brooklynwx99 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Neg tilt- vort max S of NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 GFS MECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Big CCB, slow moving storm. MECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Been a while since we've seen a GFS Major KU run. Can't say that anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 There's a strong vort that heads SE in C Canada at 84-96 hours that helps reinforce the cold air/confluence. Almost textbook storm on the GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Ghost of 1996 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 There has been support for this storm for a while now...18z GFS ensembles weren't too dissimilar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 This is turning into a Monday storm it seems Yeah definitely not the 8th...barely the 9th now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odwalla Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 If 2/8 manages 12"+, 2013-14 will enter top 5 all-time winter territory for NYC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Little east but holy.... classic straight from the textbook run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 This could be a Monday storm which is really bad because it'll cause massive disruptions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 someone explain to me what a KU is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 GGEM also looks AMAZING @ 144 hours; http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/495_100.gif Note the perfect 50/50 confluence setup. One time EURO 2night, one time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 someone explain to me what a KU is? A Kocin/Uccellini. Classic NE snow storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 someone explain to me what a KU is?A Kocin - Ucellini storm.Basically a monster of a storm in a nutshell. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bricktamland Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 If 2/8 manages 12"+, 2013-14 will enter top 5 all-time winter territory for NYC! Thread title is misleading, should be 2/9-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Thread title is misleading, should be 2/9-10 I said this yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Looks like an unreal week NYC may be on tap. This storm since the first ECMWF run has a real potential for a historic storm. It is still way to early to say where, but The I-95 cites have a real good shot at this one. In my life I have never see a series of progs predicting this. So I have to keep a skeptical eye on it, but OMG if it was to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Gfs looks nice right through president's day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Looks like an unreal week NYC may be on tap. This storm since the first ECMWF run has a real potential for a historic storm. It is still way to early to say where, but The I-95 cites have a real good shot at this one. In my life I have never see a series of progs predicting this. So I have to keep a skeptical eye on it, but OMG if it was to verify. Maybe 8" tomorrow, some inches on wed. With a changeover and then the KU for the weekend. Ill take that ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 If this weeks events verify.. the general public will be begging for spring to come soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Wow DC might get their payback!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 It's a classic setup with the -epo block peaking and spilling into western canada PV comes down and slides east into the 50/50 position, which allows the storm to amplify and not cut woofage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 00z GEFS mean likes the PDII look. Massive over running on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 This storm looks amazing on the models. But with you guys near the coast so excited, should inland regions like south-central New York State be nervous about getting minimal QPF? The last 2 GFS runs have had a double jackpot over the central Hudson Valley and the Finger Lakes region with NYC in the 6-12 range, but do you think this will mainly be a coastal storm? Edit: Sorry, it was just the 18z that had a big inland hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 00z GEFS mean likes the PDII look. Massive over running on Sunday. Just saw an image from SV. 1008mb low of off the outter banks. That's impressive for an ensemble mean at this range. Very big signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 00z GFS was as close to a HECS as you can get. That verifies it will most likely paralyze people from DC-BOSTON in a storm just as big as 03'/96'. The setup looks amazing and like john said probably the best synoptic setup this winter thus far! The GFS might be starting to understand that HP in SE canada means business! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 So hard not to get all weenie-eyed over that 00z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 00z GFS was as close to a HECS as you can get. That verifies it will most likely paralyze people from DC-BOSTON in a storm just as big as 03'/96'. The setup looks amazing and like john said probably the best synoptic setup this winter thus far! The GFS might be starting to understand that HP in SE canada means business! GFS even has a big treat for us on presidents day weekend (cough cough) out in fantasy land….amazing just to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Euro still showing a storm signal. And still has a small threat before the big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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