Yeoman Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 weatherboy is getting destroyed on his page...lots of pissed off people. He is a fraud who has like 100k likes from Turkey lol. People actually take someone with the name "weatherboy" seriously to begin with? You're far better off frequenting Jihad's Wintry Mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 I'll venture that people happy with their NAM snow right now will be disappointed come 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 I'll venture that people happy with their NAM snow right now will be disappointed come 0z. Start drinking now and it won't matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 People actually take someone with the name "weatherboy" seriously to begin with? You're far better off frequenting Jihad's Wintry Mix Lol I dont get it either. He is a fraud. But he managed to hype this EURO Control map and it went viral. Its not completely his fault. People are dumb. Takes stupidity for something like that to happen. Social media unfortunately is at least as bad as it is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Mount Holly is pretty bullish on this storm for some decent accumulations on Monday. They do mention (and attempt a joke that is a fail) the American vs. Foreign models wrt to how this event evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Order up! just don't post those on social anymore.. some serious pitchforking going on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 just don't post those on social anymore.. some serious pitchforking going on 90 hrs is better than 224 hr though the wxBell algorithms make every storm look huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 just don't post those on social anymore.. some serious pitchforking going on Not gonna. Say...does anyone know how WxBell is going to enforce their no-repost policy on social media? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 90 hrs is better than 224 hr though the wxBell algorithms make every storm look huge. True.. tho as we all know here snow maps are pretty crappy on the whole. I guess the fact that wxbell created hi res maps for every major city has pushed the issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Not gonna. Say...does anyone know how WxBell is going to enforce their no-repost policy on social media? No clue. Still mixed messages on all of it. From what I gather Euro is the main thing off limits though lots of media post them so it's a little perplexing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 No clue. Still mixed messages on all of it. From what I gather Euro is the main thing off limits though lots of media post them so it's a little perplexing. unless Euro people make the effort to enforce it, the tree falls and nobody hears it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I just took a look at the post, and there is a wall of disclaimer attached to the photo. If that's what came with the original photo, I can't say I blame the poster more than the people who look at the image and run. Weenies will weenie, doubters will doubt. Both are bad and look worse on social media. Maybe he edited it. I saw the original post. It did have some disclaimers, but never mentioned it was the Euro control ens member, one of 51 members, and he was passing it off as a single snow event. But, it doesn't take a genius to read the bottom and see that it was total accum snowfall for first 10 days of the month. So yeah, weenies will... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Have a good vibe for 00Z. Hits incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 unless Euro people make the effort to enforce it, the tree falls and nobody hears it Free advertising.. idiots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Have a good vibe for 00Z. Hits incoming. I am willing to bet 00z GFS will show a good hit for us... 00z NAM will be just south but look better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like GFS ensembles finally jumped on Monday's storm. One or two good solutions, but still a lot of spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I am willing to bet 00z GFS will show a good hit for us... 00z NAM will be just south but look better If we get this it will soften the Wed warm drizzle pain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 We just have to take these storms one at a time. Our best shot is Monday's storm. Embrace it, we may get 5 inches or so somewhere in the area. Plenty enough to take out the snowblower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Have a good vibe for 00Z. Hits incoming. Yep. Think the NAM is going down in flames this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 what if this is our best or only snowstorm of the Epic Feb 1-15 period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 what if this is our best or only snowstorm of the Epic Feb 1-15 period I think that's a very real possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Free advertising.. idiots we're talking about 2 different things, 1 is Wxbell and the other is the people who create the model for wxbell, it's advertising but for the Euro people it's somebody disseminating their product to the public at large w/o pay it's clear that that vendors like Accuwx or Wxbell are supposed to restrict redistribution; if they fail to make reasonable efforts to curtail dissemination, however, then it's up to the Euro people to enforce their rights, which is what I was addressing the Euro creators do their own advertising with the limited free products they have available on their site; the maps being redistributed Ian was referring to are costing them money since large numbers are seeing them and not paying, either the Euro people directly or the vendors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 Have a good vibe for 00Z. Hits incoming. in terms of models we are actually pretty far away from the event... a lot can happen in 50-60 hours...here is the current guidance for DCA, people can extrapolate for their own backyard,.. from Wettest to Driest, all approximations..QPF, Snowfall 12z Canadian - 1", 4-5" 12z Euro - 0.75", 1-2" 12z Euro ens - 0.45", 2" 12z Canadian ensembles - 0.35", 1-2" 18z GEFS - 0.35", 1-2" 12z JMA - 0.35", ? 15z SREF - 0.30", 2" 18z GFS - 0.25" - 1-2" 18z NAM - 0.25", maybe 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I am willing to bet 00z GFS will show a good hit for us... 00z NAM will be just south but look better How much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 I am willing to bet 00z GFS will show a good hit for us... 00z NAM will be just south but look better the GFS/NAM are currently the 2 worst solutions for us...we definitely need them to get better..pretty much no chance (imo) they are leading the way in terms of liquid... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 the GFS/NAM are currently the 2 worst solutions for us...we definitely need them to get better..pretty much no chance (imo) they are leading the way in terms of liquid... Pretty much... I doubt we see a 12z GGEM scenario... I would just like to see cold air + moisture, take that as a win, and move on to the next run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Pretty much... I doubt we see a 12z GGEM scenario... I would just like to see cold air + moisture, take that as a win, and move on to the next run we will analyze this to death, which is what we all like to do so don't get me wrong, but in the end the seasonal pattern will likely prevail with DCA getting 1-2", IAD getting 4"+/-, BWI 2-3" and N MD/S PA jackpotting with 6"+/- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 Pretty much... I doubt we see a 12z GGEM scenario... I would just like to see cold air + moisture, take that as a win, and move on to the next run it's an outlier...but I doubt we are getting only 0.25"....this could still materialize..but 12/10 amounts probably do us no good, except for a minor 1-2" event....which is fine...but to get anything 3"+, we are going to need a moisture laden missile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 we will analyze this to death, which is what we all like to do so don't get me wrong, but in the end the seasonal pattern will likely prevail with DCA getting 1-2", IAD getting 4"+/-, BWI 2-3" and N MD/S PA jackpotting with 6"+/- probably..which is why I'd like to see preposterous amounts of liquid in a short amount of time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 probably..which is why I'd like to see preposterous amounts of liquid in a short amount of time.. it's been an OK winter, feeling dramatically better than the past few for sure, but we've (you, me and the rest of the I95 crowd) have been just a hair away from really cashing in, and that's probably the only thing that I find frustrating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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