WintersGrasp Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Well....euro has us into NYC with over 27" of snowcover by monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Euro still showing a storm signal. And still has a small threat before the big one. Again? It had that last night. Hmmm..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 OMG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I want you to bring home the goods with that storm. I know its your baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The 6z GFS is OMG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The 6z GFS is OMG. I am a huge buyer of this storm this weekend . The Euro ENSEMBLES have been rock steady with this for 5 days now . I`m all in brother . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The 6z GFS is OMG. Detials. what does OMG translate into?? and for which storm Wed? Sun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 This weekend storm looks like a full blown HECS that very well may make a run to the big dogs of NESIS. Widespread crippling blizzard from Phl-bos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Detials. what does OMG translate into?? and for which storm Wed? Sun? 6z GFS ends up being a coastal hugger, but wow, what a setup. 6z Dgex was 2-3 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 6z GFS ends up being a coastal hugger, but wow, what a setup. 6z Dgex was 2-3 feet Hard to say we're getting an agreement already but your getting that feeling this is something that may be pretty damn special. Looks like a pure breed Miller A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TomWH Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Check out the long term disco from Upton. Crazy to see this so early for the storm early next week, "THE GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS IS 980S...BUT SOME OF THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE INTHE 970S S OF LI." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Hard to say we're getting an agreement already but your getting that feeling this is something that may be pretty damn special. Looks like a pure breed Miller A I dunno man. I'm sitting under a WSWarning for 8", under a WSWatch for another 4" and seeing these model runs a few days later. This week is already pretty special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 I dunno man. I'm sitting under a WSWarning for 8", under a WSWatch for another 4" and seeing these model runs a few days later. This week is already pretty special. And the post above you from NWS long range discussion. Boy this may be a winter we'll talk about for a LONG time if the weekend storm can come to fruition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I am a huge buyer of this storm this weekend . The Euro ENSEMBLES have been rock steady with this for 5 days now . I`m all in brother . The euro ensembles have a ton of precip too. Unreal for this far out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The potential is pretty staggering with this one, and Jan 1996/PDII come to mind and that's not just hyperbole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The euro ensembles have a ton of precip too. Unreal for this far out Yeh , these are blockbuster type systems , the issue is Tuesday nite still may have a last second wobble to it , so have to get past that then I think you can really nail this one down . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Euro ensembles are nuts. 1000mb low off the coast of Ocean City Maryland with 1" of QPF. I haven't seen that kind of QPF/etc on the ensemble mean in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I am a huge buyer of this storm this weekend . The Euro ENSEMBLES have been rock steady with this for 5 days now . I`m all in brother . I like how the huge block north of Alaska extends a piece of the ridge over toward the Davis Strait. That's probably why the euro ensembles are amped and still have a BM track for us. This storm if it lives up to potential would be one of the best -PNA snows that we have had here. Even are earlier storms this season came on the neutral to positive PNA. So it would be a huge win to get an amped up strong storm that delivers in a -PNA as todays storm isn't wound up so it's sliding under us instead of cutting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Euro ensembles are nuts. 1000mb low off the coast of Ocean City Maryland with 1" of QPF. I haven't seen that kind of QPF/etc on the ensemble mean in years. John IF this storm comes to fruition this may honestly give a run to the top of the NESIS chart, obviously not dethroning 93' but it can give 96' a run for its money. I know calling something like that this far is foolish but like you said 1" QPF on the ensemble mean 6 days out is NUTS! this storm if it can get its act together perfectly could quite literally paralyze DC-BOSTON and produce yard stick worthy snowfall over a wide area. Once again this is IF it does occur perfectly john, just a prediction of best case scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 John IF this storm comes to fruition this may honestly give a run to the top of the NESIS chart, obviously not dethroning 93' but it can give 96' a run for its money. I know calling something like that this far is foolish but like you said 1" QPF on the ensemble mean 6 days out is NUTS! this storm if it can get its act together perfectly could quite literally paralyze DC-BOSTON and produce yard stick worthy snowfall over a wide area. Once again this is IF it does occur perfectly john, just a prediction of best case scenario This kind of talk at this range is never exciting to me...in fact it gives me a bit of a pit in my stomach. I can't remember a storm since 96 or PDII that was modeled well at this range. Most of them tend to look great and then end up being either duds or don't work out in our favor. So while I get really excited looking at this stuff too, and the transient block and exciting southern stream gives me a tingle in my spine, I don't want to get my hopes up and I hope nobody else does either. We have a long, long, long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 John IF this storm comes to fruition this may honestly give a run to the top of the NESIS chart, obviously not dethroning 93' but it can give 96' a run for its money. I know calling something like that this far is foolish but like you said 1" QPF on the ensemble mean 6 days out is NUTS! this storm if it can get its act together perfectly could quite literally paralyze DC-BOSTON and produce yard stick worthy snowfall over a wide area. Once again this is IF it does occur perfectly john, just a prediction of best case scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I like how the huge block north of Alaska extends a piece of the ridge over toward the Davis Strait. That's probably why the euro ensembles are amped and still have a BM track for us. This storm if it lives up to potential would be one of the best -PNA snows that we have had here. Even are earlier storms this season came on the neutral to positive PNA. So it would be a huge win to get an amped up strong storm that delivers in a -PNA as todays storm isn't wound up so it's sliding under us instead of cutting. EDH101-168.gif pna.sprd2.gif I like how the huge block north of Alaska extends a piece of the ridge over toward the Davis Strait. That's probably why the euro ensembles are amped and still have a BM track for us. This storm if it lives up to potential would be one of the best -PNA snows that we have had here. Even are earlier storms this season came on the neutral to positive PNA. So it would be a huge win to get an amped up strong storm that delivers in a -PNA as todays storm isn't wound up so it's sliding under us instead of cutting. EDH101-168.gif pna.sprd2.gif It has all the markings of a blockbuster. I think all here deep down looking at the guidance knows where this is going but prob Wana get thru wed before going there. I agree best neg pna set up ur Gona see. Best 7 day period ur Gona see. And 3 winter storm warnings in 7 days is just rare period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Tell me you didn't toss one after looking at the overnight data, though. Jesus.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 This kind of talk at this range is never exciting to me...in fact it gives me a bit of a pit in my stomach. I can't remember a storm since 96 or PDII that was modeled well at this range. Most of them tend to look great and then end up being either duds or don't work out in our favor. So while I get really excited looking at this stuff too, and the transient block and exciting southern stream gives me a tingle in my spine, I don't want to get my hopes up and I hope nobody else does either. We have a long, long, long way to go. I agree, while its hard not to get a bit excited at this stage with what the models are showing we do have a bit of a ways to go. If by Thursday the models are still showing this threat like they are now I will start to become much more excited, but I would like to see what happens over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Tossed a weenie all the way from Mass...impressive lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I agree, while its hard not to get a bit excited at this stage with what the models are showing we do have a bit of a ways to go. If by Thursday the models are still showing this threat like they are now I will start to become much more excited, but I would like to see what happens over the next few days. True but this one has been showing up for days...still lots will change but a storm of significant magnitude whether it be rain or snow seems quite likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Tell me you didn't toss one after looking at the overnight data, though. Jesus.. LOL it does look tasty, but that was a weenie post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Haha possible this may miss all together was merely just stating what this storm COULD do if everything aligned properly. Nothing is in stone at this time i know that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 This kind of talk at this range is never exciting to me...in fact it gives me a bit of a pit in my stomach. I can't remember a storm since 96 or PDII that was modeled well at this range. Most of them tend to look great and then end up being either duds or don't work out in our favor. So while I get really excited looking at this stuff too, and the transient block and exciting southern stream gives me a tingle in my spine, I don't want to get my hopes up and I hope nobody else does either. We have a long, long, long way to go. John couldnt agree more and i can see this being a weenie statement. I was merely just stating what this storm is capable of if it comes to fruition to the fullest of its potential. I know getting into upper level 4 NESIS status i a BIG chore and the list to get it gets bigger. This is not locked at all especially this year and who knows it may also be a fish storm.If you feel its necessary to delete the post being more wishcasting than an actual forecast ill fully understand your reasoning by the way. Just an opinion my friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The ECMWF ensembles look absolutely insane for this storm on pretty much every site from VA to Maine.... Generally, there's a consensus for over 18" already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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