mitchnick Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I think....gulp....it keeps coming north at you guys. I understand it is a hostile environment but I like the wave's source. I think confluence will ease a bit more too. ahh, ok but the paranoid me always worries about losing the confluence resulting in warm temps (we don't have such a cold air mass this time as on the 29th) which is why I was uncertain Thanks bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Dc is going to be flirting with 60 on sunday, probably ending up in the upper 50s which is a little disquieting unless we get good rates on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 euro is 4-6 for monday on sv maps for dca-baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 euro is nice, but as Wes says the antecdent conditions might not helps...but euro would be good rates...0.4" - 0.5" or so of snow...so it would be a thump..as depicted a nice 4" event for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Dc is going to be flirting with 60 on sunday, probably ending up in the upper 50s which is a little disquieting unless we get good rates on Monday. Yep...learned my lesson from last time. Just cold enough air behind a 60 degree day is going to limit us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 euro is 4-6 for monday on sv maps for dca-baltimore Wait...seriously?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Dc is going to be flirting with 60 on sunday, probably ending up in the upper 50s which is a little disquieting unless we get good rates on Monday. Thats not going to be a problem. holy crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 euro is 4-6 for monday on sv maps for dca-baltimore thanks...not sure how it works in the central NJ forum, but usually in this forum we do more analysis than simply post snow map output Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 euro is nice, but as Wes says the antecdent conditions might not helps...but euro would be good rates...0.4" - 0.5" or so of snow...so it would be a thump..as depicted a nice 4" event for DC Wow...nice. At least trends look good for now...Enough to paste everything would just be nice honestly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Thats not going to be a problem. holy crap.The euro is a matt-esque mini Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Wait...seriously?! it's like 0.55" of liquid for me and you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 thanks...not sure how it works in the central NJ forum, but usually in this forum we do more analysis than simply post snow map output Dude, cut him some slack, lol. He was actually being informative unlike the normal outside drive bys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Matt, you crack me up. Keep up the good work sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 First storm looks awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 it's like 0.55" of liquid for me and you Damn, wow. But I'm not going to be like last time...I've learned my lesson. Like you/wes said, antecedent airmass....maybe 2" for us after sunsets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 DCA is .7+ total precip. bulk falls below freezing at the surface verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 What is the start time? Nighttime would be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 The euro is a matt-esque mini yeah...it is trending toward a legit snowstorm...too bad it is currently overnight...I guess not much sleep on Sunday night EDIT - Sunday night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Thats not going to be a problem. holy crap. It certainly thumps us while dropping out temps. Looks like it starts briefly as rain for some of us. It's tricky around DC since the urban heat island sometimes keeps the temp up longer than forecast. I'm gonna have an interesting article to write tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Thats not going to be a problem. holy crap. I think it will be though Bob. We gotta learn from previous times at some point. Unless we're getting a snow bomb with heavy rates and near or after dusk, it's going to hurt a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 What is the start time? Nighttime would be good. starts at night.. we'd probably be pretty solid in this scenario. actually most of it is pre 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Yep...learned my lesson from last time. Just cold enough air behind a 60 degree day is going to limit us. Agree temps are a concern, but on the encouraging side, as of yesterday I was not expecting any snow on Monday. Trend is good may trend better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 yeah...it is trending toward a legit snowstorm...too bad it is currently overnight...I guess not much sleep on Monday nightWell that is best for the stats at least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 First storm looks awesome. It's a complete 1/26/11-esque moisture bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 This has that temperature look to last time we started warm and waited for it to cool off. The Euro again sufficiently cools things along with the rates. My worry is it keeps heading toward the amped direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 It certainly thumps us while dropping out temps. Looks like it starts briefly as rain for some of us. It's tricky around DC since the urban heat island sometimes keeps the temp up longer than forecast. I'm gonna have an interesting article to write tomorrow. I can't totally tell when surface drops below freezing but all the way to the bay is sub 32 pretty quick after 1am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Whats the timing of this? Seems a little earlier than GFS/CMC...is it mainly a pre-dawn thing? or dawn-afternoon on EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 It certainly thumps us while dropping out temps. Looks like it starts briefly as rain for some of us. It's tricky around DC since the urban heat island sometimes keeps the temp up longer than forecast. I'm gonna have an interesting article to write tomorrow. Jan 21 was progged to temp crash before and during. It took my back yard 3 hours after precip started to hit 32. Right now, i don't trust the models to get both the cold air and warm air correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Dude, cut him some slack, lol. He was actually being informative unlike the normal outside drive bys. lol. i just posted it because the information is not available to everyone, didn't go into to much detail as DCA climo is not a strong point of mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 It has us in the low to mid 20s by 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.