NorthShoreWx Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Yeah, that was a good one too, but 3"+ type amounts aren't incredibly rare for Long Island and Eastern New England. Feb 2010's strange track produced crazy amounts deep in the interior. No argument here. I had to see that one for myself and took these photos in Harriman SP on 2/28/2010: There was easily still 3 feet on the ground that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 this is pretty much a long duration light snow event on the gfs 1-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toople Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Allsnow, on 05 Feb 2014 - 10:54 PM, said:this is pretty much a long duration light snow event on the gfs 1-2 Thank you for reading the gfs. I always enjoy reading your post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I was estimating. But we still had 3" before Monday plus 8" on Monday plus 7" today for roughly an 18" snowpack. Give or take an inch or two. its probably less than u think. compaction and mondays melting. most areas have between 10-14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 this is pretty much a long duration light snow event on the gfs 1-2 Lol very light snow event....but could be 1-2 inches hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Thank you for reading the gfs. I always enjoy reading your post. thank you! Looks like a 2nd rd of light snow sunday with the other piece of energy…could turn out to be a snowy sunday…just not a ton of accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 The H5 configuration is very interesting through HR 81. The Northern Vort is digging way more than the 18Z GFS. 18Z GFS: Base of Northern vort down to the Illinois/Indiana border at HR 90. 00Z GFS: Base of Northern vort down to Central Tennessee at HR 90. Still light precip though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 It was like fire hose. You received a ton of wet snow before temps dropped off. Were the rates insane for you during that part of the storm ? Probably the hardest I have ever seen it snow. Widespread 32-36" 10 miles to my east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 That storm def swung into Boston and that's when queens on east changed to snow. I remember that storm due to its odd track in Boston, the amount of rain that fell here then snow. And that nyc ended with 20" Also remember something like 36" in Suffern. I could be wrong No it was in the snow triangle as we call it up here... Harriman, Monroe, Highland Mills Areas in Putnam/Dutchess county had 20"+ while areas 5 or so miles to the east had 0 and 3" of rain. Insane R/S line and it was aligned NW/SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I like the way the gfs trended tonight, there's a ton of energy ejecting east and the gfs is really digging much more so than its last run. We'll see if that keep trending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 00Z GFS @123: The overrunning storm is still there and the Southern Vort is more energetic, yet there's more confluence. @141: There's better phasing going on over Nebraska/Kansas/Oklahoma, but the confluence is very strong. Starting to look very interesting. @HR 153: Really nice amplifying going on. Due to the split flow, the Southern Vort manage to properly consolidate, so it can amplify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 GFS might be a big hit in the LR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 The amount of precipitation with that storm was incredible...probably the most you'll ever see in this area from a winter storm. It was unique because it's rare to get 20"+ totals with such poor ratios like that. Well big storms are no stranger to Orange county but that storm did produce an insane amount of precip. Yeah, that was a good one too, but 3"+ type amounts aren't incredibly rare for Long Island and Eastern New England. Feb 2010's strange track produced crazy amounts deep in the interior. My folks live in Highland Mills and after that storm they had 46" of snow on the ground. We had a decent event about 48 hrs prior to that one. My jaw dropped when I saw it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 GFS might be a big hit in the LR It's really nice to look at. Serious overrunning going on at HR 159. @168: Looking mighty tasty. Neutral tilted Vort. @180: The vort over the Carolina's is de-amplifying and so close to phasing but it's too late. Much better changes than the 12Z and 18Z runs. Snowing over VA/Eastern MD/DE for over 48 hours in the form of Light to Moderate Snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 No it was in the snow triangle as we call it up here... Harriman, Monroe, Highland Mills Areas in Putnam/Dutchess county had 20"+ while areas 5 or so miles to the east had 0 and 3" of rain. Insane R/S line and it was aligned NW/SE Thanks . Yea it was Harriman. I'm not good at differentiating many Hudson Valley towns for some reason. Never have been. I guess because I don't live near there. Should probably get better at it since Suffern is further south in Rockland Co lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIJohn Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 So is this storm looking like a major event or a minor event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 No it was in the snow triangle as we call it up here... Harriman, Monroe, Highland Mills Areas in Putnam/Dutchess county had 20"+ while areas 5 or so miles to the east had 0 and 3" of rain. Insane R/S line and it was aligned NW/SE I was in Putnam for that one. Measured 14" at the Hudson River, 28" at 600ft in the Highlands just east of the river (west side of the county) and 5" at 400ft at Carmel on the east side. There was a strong elevational dependence to the snowfall superimposed on the most incredible east-west gradient I've ever witnessed in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Well big storms are no stranger to Orange county but that storm did produce an insane amount of precip. My folks live in Highland Mills and after that storm they had 46" of snow on the ground. We had a decent event about 48 hrs prior to that one. My jaw dropped when I saw it. No doubt, but the interior usually works off of good ratios rather than huge amounts of precip. Looked back into the climo records and NYC came in with 3.17 of precip and 20.9" of snow--works out to a 6.5/1 ratio, so you're talking about snow that's barely 1 level above sleet. lol. The thermal profiles of that storm must have been more consistent with historic snowstorms you'd see in November or late March/April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 So is this storm looking like a major event or a minor event? Right now on the GFS it is south and east and out to sea for the 12th..However if it were to come up the coast it would from the looks of how its modeled be a major player! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 00Z GGEM shows a huge hit for the Southern Mid Atlantic to New England on Valentine's Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 No doubt, but the interior usually works off of good ratios rather than huge amounts of precip. Looked back into the climo records and NYC came in with 3.17 of precip and 20.9" of snow--works out to a 6.5/1 ratio, so you're talking about snow that's barely 1 level above sleet. lol. The thermal profiles of that storm must have been more consistent with historic snowstorms you'd see in November or late March/April.We lost a good inch of that to rain. Then it turned over to sleet, then snow and boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 00Z GGEM shows a huge hit for the Southern Mid Atlantic to New England on Valentine's Day. gemglbPR00.37.gif That has a Feb 5-6 2010 look to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 That has a Feb 5-6 2010 look to it. It originates in the GOM.. its a Miller A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 We lost a good inch of that to rain. Then it turned over to sleet, then snow and boom. Did a little bit of looking into it, and it would seem it was at least 95% snow for KNYC: http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2010/25-Feb-10-RegionalSurfaceObservations.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 It originates in the GOM.. its a Miller A No, the pretty colors have that look that's all. That storm did not go well for many here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 No doubt, but the interior usually works off of good ratios rather than huge amounts of precip. Looked back into the climo records and NYC came in with 3.17 of precip and 20.9" of snow--works out to a 6.5/1 ratio, so you're talking about snow that's barely 1 level above sleet. lol. The thermal profiles of that storm must have been more consistent with historic snowstorms you'd see in November or late March/April. Says alot about the intense rates of that storm.. Speaking of rates, last night was probably the closest I've seen it in comparison to that storm. Absolutely insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 It's really confusing when this is a thread for the Sunday storm and everyone is talking about a 7 day out Valentines day snowstorm. Can we make a new thread for that or change the date on the thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 The euro is running now.....through 60 hours it looks a bit better for the sat night event. Not a big hit by any means, but better at least than the GFS/NAM through 60 Edit : it doesn't get there though....the 1" line gets to SNJ, with 2-3" for southern DE/MD and coastal VA. Low develops off the coast of NC and tracks ENE quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 The euro is running now.....through 60 hours it looks a bit better for the sat night event. Not a big hit by any means, but better at least than the GFS/NAM through 60 Was just going to post that as it is a improved run that is more N&W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Was just going to post that as it is a improved run that is more N&W the waves that the EURO/GFS focus on are still different, the precip we get on the EURO is from the first wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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