could be a band somewhere of really impressive snow amounts, maybe up to 10". It looks like a thump and go 8 hour system for the most part. It could be a very bad Monday morning and evening commute once more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Mr. G isn't a meteorologist, Sam Champion, and some others I can't think of off the top of my head. If you graduated with a Meteorology degree and practice it for a living, you're a meteorologist.Pro forecaster tags are meant for those that work in the field but don't have full met degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Im on SI, I catch the northern edge of that yellow you, touches most of Middlesex and a bit of Union too, if it verifies ( not sure of that ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 The version of the 4k NAM I have shows the yellow blob up to I-78 and then NE into Harlem. Probably some good subsidence aka screw zone north of 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Mr. G isn't a meteorologist, Sam Champion, and some others I can't think of off the top of my head. If you graduated with a Meteorology degree and practice it for a living, you're a meteorologist. Right, that's what I thought. In a licensed profession, it is usually illegal to practice without the credentials. Everything from hair stylist to surgeon. Teaching is not a licensed profession ( it is certificated, hence it is not illegal to teach w/o credentials in private schools ). In other words, you can still know your weather jm, even if you didn't go to grad school. So what time is this storm coming together, cause we are out of snow days in most towns around central NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 The version of the 4k NAM I have shows the yellow blob up to I-78 and then NE into Harlem. Probably some good subsidence aka screw zone north of 80. The yellow on the E-wall is 35-40 dbz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Right, that's what I thought. In a licensed profession, it is usually illegal to practice without the credentials. Everything from hair stylist to surgeon. Teaching is not a licensed profession ( it is certificated, hence it is not illegal to teach w/o credentials in private schools ). In other words, you can still know your weather jm, even if you didn't go to grad school. So what time is this storm coming together, cause we are out of snow days in most towns around central NJ. But there's a difference between a meteorologist/forecaster and a broadcast weather personality. One can do that easily without being a meteorologist as long as you have some clue what you're talking about. But I doubt the nws is hiring someone without a degree in meteorology (usually even requiring a masters) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I don't think you need a degree to practice meteorology. I may be wrong, I don't know, but I don't think it is a licensed profession. But you just can't call yourself a met if you aren't one. Wasn't Frank Fields an ophthalmologist or optometrist ( 2 different degrees by the way )? no you don't just ask "DR". Bob Harris Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 upton going 2-4 mt holly 2-4 for central nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Not sure of that sharp cut off , I think the 2 inch line is a little further N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 18Z RGEM total snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 upton going 2-4 mt holly 2-4 for central nj Upton had that before the euro came out also.....just fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Upton had that before the euro came out also.....just fwiw I would go 3-6/4-8 and I don't think it's done trending north as these systems always make small ticks N&W as we approach the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Not sure of that sharp cut off , I think the 2 inch line is a little further N All your images are not coming up from WxBell, FYI! Not sure if you are hard linking them or what. Getting a 403 forbidden message. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Wxbell blocks images as of yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 No it's not. If anything it looks maybe a little drier than 12z for most. There could be a sharp gradient for this-notice the S/W north of ours for the storm, it could help provide some confluence and drying north of where the snow hits. You are right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.